考虑多性能参数的引信弹簧可靠性评估

弹簧作为引信中常用的储能源,是影响引信可靠性的重要零件,而引信失效会形成重大安全隐患。为了准确预估某引信弹簧贮存期间的可靠度变化,提出了一种基于修正Arrhenius模型的多元正态可靠性评估方法。以应力损失率和永久变形率作为性能参数,设计了恒定应力加速退化试验,获取弹簧在120℃、130℃、150℃和160℃下的退化数据,并采用Anderson-Darling统计量验证退化量的最优分布为正态分布。根据修正的Arrhenius方程,得到弹簧在贮存温度下的退化轨迹曲线。基于多元正态分布建立弹簧贮存可靠度模型,分析弹簧贮存期间的可靠度变化特点。通过与其他可靠度模型对比,该模型预估结果更准确,可为引信的视情维修提供依据。     

加速寿命试验下复合失效产品的可靠性评估

产品往往受随机失效和耗损失效两种模式的双重影响,通过构建复合寿命分布模型来表征这类产品失效规律。在加速寿命试验下,基于极大似然估计构造了该类产品寿命参数估计的数值算法;为了验证该寿命分布是否真服从假定的复合分布,构建了常应力等效失效数据的柯尔莫哥诺夫分布检验法;最后,以电连接器这一典型产品为例进行了工程仿真试验并进行数据评估,从而验证了评估方法的正确性。     

维修性试验验前信息融合方法

针对小子样维修性试验因数据异总体而导致验前信息融合精度低的问题,提出了基于信息可用度的验前信息折合模型,解决了因数据异总体无法融合的问题;利用随机加权法对验前分布参数进行了拟合,准确地表述了验前分布;提出了基于支持度的融合权值确定方法,提高了各验前分布融合权值分配的合理性;最后,通过某装备维修性试验验前信息融合实例,表明了该方法具有一定的工程应用价值。     

The human consequences of foreign military intervention

The empirical international conflict literature has given much recent attention to interstate armed force’s impact on human well-being. While empirical research has advanced our understanding of the phenomenon considerably, we argue that one conclusion that many studies have reached is preliminary. Some recent research contends that only full-scale war, and not force short of war, has a discernable impact on human welfare or physical quality of life (PQOL). We develop theory on one type of force short of war, large-scale foreign military intervention (FMI), and its potential effects on PQOL. Using interrupted time series and panel corrected standard error methodologies, we find that from 1960 to 2005 large-scale FMI had a statistically and substantively significant impact on the PQOL of populations in 106 developing countries. The specific effect that this type of armed force has depended in large part on the regime type of the target country.     

基于飞行仿真的近地告警包线计算

TSO-C151b标准中近地告警包线为通用模型设计,未结合飞机的自身特性。为精确给出飞机过大下降速率告警包线,通过结合飞机自身气动特性和操纵特性,分析告警机理,建立飞机六自由度仿真程序。依据飞机发动机数据、气动力数据、质量特性数据等,建立仿真模型及操作程序,实时模拟飞机各舵面的操作响应过程,以及飞机的运动姿态和飞行轨迹,计算飞机在不同下降速率时拉起的损失高度,设计近地告警包线。实际试飞数据验证了模型设计合理,计算结果准确。同时,将仿真计算得出的告警包线与TSO-C151b对比,给出适用于飞机的近地告警包线使用建议,保证飞机飞行安全。     

悬臂式围护桩受力性状与内力传递特征试验

为研究悬臂式围护桩结构的内力、弯矩、位移和嵌固段的变化规律及特点,结合西宁火车站综合改造工程,对该深基坑支护结构在不同开挖工况条件下悬臂桩的受力性状与内力传递特征进行现场动态测试试验。试验结果表明:悬臂桩的受力特征与理论值有所差异,在实际设计中可对其在配筋方式、混凝土强度设计、嵌固段长度等方面进行优化。试验结果可以有效优化桩身设计,为复杂基坑在开挖过程中的支护结构受力及变形提供参考性依据。     

联合国维和警察防暴队甄选考试改革对维和培训的影响及对策

2012年9月颁布的《联合国维和警察防暴队行动能力评估标准作业程序》对联合国防暴队甄选及行动能力评估的组织、实施程序、考查标准等方面都进行了较大的调整。从联合国维和警察防暴队甄选标准作业程序的改革入手,以考试为突破口和着眼点,研究程序的改革对维和警察防暴队培训的影响,制定应对策略,以时维和培训工作具有指导作用和借鉴意义。     

基于FPGA的二维DCT／IDCT高速设计与实现

二维离散余弦／反余弦变换是图像处理算法的核心。基于DSP处理器或软件实现速度较低,以及ASIC实现芯片的面积和功耗都较大,本文研究了一种基于行列分解结构的二维DCT／IDCT变换,在两级一维DCT／IDCT变换之间插入双RAM结构,通过乒乓操作保证了前后级DCT／IDCT运算的并行性,提高了运算速度。电路结构在QuartusII中进行了逻辑综合,通过Modelsim编写激励对逻辑功能进行了仿真验证,并将仿真结果与Mat—lab仿真结果进行了比较。结果表明该模块功能正确,能够为图像处理提供良好的处理性能。     

复合材料帽形加筋梁强度及刚度实用计算与试验

利用变形协调方程,推导了复合材料帽形加筋梁的等效弯曲刚度公式,建立了复合材料帽形加筋梁的应力、挠度计算公式.计算了均布荷载作用下,不同边界条件下复合材料帽形加筋梁的应力和挠度,并进行了帽形加筋梁的三点弯曲强度试验.对比分析了数值计算结果和试验结果,结果表明:理论计算结果和试验结果吻合较好,说明该方法以及推导的计算公式是可靠的,易于在复合材料船体初步设计阶段中使用.     

Stochastic framework for partially degradation systems with continuous component degradation‐rate‐interactions

Many conventional models that characterize the reliability of multicomponent systems are developed on the premise that for a given system, the failures of its components are independent. Although this facilitates mathematical tractability, it may constitute a significant departure from what really takes place. In many real‐world applications, system components exhibit various degrees of interdependencies, which present significant challenges in predicting degradation performance and the remaining lifetimes of the individual components as well as the system at large. We focus on modeling the performance of interdependent components of networked systems that exhibit interactive degradation processes. Specifically, we focus on how the performance level of one component affects the degradation rates of other dependent components. This is achieved by using stochastic models to characterize how degradation‐based sensor signals associated with the components evolve over time. We consider “Continuous‐Type” component interactions that occur continuously over time. This type of degradation interaction exists in many applications, in which interdependencies occur on a continuum. We use a system of stochastic differential equations to capture such “Continuous‐Type” interaction. In addition, we utilize a Bayesian approach to update the proposed model using real‐time sensor signals observed in the field and provide more accurate estimation of component residual lifetimes. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 286–303, 2014