关于武警学院开展现代远程教育的探讨

利用武警学院丰富的教育信息资源,依托公安网探讨开展现代远程教育的模式与方法,构筑新时代公安现役官兵终身教育体系,提高教学质量,加快课程建设。     

Asia-Pacific Demand for Military Expenditure: Spatial Panel and SUR Estimates

This article investigates the demand for military expenditure for a sample of key Asia-Pacific countries. Spatial panel demand estimates are presented for three joined spatial units using a fixed-coefficient spatial lag model based on a two-step efficient GMM estimator. Spatial autoregression estimates are next presented for 1991–2015, founded on alternative kinds of country connectivities, such as contiguity, inverse distance, discrete distance, and power-projection considerations. Finally, 11 select countries’ demands for defense equations are estimated using seemingly unrelated regressions. From alternative perspectives, these estimated models indicate how Asia-Pacific countries respond to the defense spending of other countries. In the spatial runs, free riding is prevalent despite the growing military might of China, which apparently is not generally viewed as a threat. For the sample period, the projection of Chinese or American power is a relevant spatial factor. The main threat is reflected in non-U.S. allies’ reaction to U.S. allies’ defense spending during 1991–2015 and to Chinese defense spending after 2002.     

一种基于证据间距离和信息熵的证据组合方法?

针对改进的基于证据间距离的组合方法,首先计算证据间距离并求出各个证据的支持度和可信度,选取支持度高的作为较可信证据,其次引入证据信息熵,计算修正系数,对这些证据的可信度进行修正,将可信度作为权重,进行证据的加权平均,再利用Dempster组合规则对所有证据进行融合。算例表明,该方法比现有的方法更加有效。     

基于虚拟脱靶量预测的准闭环校射方法

针对传统高炮大闭环校射脱靶量不易检测、可校射时间短暂,提出了一种基于虚拟脱靶量预测的准闭环校射方法。首先给出了弹丸双站角度测量的初始状态估计算法;其次,结合外弹道理论建立了一种虚拟等距脱靶量的预测模型,分析了射击校正量的估计方法与准闭环校射方案的实现流程。该方法避免了大闭环校射对脱靶量的直接检测,并提高了高炮闭环校射的时效性。     

炮兵风险距离的仿真计算方法

现代战场非线性趋势愈加明显,炮兵火力对敌我双方以及平民都可能造成毁伤。合理确定炮兵风险距离,控制对非敌人员的杀伤风险是炮兵火力运用的重要内容。提出了炮兵风险距离的概念,并给出了仿真计算方法。首先,给出了炮兵风险距离的概念,并解释了其仿真计算原理。然后,建立了蒙特卡洛仿真模型。最后,结合实例验证了仿真计算方法的正确性。     

线阵CCD在机械微变距离测量中的应用

介绍了一种应用线阵CCD测量柴油机曲轴臂距差的原理和方法 .讨论了光杠杆原理在此测量系统中的应用 ,并结合实际分析了系统产生非线性误差的原因 ,给出了此测量系统非线性的处理方法 .     

相同高度两相邻建筑防火间距设计

防火间距设计是建筑工程消防安全设计中很重要的一项内容。通过相同高度两相邻民用建筑防火间距设计工程实例,结合国家现行《建筑设计防火规范》中的有关规定,探讨了《建筑设计防火规范》对相同高度两相邻建筑防火间距设计要求方面存在的问题。     

Wasserstein距离在液体火箭发动机故障检测中的应用

健康监控技术能够切实提高液体火箭发动机的可靠性,针对液体火箭发动机健康监控中的故障检测问题,提出基于Wasserstein距离的方法,利用液氢液氧火箭发动机地面热试车数据进行验证。该方法的核心思想是利用Wasserstein生成对抗网络模拟正常数据的样本分布,利用其判别器计算测试样本与模拟分布间的Wasserstein距离,进而实现故障检测。结果表明:该方法能够克服故障数据不足的困难,有效检测稳态过程中的故障,没有发生误报警,且对早期异常有较高敏感性;在训练样本较少的情况下,当Wasserstein距离阈值为3σ时对启动过程的早期异常有较高敏感性,取5σ时仍可有效检测启动过程中的故障,误报警率为12.5%。     

高性能炸药综合性能的多维评估

基于欧几里得几何距离的概念,给出了一种炸药综合性能的多维空间评估方法。这种方法在确定炸药理想方案和最差方案的基础上,综合考虑了各种炸药方案与理想方案和最差方案的欧几里得几何距离,以此评估炸药综合性能。     

Damage functions and estimates of fratricide and collateral damage

There are multiple damage functions in the literature to estimate the probability that a single weapon detonation destroys a point target. This paper addresses differences in the tails of four of the more popular damage functions. These four cover the asymptotic tail behaviors of all monotonically decreasing damage functions with well‐behaved hazard functions. The differences in estimates of probability of kill are quite dramatic for large aim‐point offsets. This is particularly important when balancing the number of threats that can be engaged with the chances of fratricide and collateral damage. In general, analysts substituting one damage function for another may badly estimate kill probabilities in offset‐aiming, which could result in poor doctrine. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 306–321, 2003.