Measuring the Impact of Military Spending: How Far Does a DSGE Model Deviate from Reality?

Dunne, Smith, and Willenbockel (2005) argue that the mainstream growth literature has not found military spending to be a significant determinant of economic growth, yet much of the defense economics literature has noted significant effects. This paper revisits this issue by using a DSGE-VAR approach, combining both theoretical and empirical methods. We present that the DSGE approach (estimated with the Bayesian technique) and the Bayesian VAR with the Minnesota Prior both lead to worse in-sample fit than our proposed DSGE-VAR framework. The DSGE-VAR approach reveals that a positive military spending shock boosts the U.S. economy, increasing per capita real GDP growth, consumption, inflation and interest rate. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications. Future investigations such as exploring an optimal military spending policy could adopt the approach in this paper to determine the best model – empirical, theoretical, or a combination of the two.     

Dangerous work: Terrorism against U.S. diplomats

The goal of diplomats is to represent their countries’ interests through diplomacy, not arms. Because they are not military personnel, they may be perceived as at lower risk of being the target of terrorists. However, recent events have called this perception into question. Despite this danger, there has been little research on terrorist attacks against diplomats. Drawing on the terrorism studies literature, this article argues that diplomats are targeted more than non-diplomatic targets in countries where certain U.S. foreign policies are implemented. An empirical analysis of 471 attacks against U.S. diplomats from 1970 to 2011 reveals that while U.S. alliances and foreign aid increase the likelihood of attacks against diplomats, U.S. military intervention and civil war, on the other hand, increase the risk of terrorism against non-diplomatic targets. This finding is relevant because it shows terrorist attacks against diplomats result from certain types of foreign policy.     

The nuclear education of Donald J. Trump

During the 2016 American presidential campaign, Democrats and Republicans alike repeatedly raised concerns at the prospect of Donald Trump being in charge of America’s nuclear arsenal based on his seemingly unstable personality. Unfortunately, this emphasis on Trump’s character distracted attention from any in-depth investigation into his long-standing interest in nuclear issues. This article seeks to remedy this shortcoming by highlighting the nuclear legacy Trump will inherit from Obama, surveying his statements on nuclear issues over more than three decades, and providing an analysis of constraining factors on his administration’s nuclear agenda, particularly domestic institutions. It finds that most of Trump’s views on nuclear issues are relatively consistent with past Republican presidents. Where he is unique, however, is in his use of social media, which has potential implications on nuclear signaling.     

无标度网络上的队列资源重分配策略

在实际的通信系统中,由于物理条件的限制,每个节点都具有有限长度的队列。研究了在有限队列资源的条件下,队列资源对无标度数据流动力学的影响。提出了一种队列资源重分配策略,策略中节点的队列长度与节点的介数成正比。仿真结果表明,在无标度网络中使用最短路径路由的条件下,所提出的重分配策略可以有效地改进网络的容量。同时对有限队列资源条件下的网络容量进行了理论分析。     

体育教学方法选择与运用的哲学思考

体育教学过程中矛盾的多样性决定了解决矛盾的教学方法的多样性。体育教学方法的选择与运用要充分认识各种方法的内涵 ,考虑体育教学内在规律和教学对象的适应性 ,重视教法与学法的协调 ,兼顾即时的显性效应和长期的潜在效应 ,提高体育教学方法选择与运用的科学性     

英语句型教学的几种操练方法

教学方法的提出要考虑教学目的和基本教学原则 ,同时也要考虑语言习惯形成的规律和特点。作者认为要熟练掌握一种句型 ,达到运用自如、不假思索的程度 ,必须由浅入深进行机械操练、意义操练和交际操练     

论西周史诗的艺术特点及其影响

西周史诗记载了我们祖先周人发祥和创业的历史。在艺术上具有极高的价值。诗中塑造了后稷、公刘、古公、文王、武王等鲜明生动的形象 ,同时诗大量使用赋体铺叙手法 ,层次清晰 ,祥略得当 ,且词汇丰富而准确 ,是文学史中早期的写实之作。这组古诗对后世文学的发展产生了积极的影响     

更新美术教育思想 促进素质教育实施

美术教育是促进素质教育的一个很重要的方面。它对培养学生的创新意识和创造能力有着不可替代的作用。树立全新的美术教育思想 ,可促进素质教育深入开展     

提高高校领导干部思想素质 加大反腐倡廉工作力度

权力、金钱、生活方式是摆在领导干部面前的现实考验,是腐蚀与反腐蚀斗争的焦点。当前提高领导干部思想素质,从源头上预防和治理腐败,完善考核机制,强化管理体制,是当前反腐倡廉工作的重点。     

采用VXI总线研制电路板故障诊断系统

利用VXI总线技术研制了电路板故障诊断系统 ,并就其硬件和软件的组成进行了较详细的探讨 ,建立软件核心部分的测试诊断数据库时采用了一种全新的方法———离散事件系统法