基于类比法的子母弹射击效率评定研究

类比法是一种较为常见的逻辑推理方法,在各研究领域均有应用,但在军事评估领域却应用甚少。基于类比法的子母弹射击效率评定具有简单、实用、经济、便于大量计算等优点。根据子母弹与传统弹药在射击效率评定过程中的相似性,在经典毁伤评估模型的基础上,通过类比法建立字母弹的射击效率评定模型。列举了几种典型目标,并以子母弹的类比法模型进行射击效率评定,最后将类比法所得结论与目标仿真法的结论反映在雷达图上,通过数据比对验证了类比法对子母弹射击效率评定的可行性。     

我国西部偏远地区女童教育问题浅探

本文客观描述了当前西部偏远地区女童教育问题的实际状况,并针对存在问题进行了分析,提出了相应的思路。希望对实现两性教育公平,改变教育发展的不平衡状态,实现更大的社会公平有借鉴价值。     

基于人工神经网络的人员安全疏散反应时间研究

主要研究了基于Levenberg-Marquardt算法的人工神经网络的火灾时人员疏散反应时间的可靠性和可行性。首先介绍了人员疏散现状调研和LP神经网络背景特点,然后将问卷调查、疏散演练基于同一平台,建构人员疏散反应数学模型,最后通过LP神经网络进行实际测试和分析,验证了人员疏散反应时间数学模型的可靠性。     

Reconciling strategic studies … with itself: a common framework for choosing among strategies

Three distinct, and seemingly irreconcilable, schools of thought are identified within the strategic studies literature. One which searches for “universal principles of war,” a second, “context-dependent,” approach that seeks to embed each instance of warfare within its concurrent social, political, technological milieu and, finally a “paradoxical logic” school, which equates strategy with the generation of uncertainty. The author offers some intuitive concepts from non-cooperative game theory to develop a “dominate-mix” approach to strategy choice. In doing so, he helps to reconcile these disparate approaches and provides a simple framework to assist researchers in framing military decisions as well as to assist planners in choosing among strategies.     

舰载对陆巡航导弹规划航路点间距离的计算分析

针对舰载对陆巡航导弹在实际飞行中,其航迹需要参考近似大地线的航线,在充分考虑导弹由海对陆的航路规划过程基础上,提出了易于编程、精度有所改进的空间两点间大地距离的计算方法。该方法在考虑高程的地球椭球模型参数的求取基础上,利用Bowring反解公式重新推导了顾及高程的空间航路点间的计算公式。相关算例表明,该方法提高了导弹规划航路点间距离的计算精度且易于工程实现。     

A quasi-isentropic model of a cylinder driven by aluminized explosives based on characteristic line analysis

A quasi-isentropic study on the process of driving a cylinder with aluminized explosives was carried out to examine the influence of the aluminum (Al) reaction rate on cylinder expansion and the physical parameters of the detonation products. Based on the proposed quasi-isentropic hypothesis and relevant isentropic theories, the characteristic lines of aluminized explosives driving a cylinder were analyzed, and a quasi-isentropic model was established. This model includes the variation of the cylinder wall velocity and the physical parameters of the detonation products with the Al reaction degree. Using previously reported experimental results, the quasi-isentropic model was verified to be applicative and accurate. This model was used to calculate the physical parameters for cylinder experiments with aluminized cyclotrimethylenetrinitramine explosives with 15.0 % and 30.0 % Al content. The results show that this quasi-isentropic model can be used not only to calculate the cylinder expansion rule or Al reaction degree, but also to calculate the physical parameters of the detonation products in the process of cylinder expansion. For explosives with 15.0 % and 30.0 % Al, 24.3 % and 18.5 % of the Al was found to have reacted at 33.9 μs and 34.0 μs, respectively. The difference in Al content results in different reaction intensity, occurrence time, and duration of two forms of reaction (diffusion and kinetic) between the Al powder and the detonation products; the post-detonation burning reaction between the Al powder and the detonation products prolongs the positive pressure action time, resulting in a continuous rise in temperature after detonation.     

规则空间下基于MRFC-Vicsek模型的集群控制

针对规则空间下集群运动问题,开展了基于多区域模糊控制(MRFC)-Vicsek模型的集群控制方法的研究.考虑到仿生集群在运动时的行为准则,首先建立了包括避碰层、一致层、内聚层、连通层在内的多区域Vicsek模型.其次,通过模糊规则将不同区域个体数量和集群拥挤程度转化为对中心个体的影响权重,再结合规则空间内边界对个体的影...     

考虑浮绳联结的双无人船艇系统协同控制策略研究

针对青岛等海域浒苔泛滥成灾的问题,开展了由浮绳柔性连接两艘水面无人船艇构成的双无人船艇系统协同控制策略研究,通过双无人船艇系统清扫浒苔,并将其拖运至海岸.考虑系统中的无人船艇动力、浮绳力矩和水流产生的干扰力矩,建立了欠驱动无人船艇三自由度动力学模型,提出了基于距离的包含编队和跟踪两个模式的协同控制策略.双无人船艇系统作...     

A Dangerous Method: How Mali Lost Control of the North,and Learned to Stop Worrying

Abstract

This article analyses changes and failures in the northern Mali system of security governance, taking into account the period running from the declaration of the Malian Third Republic (1992) to the present. Considering northern Mali as an area of limited statehood, the article develops a comparative diachronic analysis, distinguishing between three phases, namely Militiarisation (1992–2002), Fragmentation (2002–2012) and Multiplication (2013–ongoing). For every phase the focus is on (1) the mechanisms of coordination among actors, (2) the distribution of coercive capacities and ruling power and (3) the forms of authority. Unintended consequences and collective problems are highlighted, in order to understand the current situation of insecurity in the area.     

Local ownership as international governmentality: Evidence from the EU mission in the Horn of Africa

ABSTRACT

While some Foucault-inspired studies construe local ownership in international interventions as a form of liberal governmentality that aims to govern through freedom, others lambast it as an illiberal governmentality that is likely to be resisted because it undermines local autonomy. However, we still do not know what is the rationality behind local ownership, how it is being operationalized, and why a principle that aims to govern through freedom ends up curtailing it. I argue that local ownership, echoing the colonial principle of indirect rule, is driven by the rationality of advanced democracies on how best to govern global insecurities at a distance. Consequently, ownership is operationalized as responsibilization for externally designed objectives. This often gives rise to local resistance which undermines international efforts to achieve ownership. I illustrate my arguments with evidence from the EU Mission on Regional Maritime Capacity Building in the Horn of Africa (EUCAP Nestor).