干扰方式选择方法的研究

为实现对雷达的有效干扰,应选择最佳干扰方式。将干扰效能分为干扰效果和干扰效率2个方面,并对这2方面进行了定量描述,提出了新的干扰效能评估算法,建立了雷达对抗策略矩阵,在此基础上运用对策论的相关原理,研究了干扰方式的选择问题,最后结合实例进行了检验。结果表明,该方法可以有效得出最佳干扰方式。     

排烟口设计对排烟效果影响的研究

排烟口是火灾发生时烟气排出的出口,排烟口高度和位置对排烟效果具有重要影响。运用FDS数值模拟方法,以实验台为依据建立数值模型,针对排烟口高度和排烟口位置的改变对排烟效果的影响进行分析,结果表明:随着排烟口高度的升高,各种排烟风速下的排烟效果都得到了改善。在排烟口风速较高的情况下,排烟口的高度变化对烟气溢出厚度的影响更大,采用大风速的控烟效果要优于小风速。侧排方式的排烟效果低于顶排方式,远壁排烟方式要优于近壁排烟方式。     

The impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effect

An important phenomenon often observed in supply chain management, known as the bullwhip effect, implies that demand variability increases as one moves up the supply chain, i.e., as one moves away from customer demand. In this paper we quantify this effect for simple, two‐stage, supply chains consisting of a single retailer and a single manufacturer. We demonstrate that the use of an exponential smoothing forecast by the retailer can cause the bullwhip effect and contrast these results with the increase in variability due to the use of a moving average forecast. We consider two types of demand processes, a correlated demand process and a demand process with a linear trend. We then discuss several important managerial insights that can be drawn from this research. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 269–286, 2000     

Witchcraft and African development

Impressive investment and growth figures and commercial write-ups enthusing about ‘Africa rising up’, ‘the continent of the future’, and so on, obscure the poverty, illiteracy, poor health and other hardships afflicting the vast majority of African people. Why has massive so-called development and technical ‘aid’ not created the expected dynamic, autonomous economic progress? A blind eye is delicately being turned to the decisive role of people – more specifically, the cultural element. Notwithstanding good intentions, outsiders seeking to promote development assume that black Africans think and act like they only need more education, training and finance in order to ‘catch up’. Outsiders easily forget that since time immemorial, Africans have developed and cherished worldviews and cultures of their own. While these are by no means immutable and do adapt to changing needs and outside influences, Africans refuse to cast off overnight the heritage that makes them the people they are. This paper examines the impact of witchcraft as an integral feature of traditional culture on African existence, notably community life, religion, politics, the law, and economic practice. It stresses the significance of traditional society's powerful egalitarian impulses as well as its profound conviction that all things – goods, wealth, well-being and life force – are in a strictly limited supply that cannot be increased, but can only be redistributed by force or through magical manipulation. While modern life gradually weakens the influence of witchcraft beliefs – in Europe these flourished well into the 18th century – the exasperation associated with Africa's headlong urbanisation actually bolsters these beliefs.     

一类具有脉冲效应的害虫综合管理模型的分析

基于害虫综合管理（IPM）策略,研究一类具有脉冲效应和非线性发生率的害虫染病的生态一流行病模型,分别在不同的固定时刻喷洒农药、释放染病害虫及天敌。利用Floquet乘子理论、脉冲微分比较定理,证明了易感类害虫灭绝周期解的全局渐近稳定性,给出了系统持续生存的充分条件。     

数码仿造迷彩客观定量评价

为了客观定量评价数码仿造迷彩的伪装效果,根据人眼视觉特性,提出基于HSV颜色空间亮度差的权重因子对SSIM算法加权进行了改进,得到了从人眼视觉特性上客观定量评价数码迷彩图案与原图像的识别概率。识别概率的大小与目标实施伪装技术的优劣有关,识别概率越高,则目标越易被侦察器材识别,伪装效果越差,反之不易被识别,伪装效果越好。因此该算法可为进一步改进伪装技术措施提供依据。     

舰机协同防空体系网络化效应分析

针对舰机海上协同防空作战体系网络化效应难以度量的问题,提出舰机协同组网概念,建立舰机协同组网网络环模型。将舰机协同防空区域进行划分,通过核心子网络在不同防空区域的转移以及邻接矩阵Perron-Frobenius特征值(PFE)的计算,分析了舰机协同防空体系的网络化效应。该分析方法简单,将其应用在舰机协同防空体系网络化效应分析是有效的。     

一种消除直线永磁无刷直流电机边端效应对换相时机影响的方法

电磁弹射用直线永磁无刷直流电机的永磁体动子具有开断结构,使动子边端的磁场分布发生变形。当采用霍尔元件检测磁场实现换相时,这种边端效应就会影响换相时机。分析了这类电机的换相机理和动子开断结构对换相时机的影响,指出这类边端效应受极弧系数影响显著,并提出了利用不对称滞环比较器或简易单限比较器对霍尔输出信号进行处理从而消除这类边端效应影响的方法,实验验证了简易单限比较器方案的可行性。     

新型航空铝合金材料复杂形貌点蚀损伤应力集中效应分析

根据7B04铝合金材料试件模拟加速点蚀试验检测结果,并结合铝合金材料点蚀行为机制、微观结构特征与随机性过程本质,构建由多个微观椭球体合成的楔入型与合围型两种典型复杂形貌点蚀损伤模型.采用ANSYS有限元方法建模并基于线弹性断裂力学,对上述两种点蚀损伤模型的应力集中效应进行计算与分析.研究发现:两种复杂形貌特征的点蚀损伤...     

高阶BOC信号电离层色散效应的模拟算法*

导航信号模拟器需要模拟电离层引起的信号延时和色散效应,对于传统BPSK信号,模拟器基于单频假设,通过直接调整码相位和载波相位之间的相对关系来模拟电离层的影响。新一代卫星导航信号广泛采用的BOC (Binary Offset Carrier)调制信号具有更宽的带宽,作单频假设会引入不可忽略的电离层延迟建模误差。论文提出了基于双边带模型的高阶BOC信号高精度模拟方法,并仿真验证了算法的正确性。该方法可应用于导航信号模拟器实现BOC信号电离层色散效应的模拟。