The Intergovernmental Authority on Development's Conflict Early Warning and Response Mechanism

The Intergovernmental Authority on Development's (IGAD) Conflict Early Warning and Response Mechanism (CEWARN) 2012–2019 Strategy Framework has proposed that the CEWARN mechanism expand its conflict typologies and geographic coverage. The argument advanced in this paper is that the proposed CEWARN expansion should be welcomed. Since its establishment in 2003, CEWARN had restricted itself to dealing with cross-border pastoral conflicts among the member states. However, conceptually and legally, CEWARN was not precluded from dealing with other types of conflict. Firstly, in the past, any conflict, other than cross-border pastoral ones, had been considered by the member states as firmly within their national jurisdiction that mechanisms like CEWARN are precluded from handling. Secondly, CEWARN, which has hitherto been dependent on external donations, just does not have the requisite financial resources to expand its coverage. Thirdly, and most importantly, governments often know the imminence of some, if not all, of the conflicts because they cause them. Thus, they are not interested in reacting to them. In the end, the paper concludes that the proposal to expand CEWARN's conflict portfolio and geographic spread may just remain that – a proposal.     

Deterrence of Nuclear Terror

Nuclear proliferation, lax security standards in the storage of fissile materials, and international apathy in the prosecution of terrorists make nuclear terror a serious threat to the United States and its allies, yet no doctrine of retaliation has been established. To decrease the probability of terrorist use of nuclear weapons, a doctrine of retaliation—a negligence doctrine—should be considered. If the United States can distinguish whose fissile material was used for a nuclear terror event, a negligence doctrine would prescribe retaliation against that state. Where the proximate cause—terrorists—is unavailable for deterrent retaliation, deterring an accessible mediate cause—a state that has failed to adequately secure its fissile material—is one of a few effective alternatives. In the absence of such a negligence doctrine, the United States and its allies are increasingly vulnerable to a nuclear terror attack and the ensuing negative consequences.     

脑功能光学成像研究进展

首先对脑功能成像技术的研究背景和发展历程进行了简单的回顾 ,然后对脑功能光学成像方法进行了分类综述 ,主要介绍了电压敏感性染色成像、内源光学成像、光学相干层析成像、神经元活动相关光信号成像等成像方法的原理和最新进展 ,并总结了选择光学成像系统所应考虑的因素 ,最后 ,通过对各种成像方法的分析和比较 ,提出了改进和完善脑功能光学成像技术的建议 ,并对脑功能光学成像技术的发展前景指出了一些可能的方向     

液体火箭发动机烧蚀冷却推力室室壁温度响应的计算

本文对液体火箭发动机烧蚀冷却推力室的冷却机理进行了分析,较为全面地考虑了影响温度场的主要因素,利用六点中心差分建立了离散数学模型,并对室壁温度响应进行了计算,得到了烧蚀速率和侵蚀速率等。所得结果可供设计推力室时参考。     

多频激励微波非线性电路分析及其同伦连续算法

本文分析了微波非线性电路在多频激励下的频域稳态响应,给出了同伦连续这一简单有效的算法,结合实际计算了实例。     

用加权余量法求解弹性机构的稳态响应

在机构的运动弹性动力分析中,稳态响应的求解已有了多种方法。本文通过分析、比较,提出了用加权余量法求解弹性机构稳态响应的思想,并给出了两种基本算法。作为应用,本文还给出了两个算例,其中空间四杆RS'SR 机构为本文首次给出。     

一种用AR模型参数自适应检测瞬态信号的新方法

本文研究AR 模型参数特征用于瞬态信号自适应检测的问题。本文依据AR 模型参数矢量长度为特征检测信号的思思,提出了一种具有良好地自适应抑制噪声扰动的参数估计方法,弥补了LS、SVDT 方法的不足。理论分析和实验结果均表明,本文的方法具有很好的AR 模型参数估计和瞬态信号检测性能。     

梁、板非线性动力响应分析的样条有限点法

本文用样条有限点法分析梁和基于Berger假设的板的几何非线性动力响应,推导了以样条结点参数表示的基本方程,用wilson-θ法求解动力增量方程,求得挠度响应曲线。本文的方法与有限元法比较,共计算时间省,程序简单,可在微机上计算。     

圆柱壳承受水下爆炸作用时的动响应

本文提出了有限水域内水下爆炸实验设计的一般考虑方法,结合实验结果得到了各种条件(λ/D)下圆柱壳受水下爆炸作用时的壁压分布规律,采用塑性动力学中绝对最小原理对结构响应进行了数值计算,给出了冲击波作用下圆柱壳响应的一种偏安全估算方法。     

基于结构应变响应的高速枪击载荷识别的理论分析与实验方法

基于多自由度系统的运动微分方程和结构的几何方程推导出识别单一动态载荷的数学模型。并将此理论应用于枪击载荷的识别,获得了令人满意的结果。同时,给出了一套完整的动载识别的实验方法。