压制兵器火控系统发展趋势分析

从部队编制体制变革,数字化部队建设,新技术、新装备、新材料的出现等多方面分析压制兵器发展面临的形势,以及国外压制兵器发展现状,总结分析压制兵器的发展趋势,并归纳提炼出火控系统应从信息综合化、系统模块化、系统体系结构分布化、功能一体化、火控射击控制闭环化和快速实时解算等6个方面发展趋势,以实现精确、快速、协同的综合武器控制.     

武器-目标分配(WTA)问题研究进展

对武器-目标分配(WTA)问题的研究现状与进展进行了总结与述评.介绍了WTA问题的概念、基本模型、数学性质以及WTA问题研究的基本内容.目前WTA问题的研究内容主要集中在模型研究与算法研究两个方面.模型研究以静态模型的研究为主,但动态模型的研究还不够深入;算法研究则主要采用智能算法对WTA问题进行求解.目前基本上已经解决了小规模的静态WTA问题,但尚未有效解决大规模的动态WTA问题.     

营区锅炉供暖节能优化控制系统的研究

详细论述了以某部营区为试点单位,通过微处理器控制模块、气候补偿器、变频器等先进技术,对原有燃气锅炉供暖系统进行节能优化控制的改造措施。通过改造,可解决原有系统存在的能源浪费现象,降低供暖成本,达到良好的节能降耗效果。该方案也适用于燃煤锅炉供暖系统的节能改造。     

简易坦克火控系统的校正与射击修正

分析了某型坦克简易火控系统的性能特点,阐述了火控系统校正方法, 指出了火控系统校正中的常见错误,总结了射击指挥与射击修正方法。     

基于价值的指挥主体作战指挥行为评估

作战指挥行为是作战指挥理论的一个重要方面。在明确了其概念后,将价值这一概念引入作战指挥行为评估,认为价值的创造主体是作战指挥行为,并以此作为评估的基础。最后,利用数据挖掘中的关联规则实现评估的量化,并结合案例说明该方法的有效性。     

Building the next nuclear community

This viewpoint takes stock of the changes in the strategic nuclear landscape in recent decades and reflects on its consequences on the policy community. It finds that the number and scope of issues have expanded considerably; they have manifested themselves in many more regions of the world; and they have become deeply politicized and polarized. The consequences have been twofold: the nuclear policy field has seen the development of an increasingly diverse expert community composed of highly specialized functionalists and regionalists, and it has become ever more divided into two entirely separate ideological camps—one that believes in deterrence, the other in disarmament. The stove-piping of expertise and the widening gap between deterrence and disarmament ideologies are immensely problematic because, in different ways, they stand in the way of the emergence of a better and safer nuclear future. Looking ahead, it is critical to “bust the silos of expertise” and to build bridges between the deterrence and disarmament ideological camps. Only such a community-building effort will help solve today’s and tomorrow’s nuclear challenges.     

INCAPACITATING BIOCHEMICAL WEAPONS

Military interest in incapacitating biochemical weapons has grown in recent years as advances in science and technology have appeared to offer the promise of new “non-lethal” weapons useful for a variety of politically and militarily challenging situations. There is, in fact, a long and unfulfilled history of attempts to develop such weapons. It is clear that advances are opening up a range of possibilities for future biological and chemical weapons more generally. The treaties prohibiting biological and chemical weapons make no distinction between lethal and “non-lethal” weapons—all are equally prohibited. Indeed, a sharp and technically meaningful distinction between lethal and “non-lethal” biological and chemical weapons is beyond the capability of science to make. Thus, interest in incapacitating biochemical weapons, and efforts on the part of various states to develop them, pose a significant challenge to the treaty regimes, to the norms against biological and chemical warfare that they embody, and, ultimately, to the essential protections that they provide. Preventing a new generation of biological and chemical weapons from emerging will take concerted efforts and action at the local, national, and international levels.     

Controlled warfare: how directed-energy weapons will enable the US Military to fight effectively in an urban environment while minimizing collateral damage

US military operations are increasingly conducted within urban environments and with these operations come the risk of increasing the number of civilian casualties and infrastructure damage. The use of non-lethal weaponry, such as directed-energy weapons, is one method for minimizing collateral damage. This method enables US military forces to effectively fight within urban environments through force escalation capabilities. Using a series of historical examples and future scenarios for urban warfare, this article highlights deficiencies affecting military capabilities in military urban operations, addresses the consequences of collateral damage, assesses the effectiveness of directed-energy weapons in military urban operations and encourages further funding, research and integration of non-lethal weaponry, such as directed-energy weapons, within the US military.     

The Economic Consequences of the Libyan Spring: A Synthetic Control Analysis

Abstract

In 2011 a wave of revolutionary movements, the so-called Arab Spring, spread in the Middle East and North Africa. Libya was one of the most affected countries, ending Gaddafi’s dictatorship after an international intervention and a civil war. This paper assesses the effects that this revolution had on Libyan economy. The analysis is made by means of the synthetic control method. Our estimates for the 2011–2014 period show (i) a cumulative loss in the growth rate of per capita real GDP of 64.15%; (ii) a cumulative loss in per capita real GDP of 56,548 dollars; and (iii) a cumulative loss in the aggregate real GDP of 350.5 billion dollars.     

美国退出《中导条约》与俄美关系发展走向

2018年10月,美国宣布单方面退出《中导条约》。《中导条约》是美苏两国在冷战后期达成的,并得到了切实执行的条约,对于维护冷战后全球战略平衡发挥了至关重要的作用。冷战后,俄美曾经企图将《中导条约》多边化,构建俄美新型战略关系,但最终反目成仇,使得俄美关系严重倒退,并迈入新的相互战略遏制的时代。