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141.
    
Abstract

In 2011 a wave of revolutionary movements, the so-called Arab Spring, spread in the Middle East and North Africa. Libya was one of the most affected countries, ending Gaddafi’s dictatorship after an international intervention and a civil war. This paper assesses the effects that this revolution had on Libyan economy. The analysis is made by means of the synthetic control method. Our estimates for the 2011–2014 period show (i) a cumulative loss in the growth rate of per capita real GDP of 64.15%; (ii) a cumulative loss in per capita real GDP of 56,548 dollars; and (iii) a cumulative loss in the aggregate real GDP of 350.5 billion dollars.  相似文献   
142.
舰机协同防空体系网络化效应分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
针对舰机海上协同防空作战体系网络化效应难以度量的问题,提出舰机协同组网概念,建立舰机协同组网网络环模型。将舰机协同防空区域进行划分,通过核心子网络在不同防空区域的转移以及邻接矩阵Perron-Frobenius特征值(PFE)的计算,分析了舰机协同防空体系的网络化效应。该分析方法简单,将其应用在舰机协同防空体系网络化效应分析是有效的。  相似文献   
143.
    
《防务技术》2020,16(3):662-667
In this paper, an improved discharging circuit was proposed to quicken the decay of the current in the drive coil in a reluctance accelerator when the armature reaches the center of the coil. The aim of this is to prevent the suck-back effect caused by the residual current in drive coil. The method is adding a reverse charging branch with a small capacitor in the traditional pulsed discharging circuit. The results under the traditional circuit and the improved circuit were compared in a simulation. The experiment then verified the simulations and they had good agreement. Simulation and experiment both demonstrated the improved circuit can effectively prevent the suck-back effect and increase the efficiency. At the voltage of 800 V, an efficiency increase of 36.34% was obtained.  相似文献   
144.
拉压异性材料厚壁圆筒和厚壁球壳的极限载荷分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
本文利用库仑屈服准则,研究了拉压异性材料厚壁圆筒和厚壁球壳的弹性极限载荷和塑性极限载荷,得出了新的结果和结论。计算结果表明,考虑了材料的拉压异性之后,厚壁圆筒和厚壁球壳的极限载荷均有明显提高。  相似文献   
145.
为了客观定量评价数码仿造迷彩的伪装效果,根据人眼视觉特性,提出基于HSV颜色空间亮度差的权重因子对SSIM算法加权进行了改进,得到了从人眼视觉特性上客观定量评价数码迷彩图案与原图像的识别概率。识别概率的大小与目标实施伪装技术的优劣有关,识别概率越高,则目标越易被侦察器材识别,伪装效果越差,反之不易被识别,伪装效果越好。因此该算法可为进一步改进伪装技术措施提供依据。  相似文献   
146.
从多径环境下时差测量误差的概率分布模型入手,研究了该环境下基于测量误差概率分布的时差定位精度模型,给出了时差定位误差椭圆的位置与大小的计算方法.通过计算机仿真,分别得出了等腰三角形布站和直角三角形布站情况下的定位误差椭圆分布,结果表明:该模型能较为直观准确地反映出多径效应对时差定位精度的影响.  相似文献   
147.
    
When an unreliable supplier serves multiple retailers, the retailers may compete with each other by inflating their order quantities in order to obtain their desired allocation from the supplier, a behavior known as the rationing game. We introduce capacity information sharing and a capacity reservation mechanism in the rationing game and show that a Nash equilibrium always exists. Moreover, we provide conditions guaranteeing the existence of the reverse bullwhip effect upstream, a consequence of the disruption caused by the supplier. In contrast, we also provide conditions under which the bullwhip effect does not exist. In addition, we show that a smaller unit reservation payment leads to more bullwhip and reverse bullwhip effects, while a large unit underage cost results in a more severe bullwhip effect. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 203–216, 2017  相似文献   
148.
    
How is collective defence by players affected when they face a threat from an intelligent attacker rather than a natural threat? This paper analyses this question using a game-theoretic model. Facing an intelligent attacker has an effect if players move first and visibly set their defence strategies, thereby exposing any players who do not defend, and if the attacker is, moreover, not able to commit to a random attack. Depending on the parameters of the game, the presence of an intelligent attacker either increases the probability that players jointly defend (where such joint defence either does or does not constitute a utilitarian optimum), or decreases the probability that players jointly defend (even though joint defence is a utilitarian optimum).  相似文献   
149.
《防务技术》2025,43(1):120-141
Traffic engineering such as tunnels in various altitudinal gradient zone are at risk of accidental explosion,which can damage personnel and equipment.Accurate prediction of the distribution pattern of explosive loads and shock wave propagation process in semi-enclosed structures at various altitude environment is key research focus in the fields of explosion shock and fluid dynamics.The effect of altitude on the propagation of shock waves in tunnels was investigated by conducting explosion test and numerical simulation.Based on the experimental and numerical simulation results,a prediction model for the attenuation of the peak overpressure of tunnel shock waves at different altitudes was established.The results showed that the peak overpressure decreased at the same measurement points in the tunnel entrance under the high altitude condition.In contrast,an increase in altitude accelerated the propa-gation speed of the shock wave in the tunnel.The average error between the peak shock wave over-pressure obtained using the overpressure prediction formula and the measured test data was less than 15%,the average error between the propagation velocity of shock waves predicted values and the test data is less than 10%.The method can effectively predict the overpressure attenuation of blast wave in tunnel at various altitudes.  相似文献   
150.
听、说、读、写是语言学习者必备的技能,而位居首位的听力,往往成为许多学生的绊脚石。仅仅靠有限的《英语听力》课堂时间,无法从根本上提高学生的听力水平。根据建构主义理论,听力的提高很大程度上要靠学生课后自主学习。而学生《英语听力》课程自主学习能力和效果的提高,取决于教师的课堂指导、书面作业及口头作业的选择。  相似文献   
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