边消警文献信息资源保障体系建设构想

阐述了边消警文献信息资源保障体系建设的内涵和建设原则,从资源体系建设、服务体系建设、网络平台建设和保障体系建设等四方面对边消警文献信息资源保障体系建设的内容进行了探讨.     

舰艇编队协同作战的空中目标威胁评估研究

从系统分析舰艇编队协同作战的空中目标威胁评估问题入手,深入研究了协同作战环境下编队空中目标威胁评估的基本过程。在此基础上,针对编队协同决策的特点,建立了基于两层决策的协同作战环境下编队空中目标威胁评估模型,从而提出了舰艇编队协同作战的空中目标威胁评估方法。最后,通过实例说明了所提方法的有效性。     

高师生社会支持与信息焦虑的关系研究

目的:研究高师生社会支持与信息焦虑的相关关系,旨在找出能够用社会支持改善信息焦虑状况的办法。方法:采用信息焦虑量表和领悟社会支持量表238名高师生进行测查。结果:1高师生社会支持的整体水平有极其显著性差异(F=6.083,P0.05)。2信息搜索与选择焦虑维度上存在显著的性别差异(T=4.218,P0.05)。在信息搜索和选择焦虑、信息饥渴焦虑上存在显著的年级差异(F=3.231,P0.05)。3湖北师范学院高师生信息焦虑和社会支持各因子间呈显著负相关(R=-0.153,P0.05)。通过回归分析,社会支持对信息焦虑程度具有预测作用(F=4.617,P0.01)。结论:通过增加社会支持来缓解高师生的信息焦虑。     

Some aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components

In this article, we study aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components. We show that the decreasing likelihood ratio property is closed under the formation of random minima. We also show, by counterexamples, that other aging properties are not closed under the formation of random minima or maxima. Some mistakes in the literature are corrected. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 238–243, 2014     

Some comparisons of residual life of coherent systems with exchangeable components

Most of the research, on the study of the reliability properties of technical systems, assume that the components of the system operate independently. However, in real life situation, it is more reasonable to assume that there is dependency among the components of the system. In this article, we give sufficient conditions based on the signature and the joint distribution of component lifetimes to obtain stochastic ordering results for coherent and mixed systems with exchangeable components. Some stochastic orders on dynamic (or conditional) signature of coherent systems are also provided. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 549–556, 2014     

基于副载波参考波形方法的GNSS双载波环多径抑制技术

为了实现对高阶BOC信号的无模糊和抗多径接收,本文将码相关参考波形的闸波设计思路应用于GNSS双载波环路接收方法的副载波锁相环,通过在副载波锁相环中引入设计的闸波参与信号的相干积分过程,使双载波环法具备抗多径性能,同时该方法并不需要额外引入相关器。本文对该设计方法的理论和具体实现进行了阐述和分析,从副载波多径误差包络和跟踪精度两方面对改进的双载波环路方法性能进行了评估。仿真结果显示,采用的算法与双载波环路法相比可以降低BOC(1, 1)信号81.1%的副载波多径误差包络面积,以及BOC(14, 2)信号75.1%的副载波多径误差包络面积。但是,改进的双载波环路法将带来-6dB的相干积分后载噪比损失,降低跟踪精度。因此,在闸波设计参数设计上,需要谨慎选择以平衡算法的多径抑制和跟踪精度性能。综合来看,该方法适用于解决非弱信号条件下及多径环境下的高阶BOC信号接收问题。     

时间序列分析中的模型定阶策略

模型的定阶问题是时间序列分析(包括参数谱估计、系统辨识,回归分析)研究领域中的一个重要问题。本文对现有的数种模型定阶方法,进行了分析、讨论和归纳,指出了它们所适用的场合及优劣。     

空军网络化指挥信息系统作战效能评估指标体系构建?

针对目前网络化指挥信息系统作战效能评估指标体系不完善、且缺乏分项指标计算方法模型等问题,从网络化作战对指挥信息系统的作战需求出发,研究构建了空军网络化指挥信息系统的作战效能评估指标体系,并提出了分项指标概念内涵和计算模型与方法,可为指挥信息系统研制提供参考和支撑,为其作战效能的客观评估提供指标体系和模型方法。     

Higher‐order Markov chain models for categorical data sequences*

In this paper we study higher‐order Markov chain models for analyzing categorical data sequences. We propose an efficient estimation method for the model parameters. Data sequences such as DNA and sales demand are used to illustrate the predicting power of our proposed models. In particular, we apply the developed higher‐order Markov chain model to the server logs data. The objective here is to model the users' behavior in accessing information and to predict their behavior in the future. Our tests are based on a realistic web log and our model shows an improvement in prediction. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

Dual sourcing: Responsive hedging against correlated supply and demand uncertainty

This article analyzes dual sourcing decisions under stochastically dependent supply and demand uncertainty. A manufacturer faces the trade‐off between investing in unreliable but high‐margin offshore supply and in reliable but low‐margin local supply, where the latter allows for production that is responsively contingent on the actual demand and offshore supply conditions. Cost thresholds for both types of supply determine the optimal resource allocation: single offshore sourcing, single responsive sourcing, or dual sourcing. Relying on the concept of concordance orders, we study the effects of correlation between supply and demand uncertainty. Adding offshore supply to the sourcing portfolio becomes more favorable under positive correlation, since offshore supply is likely to satisfy demand when needed. Selecting responsive capacity under correlated supply and demand uncertainty is not as straightforward, yet we establish the managerially relevant conditions under which responsive capacity either gains or loses in importance. Our key results are extended to the broad class of endogenous supply uncertainty developed by Dada et al. [Manufact Serv Operat Mange 9 (2007), 9–32].© 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012