Optimal timing of switches between product sales for sports and entertainment tickets

Like airlines and hotels, sports teams and entertainment venues can benefit from revenue management efforts for their ticket sales. Teams and entertainment venues usually offer bundles of tickets early in their selling horizon and put single‐event tickets on sale at a later date; these organizations must determine the best time to offer individual tickets because both types of ticket sales consume the same fixed inventory. We model the optimal a priori timing decision for a seller with a fixed number of identical tickets to switch from selling the tickets as fixed bundles to individual tickets to maximize the revenue realized before the start of the performance season. We assume that bundle and single‐ticket customers each arrive according to independent, nonhomogeneous Markovian death processes with a linear death rate that can vary over time and that the benefit from selling a ticket in a package is higher than from selling the ticket individually. We characterize the circumstances in which it is optimal for the seller to practice mixed bundling and when the seller should only sell bundles or individual tickets, and we establish comparative statics for the optimal timing decision for the special case of constant customer arrival rates. We extend our analytical results to find the optimal time for offering two groups of tickets with high and low demand. Finally, we apply the timing model to a data set obtained from the sports industry. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

空间推进系统工作过程故障仿真

以凝胶推进剂空间推进系统为研究对象,对该系统异常工作的动态性能进行了分析和研究.为了获得空间推进系统故障模式,把空间推进系统工作过程的故障特性方程与其正常数学模型相结合,采用Visual C 编程工具对导管泄漏故障、过滤网阻塞故障、电磁阀故障和喷管烧蚀故障进行了模拟,从而为空间推进系统智能化故障诊断奠定了基础.     

SiO2 溶胶不同掺杂方式对含氟聚丙烯酸酯/SiO2 杂化涂层性能的影响

用酸催化溶胶-凝胶法制得SiO2溶胶,分别采用共混法和原位聚合法制备含氟聚丙烯酸酯/SiO2纳米杂化涂层.利用红外光谱、扫描电镜等表征了杂化涂层的结构、形态及SiO2相的分散性;研究了SiO2含量、分布和界面状况等与杂化涂层的表面性能和力学性能的关联与影响.结果表明,SiO2在两种方法制备的杂化涂层中均以Si-O网络的形式存在,原位聚合法中SiO2相的分散性优于共混法;含氟聚丙烯酸酯涂层中引入SiO2相后,涂层性能明显提高,共混法的疏水性优于原位聚合法;二者的力学性能随SiO2相含量变化的趋势相同,原位聚合法略优于共混法.     

行星变速箱换档过程动态仿真研究

从传动系行星排传递单元和构件出发,建立了N自由度行星变速箱运动学数学模型,并运用该模型对三自由度行星变速箱进行了换档过程的动态仿真。     

作战应用软件评测指标及方法研究

作战应用软件装备部队前进行黑盒评测必须以规格需求为基础。根据作战应用软件的功能区分,提出了作战应用软件评测指标确定的原则和依据,建立了评测的指标体系,给出了评测方法。应用层次分析法自底向上对各级指标属性值进行计算,并对计算方法进行了分析。所用的评测指标体系和评测方法适用于各军种兵种作战应用软件评测,具有通用性特点。     

Structured maintenance policies on interior sample paths

We examine the problem of adaptively scheduling perfect observations and preventive replacements for a multi‐state, Markovian deterioration system with silent failures such that total expected discounted cost is minimized. We model this problem as a partially observed Markov decision process and show that the structural properties of the optimal policy hold for certain non‐extreme sample paths. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

数字化坦克营作战能力灰色聚类评估

评估数字化坦克营的作战能力对推动数字化装甲部队建设、提高部队战斗力具有一定的现实意义。以灰色系统理论为基础,将层次分析法和灰色评估法相结合,建立了数字化坦克营的灰色聚类评估模型,论述了利用该模型进行评估的基本步骤,结合实例对数字化坦克营作战能力进行了聚类评估,提出了提高数字化坦克营作战能力的方法。评估结果比较符合实际情况,证明了该模型的正确性。     

国外经典核爆炸放射性沉降模式概述

介绍了国外经典的核爆炸放射性沉降模式,包含了DELFIC、WSEG系列、KDFOC系列、SEER系列、DNAF系列和EM-1。同时列举了各种模式在主要物理过程中的区别,包括了云的初始化、粒子分布、沉降机制,放射性活度和剂量率的转化、放射性衰变和传输过程。最后简述了目前核爆炸放射性沉降模式研究的发展趋势。     

基于HLA的弹道导弹突防仿真系统开发研究

随着反导防御系统的发展,弹道导弹突防将受到更大的威胁。HLA以其可重用性、互操作性好的特点,逐渐成为仿真的主流体系结构。介绍了HLA的系统组成和联邦开发的过程,提出了一个基于HLA的弹道导弹突防仿真系统仿真框架,为后续的仿真系统开发奠定了必要的基础。     

Fuzzy-AHP法在潜射巡航导弹命中概率分析中的应用

为准确评价潜射巡航导弹的命中概率,对影响命中概率的因素进行了具体分析,建立了潜射巡航导弹命中概率综合评价的指标体系.应用模糊综合评判及层次分析法,给出了综合评价的数学模型.对算例的仿真计算,得出了较为可信的结果.结果表明应用此方法,可以更准确的对潜射巡航导弹的命中概率进行评估,为潜射巡航导弹的研发及使用保障提供决策参考.