1,4 -二乙炔苯与1,4-丁炔二醇的共聚及表征研究

本文以(Ph_3P)_2 PdCl_2为催化剂,用各种比例的对二乙炔苯(DEB)与1,4-丁炔二醇(BD)合成出共聚物及两种单体的均聚物。共聚物为褐黑色,不溶不熔。单体配比中DEB比例越高,共聚物交联度和比重越大,产率越高,溶胀度越小。单体摩尔比DEB/BD≥1/2时,共聚物最良溶剂为苯,溶度参数(δP)为9.15卡~(0.5)·cm~(-1.5),而DEB/BD=1/5时,共聚物最良溶剂为无水乙醇,8p=12.7卡~(0.5)·cm~(-1.5).对均聚物及共聚物做了红外光谱表征并讨论了聚合反应机理。     

利用区间着色 Petri 网的 C~3I 系统时延分析

Ｃ３Ｉ系统是一个复杂的分布式离散事件动态系统,适合于用Ｐｅｔｒｉ网来描述其异步,并发行的,而且Ｃ３Ｉ系统是一个时间准则系统,文中提出的区间着色Ｐｅｔｒｉ网非常适合于分析其严格时限,并给出计算时延上（下）界的算法。     

防空 C~3I 时分多址网络仿真系统

介绍了防空Ｃ３Ｉ时分多址网络仿真系统的结构、功能、原理和特点。     

系统的互操作性

阐明了确保互操作性的重要性,介绍了有关互操作性的标准及互操作性的鉴别与测试,并提出了确保互操作性的几点建议。     

战术互联网的网络重组方法

战术互联网的网络重组是在网络节点或通信链路发生故障,或受到安全威胁时,保证网络强壮性的重要手段之一。根据战术互联网特殊的移动网络环境,提出基于作战指挥原则的组织重组方法和基于遗传算法的链路重组方法。仿真实验结果证明了这些方法的有效性。     

ITSON：一种基于拓扑演化的P2P智能搜索机制

P2P系统中节点的动态特性对搜索性能的稳定提出了很大挑战。借鉴社会学和组织学相应原理,提出拓扑演化模型捕获节点的运动规律。节点模拟人类在社会网络中的行为,根据自身和他人的兴趣变化,随搜索过程的进行,利用自身局部信息,动态、自适应地调整网络拓扑,及时反映资源分布以及搜索内容的动态变化,维持资源合理组织。在此基础上提出的智能搜索机制ITSON(InTelligent Search based on tOpology evolutioN),利用消息转发的智能性进行路由方向决策,从而迅速定位资源提供节点。仿真结果说明,ITSON能自动优化网络,具有良好的搜索性能和自适应特性。     

Dynamic Winner-Take-All Conflict

This paper empirically investigates the importance of financial and political variables in determining debt rescheduling probabilities in Turkey for 1955–2000. The problem of sovereign debt default and rescheduling has been the subject of substantial academic research during the last two decades. There has been criticism of models of developing countries’ indebtedness and rescheduling that rely solely on some economic or financial predictors related to country debt, the foreign exchange sector or the domestic economic situation. Using probit analysis, this paper indicates that financial variables are important determinants of rescheduling probabilities. However, political variables are not significant in our models.     

Transnational terrorism as a spillover of domestic disputes in other countries

This paper models transnational terrorism as a three‐way strategic interaction involving a government that faces armed opposition at home, which may spill over in the form of acts of terrorism by the state's opponents against the government's external sponsor. The external sponsor also utilises deterrence against potential terrorists, which only lowers terrorism if terrorists are not intrinsically motivated by a deep‐seated sense of humiliation. The model highlights the importance of intrinsic motivation. A rise in the external power's preference for deterrence against terrorism may backfire in these circumstances. Increases in the government's military efficiency against the rebels, who are also terrorists against the government's sponsor, raises overall levels of violence.     

Defence spending and economic growth in South Africa: A supply and demand model*

This paper provides a contribution to the growing corpus of knowledge and understanding of the interaction between economic growth and defence spending in South Africa by specifying a Keynesian simultaneous equation model and estimating the system for the period 1961 to 1997. The model contains a growth equation, a savings equation, a trade balance equation and a military burden equation and when estimated by single equation and systems estimation methods is relatively well specified. There is evidence of an overall negative effect of military spending on the economy over this period, though the significance of individual coefficients is low. There is certainly no evidence of any positive impact, suggesting that cuts in military spending do present an opportunity for improved macroeconomic performance.     

U.S. Troops and Foreign Economic Growth

By way of an evolutionary game model we show that mediation in international conflicts might be harmful to the conflicting parties. In fact, under anarchy both parties can be better off than under an international regime if mediation reduces the parties’ reactive capacities (i.e. their abilites to respond to an aggression). This result is applied to issues currently discussed in the literature on international relations such as the role of the United Nations as a mediator of international conflicts.