The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于层间嵌入式多级支持向量机的特征选择

针对多故障样本一次性映射之后分类不理想,研究了多级层次式支持向量机,应用UCI数据仿真,结果表明该方法缩短了训练时间、提升了测试准确率、改善了样本的可分类性。由于误差积累,在此基础上,提出了层间嵌入式多级支持向量机,采用Abalone数据仿真,结果表明分类精度有所提高并减少了分类步骤。结合ReliefF算法,对制导设备的故障特征参数进行了选择。     

基于模糊事件的入侵检测模型

对模糊入侵事件进行了描述,分析了模糊入侵事件间的相似性,提出了基于模糊ECA规则的入侵检测知识表示方法,并阐述了模糊ECA规则的分析过程,以解决入侵行为的不确定性。     

数据资源规划中统一身份认证平台设计与实现

针对后勤信息化建设中数据集成和信息资源规划中面临的问题,提出了基于目录访问协议的统一角色存储、Agent表数据同步和JMS数据发布的用户信息认证机制和信息交换机制,实现了后勤各级用户全网身份数据的统一整合,确保全局数据的一致性,为全网完全统一身份认证提供技术基础。     

基于ADC的炮兵激光观测仪侦察效能分析

运用了效能分析方法,针对复杂战场环境下炮兵侦察系统的效能进行分析,特别是炮兵激光观测仪,揭示其内在规律,为提高现有侦察装备的作战效能找到重要途径,也为指挥员的决策提供可靠的战略支持.在侦察系统效能分析理论的基础上,对典型的激光观测仪侦察装备进行了计算评估验证,其方法和成果可供其他武器系统效能评估时借鉴参考.     

傅里叶望远术中的相位闭合分析及其仿真

傅里叶望远术是近年来受到广泛关注的一项主动成像技术.它利用直线干涉条纹对目标的傅里叶频谱进行提取,并利用相位闭合技术消除随机相位,最终获取同步轨道目标的高分辨率图像.对傅里叶望远术的基本理论进行了推导,详细阐述了相位闭合实现方法,并对整个过程进行了计算机模拟.仿真实现了对两个目标的频谱扫描并重建了它们的二维灰度图像,充分验证了傅里望远术的正确性和可行性.     

天地预警系统与机敏传感信息网

建立高效的天地预警系统对于赢得现代立体战争的胜利有着极其重要的意义。探讨了天地预警系统与机敏传感信息网 (Sm art Sensor Web)的构成 ,结合我国的部分研究现状 ,较详细地阐述了设计与构造天地预警系统所需解决的若干关键技术问题。     

管道主动消声的次级声源设计

针对柴油机排气的特点,结合有源噪声控制工程应用,提出了两种次级声源的设计方案,经过分析计算,给出了实验用次级声源．     

提高我国坦克防护能力的思考

分析了现代战场条件下坦克生存面临的重要威胁,强调了加强坦克主动式防护系统研究的重要性,并提出了加强我军坦克主动式防护系统的研究应遵循的原则和技术途径。     

The building evacuation problem with shared information

In this article, the Building Evacuation Problem with Shared Information (BEPSI) is formulated as a mixed integer linear program, where the objective is to determine the set of routes along which to send evacuees (supply) from multiple locations throughout a building (sources) to the exits (sinks) such that the total time until all evacuees reach the exits is minimized. The formulation explicitly incorporates the constraints of shared information in providing online instructions to evacuees, ensuring that evacuees departing from an intermediate or source location at a mutual point in time receive common instructions. Arc travel time and capacity, as well as supply at the nodes, are permitted to vary with time and capacity is assumed to be recaptured over time. The BEPSI is shown to be NP‐hard. An exact technique based on Benders decomposition is proposed for its solution. Computational results from numerical experiments on a real‐world network representing a four‐story building are given. Results of experiments employing Benders cuts generated in solving a given problem instance as initial cuts in addressing an updated problem instance are also provided. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008