网络化指挥控制系统同步特性分析

为解决指挥控制系统模型难以进行数值分析的问题,根据指挥控制过程OODA模型的周期循环特性定义了指挥节点动力学振子,应用捕捉复杂网络同步动力过程的Kuramoto模型描述了网络化指挥控制系统的同步行为特性,并分析了耦合强度与系统同步之间的关系.理论与数值分析表明:对于全连通的网络化指挥控制系统,当信息交互耦合强度超过阚值时系统能达到同步.     

The impact of operational decisions on the design of salesforce incentives

When facing high levels of overstock inventories, firms often push their salesforce to work harder than usual to attract more demand, and one way to achieve that is to offer attractive incentives. However, most research on the optimal design of salesforce incentives ignores this dependency and assumes that operational decisions of production/inventory management are separable from design of salesforce incentives. We investigate this dependency in the problem of joint salesforce incentive design and inventory/production control. We develop a dynamic Principal‐Agent model with both Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in which the principal is strategic and risk‐neutral but the agent is myopic and risk‐averse. We find the optimal joint incentive design and inventory control strategy, and demonstrate the impact of operational decisions on the design of a compensation package. The optimal strategy is characterized by a menu of inventory‐dependent salesforce compensation contracts. We show that the optimal compensation package depends highly on the operational decisions; when inventory levels are high, (a) the firm offers a more attractive contract and (b) the contract is effective in inducing the salesforce to work harder than usual. In contrast, when inventory levels are low, the firm can offer a less attractive compensation package, but still expect the salesforce to work hard enough. In addition, we show that although the inventory/production management and the design of salesforce compensation package are highly correlated, information acquisition through contract design allows the firm to implement traditional inventory control policies: a market‐based state‐dependent policy (with a constant base‐stock level when the inventory is low) that makes use of the extracted market condition from the agent is optimal. This work appears to be the first article on operations that addresses the important interplay between inventory/production control and salesforce compensation decisions in a dynamic setting. Our findings shed light on the effective integration of these two significant aspects for the successful operation of a firm. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 320–340, 2014     

考虑弹体动态特性的机动效率约束导引律

针对考虑交会角和过载约束导引律在大机动时能量损失大的问题,提出一种考虑导弹机动效率的多约束制导律。应用最优二次型原理推导出考虑一阶弹体延迟的时变导引系数闭环次优制导形式,将导弹机动时刻阻力系数引入时变权系数,并通过迭代确定机动效率约束边界。将时变约束表示成剩余时间与弹体延迟时间的函数,代入制导指令,进行弹道仿真。结果表明,对于常值与机动目标,文中制导律与过载约束导引律同只考虑交会角约束的导引律相比,对目标均能实现末端弹道成型要求,而考虑机动效率的制导指令分配更为合理,在避免指令加速度饱和的同时有效降低了拦截末端速度损耗,提高制导精度与毁伤效果。且该制导律中时变权系数无须配平求解,在保证精度的同时极大地提高了迭代速度。     

基于邻域最优控制理论的中制导弹道簇生成

针对临近空间高超声速目标飞行速度快,跟踪预测难的特点,提出了在中制导阶段进行最优弹道设计与弹道簇生成用于对目标预测命中区域进行有效覆盖的方法。首先,通过分析临近空间高超声速目标对现有防空体系带来的挑战,阐明了在中制导段进行弹道簇设计与生成的必要性,其次,将中制导段的弹道规划问题视为求解满足多种约束条件下的最优控制问题,应用最优化理论方法得到了基准的最优弹道,再次,应用邻域最优控制理论,针对终端约束条件进行调整,设计了邻域最优弹道簇的生成算法。最后,通过仿真验证了所提方法的有效性。     

基于FPGA的某发控仪模拟器设计

针对某导弹发控仪模拟器集成度低,难以提高性能的问题,提出了基于FPGA的微型化设计方法,给出了具体的硬件电路和软件设计流程图,对典型电路进行了分析。仿真结果表明实现了原电路的功能,提高了集成度,实现了系统的功能优化。该设计为同类模拟器的研制提供了有效的方法和途径。     

一种控制学科在设计回路的多学科设计优化方法

提出了一种直接针对设计参数不确定性描述的鲁棒控制器设计方法,并将该方法的研究和多学科设计优化方法的研究结合起来,实现了控制学科在设计回路的多学科设计优化。以某无尾布局微型飞行器为例开展了气动、控制学科的并行设计优化研究,说明了该方法的可行性。     

An adaptive forecasting algorithm and inventory policy for products with short life cycles

Products with short life cycles are becoming increasingly common in many industries, such as the personal computer (PC) and mobile phone industries. Traditional forecasting methods and inventory policies can be inappropriate for forecasting demand and managing inventory for a product with a short life cycle because they usually do not take into account the characteristics of the product life cycle. This can result in inaccurate forecasts, high inventory cost, and low service levels. Besides, many forecasting methods require a significant demand history, which is available only after the product has been sold for some time. In this paper, we present an adaptive forecasting algorithm with two characteristics. First, it uses structural knowledge on the product life cycle to model the demand. Second, it combines knowledge on the demand that is available prior to the launch of the product with actual demand data that become available after the introduction of the product to generate and update demand forecasts. Based on the forecasting algorithm, we develop an optimal inventory policy. Since the optimal inventory policy is computationally expensive, we propose three heuristics and show in a numerical study that one of the heuristics generates near‐optimal solutions. The evaluation of our approach is based on demand data from a leading PC manufacturer in the United States, where the forecasting algorithm has been implemented. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

共面编队飞行卫星星座的控制

共面编队飞行的卫星星座的相对运动轨迹是一个椭圆,但卫星由于受摄动力的影响,其椭圆队形会发生变化。提出了一个简单而又节约燃料的队形保持控制方案,即在Hill轨道坐标系中,通过测量x轴和z轴,利用小推力喷气发动机进行控制,消除椭圆中心的相位漂移和各卫星轨道的不共面。     

攻防对抗仿真中高炮火力单元射击指挥模型

在分析高炮火力单元射击指挥过程的基础上,着重对高炮火力单元射击指挥仿真中的目标搜索模型与杀伤效果评估模型进行了深入探讨和构建。在实现高炮杀伤效果评估方面,运用蒙特卡罗方法构建了符合实际、满足仿真粒度要求的高炮着发射与空炸射击毁伤概率计算模型。实际应用表明:模型满足仿真可信度和实时性要求,对开展地面防空作战仿真具有一定的借鉴意义。     

A spatial rank‐based multivariate EWMA control chart

Nonparametric control charts are useful in statistical process control when there is a lack of or limited knowledge about the underlying process distribution, especially when the process measurement is multivariate. This article develops a new multivariate self‐starting methodology for monitoring location parameters. It is based on adapting the multivariate spatial rank to on‐line sequential monitoring. The weighted version of the rank‐based test is used to formulate the charting statistic by incorporating the exponentially weighted moving average control scheme. It is robust to non‐normally distributed data, easy to construct, fast to compute and also very efficient in detecting multivariate process shifts, especially small or moderate shifts which occur when the process distribution is heavy‐tailed or skewed. As it avoids the need for a lengthy data‐gathering step before charting and it does not require knowledge of the underlying distribution, the proposed control chart is particularly useful in start‐up or short‐run situations. A real‐data example from white wine production processes shows that it performs quite well. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 59: 91–110, 2012