基于GAHP的模糊综合评判法在潜艇作战方案评估中的应用

潜艇作战方案评估是辅助对潜指挥员决策的重要方法,而评估的科学性对决策的有效性影响很大。利用多人层次分析法（GAHP）和模糊综合评判相结合的方法,对潜艇作战方案进行评估,评估的结果可信度高,有利于对潜指挥员的正确决策。最后,通过实例证明了方法的有效性。     

Bayesian enhanced decision making for deteriorating repairable systems with preventive maintenance

Since a system and its components usually deteriorate with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to restore or keep the function of a system in a good state. Furthermore, PM is capable of improving the health condition of the system and thus prolongs its effective age. There has been a vast amount of research to find optimal PM policies for deteriorating repairable systems. However, such decisions involve numerous uncertainties and the analyses are typically difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. In this article, a Bayesian decision model is developed to determine the optimal number of PM actions for systems which are maintained according to a periodic PM policy. A non‐homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deteriorating behavior of the repairable system. It is assumed that the status of the system after a PM is somewhere between as good as new for a perfect repair and as good as old for a minimal repair, and for failures between two preventive maintenances, the system undergoes minimal repairs. Finally, a numerical example is given and the results of the proposed approach are discussed after performing sensitivity analysis. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于ARIS的战时修理业务流程仿真研究

利用ARIS建模方法与工具,对战时装备修理业务流程进行了仿真研究。以陆军某机步师某型装备为例,给出了战时修理业务的主流程模型以及各分支模型,通过仿真运行及结果分析,得出了制约该流程的瓶颈和需要进一步优化的对象,为装备维修保障过程仿真提供了一个很好的思路和方法。该方法对于开发战时维修保障效能仿真评估系统,实现维修保障系统的动态仿真和全要素评估具有重要的支撑作用。     

陆军武器装备需求生成程序研究

借鉴美军"联合能力集成与开发系统"的分析流程,以"面向任务、基于能力"的需求牵引观为指导,研究提出我陆军武器装备需求生成程序,确定了每一环节的具体任务和要求,对完善陆军武器装备需求生成机制和需求的统一论证具有一定的现实和理论意义。     

基于层次分析法的人为电磁环境复杂程度评估

针对战场电磁环境复杂多变,定性、定量描述难的特点,运用层次分析法(AHP)探索人为电磁环境复杂程度评估问题。建立了评估人为电磁环境的递阶层次结构,细化了评估指标,明确了评价标准,并通过对组合权重的计算,最终将对人为电磁环境复杂程度的评估转换为13个底层参量的检测数据,4个分值标准和5个评定层次。该方法对评估电磁环境的一般复杂性和特定复杂性具有一定的指导意义,较好地满足了战场电磁环境复杂程度评估的需求。     

Aggregating courier deliveries

We consider the problem of efficiently scheduling deliveries by an uncapacitated courier from a central location under online arrivals. We consider both adversary‐controlled and Poisson arrival processes. In the adversarial setting we provide a randomized (3βΔ/2δ ? 1) ‐competitive algorithm, where β is the approximation ratio of the traveling salesman problem, δ is the minimum distance between the central location and any customer, and Δ is the length of the optimal traveling salesman tour overall customer locations and the central location. We provide instances showing that this analysis is tight. We also prove a 1 + 0.271Δ/δ lower‐bound on the competitive ratio of any algorithm in this setting. In the Poisson setting, we relax our assumption of deterministic travel times by assuming that travel times are distributed with a mean equal to the excursion length. We prove that optimal policies in this setting follow a threshold structure and describe this structure. For the half‐line metric space we bound the performance of the randomized algorithm in the Poisson setting, and show through numerical experiments that the performance of the algorithm is often much better than this bound.     

Algorithms for computing waiting time distributions under different queue disciplines for the D-BMAP/PH/1

A queueing system characterized by the discrete batch Markovian arrival process (D-BMAP) and a probability of phase type distribution for the service time is one that arises frequently in the area of telecommunications. Under this arrival process and service time distribution we derive the waiting time distribution for three queue disciplines: first in first out (FIFO), last in first out (LIFO), and service in random order (SIRO). We also outline efficient algorithmic procedures for computing the waiting time distributions under each discipline. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 559–576, 1997     

使用图像优化方法估计水体调制传递函数

针对水体属性的变化使图像复原困难的问题,提出了一种从退化的水下图像中估计自然水体调制传递函数的方法。该方法首先建立了自然水体的调制传递函数与其固有光学特性参数之间的关系,然后采用图像复原技术对图像进行复原,最后使用粒子群优化算法来优化调制传递函数的相关参数。仿真实验表明:该方法能有效对水下图像进行复原,且不需测量水体的光学参数就能估计出自然水体的调制传递函数。该方法用于水下激光成像系统的图像复原可取得明显效果。     

基于模糊物元分析法的坦克作战效能评估

鉴于坦克作战效能评估中客观存在的不确定性和模糊性,提出了基于改进模糊物元分析方法的坦克作战效能评估模型。该模型在构建坦克作战效能评估指标体系基础上,将层次分析法和熵权法计算出的权重有机组合实现综合赋权,并据此建立坦克作战效能的模糊物元分析评估模型。实例分析表明,所提出的模型便于理解,易于实现,兼顾了主客观因素的影响,评估结果总体反映了坦克作战效能的真实水平,也为其他装甲武器作战效能的科学评估提供新思路。     

箔条云干扰下的单目标恒虚警率检测研究

箔条云在扩散过程中随着时间变化会稀释和扩大,其回波特性会发生改变,被检测目标与箔条的相互位置关系也会影响雷达恒虚警检测。针对作战对抗过程中箔条干扰易造成雷达接收机阻塞干扰目标检测,检测概率迅速降低且易丢失目标贻误战机,通过详细分析箔条的扩散过程及信号频谱特性及其箔条云和目标的两种位置关系,利用恒虚警处理算法在噪声基底为10 dB和20 dB情况下对目标进行恒定虚警率检测研究。研究结果对改善飞机检测性能和抗虚警能力以及提高战场生存率具有积极作用。