The misguided and mismanaged intervention in Libya: Consequences for peace

In this paper, I critically analyse the doctrine of the Responsibility to Protect (RtoP), as it relates to the responsibility of intervening forces towards the people they claim to protect and the challenges that the situation in Libya now poses in the region and for the African Union (AU). I focus most of my attention on the coercive elements of the RtoP framework (Pillar III). This is the most contested element in the framework. Three questions guide this article: were there legitimate grounds to justify an external intervention in Libya? In the words of Hugh Roberts in Who Said Gaddafi Had to Go, ‘[w]hat if anything has Libya got in exchange for all the death and destruction that have been visited on it’ since 2011? What are the practical implications and consequences of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) intervention, led by the United States (US), for regional peace? I discuss the problems surrounding the US–NATO intervention, followed by an analysis of the various positions and narratives leading up to the intervention, the framing and justifications provided for the intervention, and an analysis of the AU's proposal for the resolution of the Libyan crisis. I analyse the various debates that took place in the US (Pentagon/White House), at the United Nations, among scholars in the West and in Africa, and among various actors who tried to broker a ceasefire in Libya before and during the intervention. I conclude with a discussion of the implications for regional peace.     

空中多飞行器飞行轨迹优化数值仿真

针对空中多飞行器在复杂环境中飞行轨迹的多目标最优问题,分析了多飞行器飞行过程中各种可视和不可视约束条件。基于在回避威胁区前提下燃料消耗最少、飞行时间最短的综合性能指标,采用“多方法组合”思路,提出了改进动态规划法和多点边值法组合算法,并进行了仿真验证,大量C＋＋数值飞行仿真结果表明该算法能够在考虑外界复杂环境和飞行器各种约束条件下快速规划出空中多飞行器的最优飞行轨迹,该组合算法具有一定的实用性和创新性。     

面向突发事件的应急指挥控制敏捷性度量及仿真?

现阶段,国内外应急事件时有发生,如何快速有效地实施应急指挥控制是处置社会公共安全突发事件的核心要求之一。因此,以OODA模型为基础提出了一种基于敏捷性指标的应急指挥控制过程模型和一种基于Lotka?Volterra模型的度量指挥控制敏捷性的数学计算方法,并以地铁突发爆炸事故为背景,对应急指挥控制的敏捷性与指挥控制效果进行了仿真分析和对比。     

组织冲突及其管理

组织冲突是指组织内部成员之间、不同部门之间、个人与组织之间由于在工作方式、利益、性格、文化价值观等方面的差异而引起的彼此相抵触、争执甚至攻击等行为对立状态。引起冲突的原因是多方面的,有来自个人的,也有源于组织结构的。从冲突导致的后果来考察,可分为建设性冲突和破坏性冲突;从冲突发生的组织层次水平来看,有非正式组织与正式组织之间、直线主管人员与参谋以及委员会内部成员之间的冲突。要有效地管理冲突,首先要树立正确的观念,然后对冲突进行适当的诊断,最后有针对性地选择妥善的管理策略。     

一种分布式战术防空C3I系统仿真平台的框架结构研究

详细给出了分布式战术防空C3I系统仿真平台构建的总体设计及具体的网络平台方案。引入了高层体系结构 ,并将其技术规范应用到仿真平台的互联上 ,从而形成新一代的分布交互仿真系统。     

Reliability of a 2‐dimensional k‐within‐consecutive‐r × s‐out‐of‐m × n:F system

A 2‐dimensional rectangular (cylindrical) k‐within‐consecutive‐r × s‐out‐of‐m × n:F system is the rectangular (cylindrical) m × n‐system if the system fails whenever k components in a r × s‐submatrix fail. This paper proposes a recursive algorithm for the reliability of the 2‐dimensional k‐within‐consecutive‐r × s‐out‐m × n:F system, in the rectangular case and the cylindrical case. This algorithm requires min ( O (mk^r(n?s)), O (nk^s(m?r))), and O (mk^rn) computing time in the rectangular case and the cylindrical case, respectively. The proposed algorithm will be demonstrated and some numerical examples will be shown. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 625–637, 2001.     

基于构件的决策支持系统中模型组织集成框架IFMO

决策支持系统模型组织和表示是影响模型和建模效果的一个基本问题 ,也是实现模型管理的前提。在研究国内外建模技术以及开发CS -DSSP决策支持系统开发平台[1] [2 ] 的基础上 ,本文提出了一种基于构件的模型组织集成框架 ,包括模型构件化描述、构件化框架、集成框架体系结构等。IFMO提出了一种把先进建模技术应用到DSS中的方法     

基于Petri网的C2S性能分析方法研究

给出了用时间连续随机Petri网和时间离散随机Petri网计算系统稳态概率的方法,并将其应用于指挥控制系统(C2S)的性能分析中,分析结果表明这种计算方法是可行的。     

新型装备作战指挥信息系统军事需求论证的反向分析方法

基于新型装备作战指挥信息系统构成及功能,提出了"体系作战效果-作战运用方式-关键能力需求-需求方案决策优化"的军事需求映射机制,构建了新型装备作战指挥信息系统军事需求论证的反向分析总体框架,并分析反向分析方法的内容和设计了流程。该研究对新型作战力量指挥信息系统的顶层设计和工程建设具有一定的价值,对于开展其他复杂系统的体系结构研究也具有借鉴意义。     

无人机保障条件下的炮兵C4ISR系统作战效能评估

针对无人机保障条件下的炮兵指挥自动化(C4ISR)系统的作战运用特点,运用模糊理论探索其作战效能评估的有效方法.综合运用模糊综合评判和层次分析法(AHP)两种决策方法对无人机保障条件下的炮兵C4ISR系统的作战效能进行了评估,评估结果表明,无人机保障条件下的炮兵C4ISR系统的作战效能水平为正常.通过对影响炮兵C4ISR系统作战效能发挥的各个因素进行定量分析比较,认为当用无人机来保障炮兵C4ISR系统时,应当把确保系统的稳定性和提高无人机与炮兵C4ISR系统之间的通信控制能力作为重要环节来抓.