引信静态试验模拟动态试验研究

研究了用静态试验评价无线电引信质量性能的方法。分析了静态试验项目、样本量的确定,建立了各组件失效与引信失效的对应关系,提出了通过组件的失效信息计算引信失效率的方法。     

舰用锅炉过热器使用寿命的论证

鉴于某型舰用锅炉过热器破损的主因在于其内部腐蚀,而破损的主要方式是由管头的溃烂开始直至整个管头烂掉为止,导致管子的胀接松动而漏泄。因此,过热器的使用年限全取决于管头的腐蚀速度。通过确定过热器内管头的腐蚀率、锅炉年内运行时间以及保养时间等要素来估算过热器的使用寿命。     

新型小规模装备备件品种确定的犹豫模糊粗糙集决策方法

针对新研装备备件品种确定过程中决策信息“犹豫性”和“模糊性”特点突出、难以运用传统备件品种确定方法进行决策的问题,提出一种基于犹豫模糊粗糙集的备件品种确定方法。利用风险偏好系数对不完备犹豫模糊信息进行数值延拓,为构建不同风险偏好下备件品种确定的犹豫模糊决策信息系统奠定了基础；考虑得分函数和数值延拓边界的综合因素影响给出了改进的包含度计算公式,并基于包含度定义进行了证明；给出了基于改进包含度计算的备件品种决策属性的约简条件和规则获取方法,实现了犹豫模糊决策信息的深度挖掘和有效利用。以某新研装备备件品种确定为例进行了方法验证,研究结果表明：通过该法能够有效处理犹豫模糊决策信息,获取精简实用的备件品种决策规则集,验证了方法的可行性。     

When are observed failures more informative than observed survivals?

A framework involving independent competing risks permits observing failures due to a specific cause and failures due to a competing cause, which constitute survival times from the cause of primary interest. Is observing more failures more informative than observing survivals? Intuitively, due to the definitiveness of failures, the answer seems to be the former. However, it has been shown before that this intuition holds when estimating the mean but not the failure rate of the exponential model with a gamma prior distribution for the failure rate. In this article, we address this question at a more general level. We show that for a certain class of distributions failures can be more informative than survivals for prediction of life length and vice versa for some others. We also show that for a large class of lifetime models, failure is less informative than survival for estimating the proportional hazards parameter with gamma, Jeffreys, and uniform priors. We further show that, for this class of lifetime models, on average, failure is more informative than survival for parameter estimation and for prediction. These results imply that the inferential purpose and properties of the lifetime distribution are germane for conducting life tests. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

INTERNATIONAL SECURITY ON THE ROAD TO NUCLEAR ZERO

The disappointingly slow pace of progress on efforts to prevent proliferation, reduce nuclear weapons, and eliminate nuclear risks has many causes. The factor that might be easiest for individuals in the arms control and nonproliferation community to change stems from their own ambivalence about major questions that must be addressed on the road to reducing the number of nuclear weapons in the world to zero. This essay explores how ambivalence about four key issues—strategic stability, alliance relations, institution-building, and nuclear energy—often leads community members to take positions that play well at home and within their like-minded group but raise unintended impediments to achieving their own long-term goals. The author suggests alternative ways to handle these questions to improve the prospects for domestic and international agreement on practical measures that would eliminate, not perpetuate, nuclear risks.     

装药长径比对EFP成型作用效果影响分析

针对装药长径比对EFP成型的影响,基于一种球缺型药型罩EFP,利用ANSYS／LS-DYNA仿真软件对其成型过程进行建模仿真,研究EFP成型过程及其各项参数．在该基础上,改变装药高度得到不同的装药长径比数据,并对不同长径比EFP形成过程进行仿真,得到不同装药长径比EFP的速度、速度增长率及炸药能量利用率等数据,为选择最佳装药长径比提供依据．     

基于删除平均的VI-CFAR检测器

针对MLVI-CFAR检测器在多个随机分布干扰目标背景下检测性能不好,以及OSVI-CFAR检测器在均匀环境和仅单滑窗存在干扰目标的环境下检测性能欠佳问题,提出了一种基于删除平均(CML)的VI-CFAR检测器(CMLVI-CFAR).仿真验证了CMLVI-CFAR检测器在均匀背景及多目标干扰环境下,都具有比MLVI和OSVI-CFAR检测器好的检测性能,并且其在杂波边缘背景下的虚警控制能力与前两者也基本一致,说明其在实际杂波环境中具有更强的鲁棒性和良好的应用潜力.     

Numerical investigation of the failure mechanism of cubic concrete specimens in SHPB tests

Cylindrical specimens are commonly used in Split Hopkinson pressure bar (SHPB) tests to study the uniaxial dynamic properties of concrete-like materials.In recent years,true tri-axial SHPB equipment has also been developed or is under development to investigate the material dynamic properties under tri-axial impact loads.For such tests,cubic specimens are needed.It is well understood that static material strength obtained from cylinder and cube specimens are different.Conversion factors are obtained and adopted in some guidelines to convert the material strength obtained from the two types of specimens.Previous uniaxial impact tests have also demonstrated that the failure mode and the strain rate effect of cubic specimens are very different from that of cylindrical ones.However,the mechanical background of these findings is unclear.As an extension of the previous laboratory study,this study performs numerical SHPB tests of cubic and cylindrical concrete specimens subjected to uniaxial impact load with the validated numerical model.The stress states of cubic specimens in relation to its failure mode under different strain rates is analyzed and compared with cylindrical specimens.The detailed analyses of the numerical simulation results show that the lateral inertial confinement of the cylindrical specimen is higher than that of the cubic specimen under the same strain rates.For cubic specimen,the corners are more severely damaged because of the lower lateral confinement and the occurrence of the tensile radial stress which is not observed in cylindrical specimens.These results explain why the dynamic material strengths obtained from the two types of specimens are different and are strain rate dependent.Based on the simulation results,an empirical formula of conversion factor as a function of strain rate is proposed,which supplements the traditional conversion factor for quasi-static material strength.It can be used for transforming the dynamic compressive strength from cylinders to cubes obtained from impact tests at different strain rates.     

欠驱动关节机械臂位置控制研究

以具有欠驱动关节的水平两自由度机械臂为研究对象,研究当驱动关节达到指定位置后,以幅值和频率可调的驱动关节角速度信号为控制输入量来控制欠驱动关节的位置。用平均法对欠驱动机械臂的拉格朗日动力学模型进行了简化,并基于简化后的模型给出了闭环非线性反馈控制律。仿真结果表明,所设计的闭环非线性反馈控制率能够使任意初始位置的欠驱动关节趋近其指定位置。     

调频脉冲信号辐射源多普勒信息提取方法研究

提出了一种基于单脉冲频率及频率变化率联合估计和多脉冲联合估计脉冲重复周期变化率的调频脉冲信号辐射源目标多普勒参数提取方法。该方法解决了无源定位系统数据采样频率与辐射源脉冲重复周期不匹配造成的频率偏差问题,在脉冲到达时间的提取上避免了对脉冲边沿的判断,使得利用中频采样信号计算脉冲重复周期成为可能。介绍对了该方法所采用的频率及频率变化率联合估计关键技术,并在此基础上讨论了该方法所能达到的理论估计精度及误差分析,最后通过仿真试验验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。