小型电动垂直起降飞行器推进系统性能分析

小型电动垂直起降飞行器的悬停续航性能取决于推进系统的性能。基于电池、电机、电调的质量模型和螺旋桨的推力-功耗关系,利用电池的恒流放电模型建立了垂直起降飞行器的续航时间评估模型,分析了推进系统参数和有效载荷对飞行器续航性能的影响规律,研究结论可用于电动垂直起降飞行器的总体设计和推进系统选型。     

采用时序多属性评价方法的空战威胁排序

鉴于空战中威胁目标的多属性及动态变化特点,提出采用时序多属性评价方法来解决空战目标动态威胁排序问题。在建立空战威胁指标体系基础上,采用熵权法确定目标属性权重,并通过指数分布法确定各时刻权重,最后综合依据威胁目标多时刻的属性信息,实现了空战动态威胁排序。仿真结果说明该方法的合理性。     

未来中远距协同空战多目标攻击决策研究

根据先进战斗机的技术特点和未来中远距协同空战发展方向,提出一种基于先敌发现、先敌发射、先敌摧毁能力的空战态势分析模型。同时,采用一种将并行遗传算法与分布估计算法相结合的并行分布遗传算法并将其用于多目标攻击决策。最后利用具体算例进行仿真。结果表明空战态势分析模型能够较为准确地描述未来中远距多机协同空战,采用的算法具有较好的可行性和实时性,为中远距多机协同空战的多目标攻击决策提供了新的思路和方法。     

基于无偏GM(1,1)幂模型的意图威胁建模

在态势威胁的基础上,利用无偏GM(1,1)幂模型设计了一种敌机意图威胁的模型。首先,提出了素质因子和探测概率因子,在此基础上,建立了改进的态势威胁模型。然后,将角度作为特征量对敌机机动进行预测,并建立了意图威胁模型。最后,分别对态势威胁和意图威胁模型进行仿真。结果表明,意图威胁模型行之有效。     

供电电缆磁场辐射的预测模型及优化设计

基于磁场叠加原理,建立了单相、三相、并联单相、并联三相供电电缆常见布局方式下的磁场辐射计算模型,并给出了降低电缆磁场辐射的优化布局方法。仿真与实验结果表明:该计算模型有较高的准确性,有助于把握供电电缆磁场辐射的决定因素,可用于快速指导供电电缆的优化设计,以避免反复的仿真或实验试探,缩短设计时间,降低设计成本。     

Modelling international conflict under conditions of state level economic and political uncertainty

Formal models of international conflict have tended to concentrate on change across the security dimension, assuming that the state level economic and political dimensions are constant. However, the conclusion of the Cold War suggests that over the long run these dimensions are not constant; indeed, the development of economic power, state level limits on defence expenditures, structural impediments to economic change, and several other ‘constants’ clearly do have an endogenous role in international conflict. This paper suggests one strategy for their inclusion as a causal factor in conflict modelling.     

FOOD AID

Abstract

This paper seeks to critically appraise Africa's position within the United Nations Security Council from the inception of the UN in 1945 until the end of 2010, spanning the entire history of the world body. A few factors make such an appraisal a useful exercise. These include the ongoing debates about the reform of the Council in particular and the UN as a whole, and the growing interest that many African students and observers of and actors in international relations seem to have developed in recent years in the working of the world body. In this appraisal, emphasis will be placed on the origin and rationale behind the establishment of the Security Council as well as the use of the veto power by its permanent members, with a special reference to Africa.     

EXTRAORDINARY VISITS

North Korea has the bomb but not much of a nuclear arsenal. For fifty years, it pursued the plutonium path to the bomb in parallel with its pursuit of nuclear electricity. My visits to North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear complex provided a window to its plutonium capabilities. After having made six visits to North Korea, Pyongyang surprised me during my seventh visit last November by showing me a small, modern uranium enrichment plant, which I was told was needed for its new indigenous light water reactor program. However, the same capabilities can be used to produce highly enriched uranium bomb fuel. Following a pattern of having made poor risk-management decisions during much of the past twenty years of diplomacy dealing with the North Korean nuclear threat, Washington remains in a standoff with Pyongyang.     

群决策理论在多机协同空战机动决策中的应用

针对近距空战中多架战机对空中的多个敌对目标进行协同攻击的机动决策问题进行了研究。将群决策理论引入多机协同空战机动决策,首先确定了决策成员与候选方案,然后基于战场态势评估提出了采用风险决策准则的偏好排序确定方法,给出了集结偏好的序数型群决策方法。在不同空战想定条件下进行仿真,结果表明,该方法合理、可行,具有良好的应用前景。     

采用无线携能技术的中继辅助CR-NOMA系统能效分析

针对现有关于认知无线电非正交多址接入网络的研究中终端电池容量有限和能源利用率低的缺点,采用了中继辅助用户进行传输,并且引入无线信息和能量同时传输的方式。在用户服务质量和最小能量捕获的约束条件下推导了次用户传输能效表达式,通过分式规划方法把非凸的目标函数转化为优化中继发射功率、中继功率分配和接收端功率分配三个凸的单目标问题,并分别用函数单调性、黄金分割算法、拉格朗日对偶算法和多目标联合优化算法进行优化,求得了全局最优解,使次用户系统传输能效最大化。对所采用的算法复杂度进行分析,仿真结果表明:与传统的正交多址接入方案相比较,在提高系统频谱利用率的同时,次用户传输能效有47%的提高。