Choosing arrival process models for service systems: Tests of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process

Service systems such as call centers and hospital emergency rooms typically have strongly time‐varying arrival rates. Thus, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) is a natural model for the arrival process in a queueing model for performance analysis. Nevertheless, it is important to perform statistical tests with service system data to confirm that an NHPP is actually appropriate, as emphasized by Brown et al. [8]. They suggested a specific statistical test based on the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic after exploiting the conditional‐uniform (CU) property to transform the NHPP into a sequence of i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed on [0,1] and then performing a logarithmic transformation of the data. We investigate why it is important to perform the final data transformation and consider what form it should take. We conduct extensive simulation experiments to study the power of these alternative statistical tests. We conclude that the general approach of Brown et al. [8] is excellent, but that an alternative data transformation proposed by Lewis [22], drawing upon Durbin [10], produces a test of an NHPP test with consistently greater power. We also conclude that the KS test after the CU transformation, without any additional data transformation, tends to be best to test against alternative hypotheses that primarily differ from an NHPP only through stochastic and time dependence. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 66–90, 2014     

基于压力间断解析解对AUSM -up格式的修正*

AUSM -up格式是AUSM类系列格式中最完善的,通过在对流通量中引入压力耗散,同时在压力通量中引入速度耗散,使之在各种马赫数下均有良好的收敛性和稳定性。然而,通过对格式的分析,我们发现当马赫数为零时,在压力间断位置会出现质量通量无穷大的非物理现象。为了克服这一缺陷,采用特征线法获得了压力间断问题的解析解;以此为基础,对对流通量中的压力耗散项进行修正,发展出新的AUSM -up格式。以新的格式对不同速度驱动下的冲击波发展、不同强度压力间断问题和激波衍射问题进行了仿真,计算结果与理论解吻合得较好。     

卫星在役考核相关问题研究

各类卫星在现代战争中发挥着重要和关键作用。我国传统的卫星试验和鉴定具有很强的科研试验性质,承制单位和用户重点关注的是性能检验,较少考虑作战效能和部队适用性等指标。为推动卫星装备建设和应用,装备试验鉴定部门初步组织开展了相应的在役考核工作。文章对比了美军装备作战试验与鉴定、我国作战试验与在役考核的概念;提出卫星在役考核的六大特点;分析卫星在役考核的组织方式、组织机构和组织保障的不足,提出相应发展建议;研究卫星在役考核指标体系设计、分析评估方法、问题反馈与整改等方面的不足,并提出相应措施建议。     

Flow shop scheduling with earliness,tardiness, and intermediate inventory holding costs

We consider the problem of scheduling customer orders in a flow shop with the objective of minimizing the sum of tardiness, earliness (finished goods inventory holding), and intermediate (work‐in‐process) inventory holding costs. We formulate this problem as an integer program, and based on approximate solutions to two different, but closely related, Dantzig‐Wolfe reformulations, we develop heuristics to minimize the total cost. We exploit the duality between Dantzig‐Wolfe reformulation and Lagrangian relaxation to enhance our heuristics. This combined approach enables us to develop two different lower bounds on the optimal integer solution, together with intuitive approaches for obtaining near‐optimal feasible integer solutions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper that applies column generation to a scheduling problem with different types of strongly ????‐hard pricing problems which are solved heuristically. The computational study demonstrates that our algorithms have a significant speed advantage over alternate methods, yield good lower bounds, and generate near‐optimal feasible integer solutions for problem instances with many machines and a realistically large number of jobs. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

A spatial rank‐based multivariate EWMA control chart

Nonparametric control charts are useful in statistical process control when there is a lack of or limited knowledge about the underlying process distribution, especially when the process measurement is multivariate. This article develops a new multivariate self‐starting methodology for monitoring location parameters. It is based on adapting the multivariate spatial rank to on‐line sequential monitoring. The weighted version of the rank‐based test is used to formulate the charting statistic by incorporating the exponentially weighted moving average control scheme. It is robust to non‐normally distributed data, easy to construct, fast to compute and also very efficient in detecting multivariate process shifts, especially small or moderate shifts which occur when the process distribution is heavy‐tailed or skewed. As it avoids the need for a lengthy data‐gathering step before charting and it does not require knowledge of the underlying distribution, the proposed control chart is particularly useful in start‐up or short‐run situations. A real‐data example from white wine production processes shows that it performs quite well. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 59: 91–110, 2012     

站点主题结构与导航归纳技术

站点主题描述了互联网站点中信息的聚合与分类,体现着信息逻辑结构,是分析站点信息的关键。分析站点逻辑结构是站点设计的逆向过程,为了准确分析站点中的主题,提出了站点主题结构的理论模型,以形式化的方式描述了站点中不同主题的组织形式、逻辑关系及相关性质,为面向主题的网络信息抽取提供必要的理论基础。在此基础上,进一步研究自动构建站点主题结构的技术,提出基于导航的主题结构归纳方法,并进行了算法描述和实验分析。实验结果证明,站点主题结构的理论模型概括了目前大多数站点的主题结构特征,基于导航的主题结构归纳方法能正确地建立站点的主题结构,并具有较快的运行时间。     

基于模糊层次分析法的非致命弹药安全管理系统评价

针对非致命弹药安全管理评估方面的空白,采用模糊层次分析法（FAHP）,从宏观上对非致命弹药安全管理系统进行评价。通过分析影响非致命弹药安全管理水平的因素,建立系统综合评价指标。分别建立不同指标间的模糊一致判断矩阵,确定隶属函数、权重值,最后得出定量评判结果,确定非致命弹药安全管理系统等级,对非致命弹药安全管理提供理论依据。     

基于四元联系数的非战争军事行动装备保障能力评价方法研究

针对非战争军事行动装备保障能力评价问题,综合运用能力模型和集对分析理论,在构建非战争军事行动装备保障能力评价指标体系基础上,建立非战争军事行动装备保障能力四元联系数评价模型,并示例说明该方法的应用．     

基于QPSO算法的支持向量机参数优化研究

应用具有量子行为的粒子群优化算法,对支持向量（SVM）进行参数优化研究．根据支持向量机的分类准确率和泛化能力之间的关系,应用QPSO算法选取比较优秀的参数模型,比较参数模型的各项性能,选取最适合实际需要的参数模型．仿真表明,QPSO算法的SVM模型与PSO算法相比在分类准确率和泛化能力上均获得更好的效果,经QPSO优化后的SVM整体性能明显提高．     

基于DAC5686的线性调频信号产生方法研究

研究了基于DAC5686的线性调频信号产生方法。分析了线性调频信号及其产生原理,研究了DAC5686工作原理,设计了信号产生电路,给出了线性调频信号的实现实例．结果表明,该方法可以灵活地产生所需线性调频信号,从而满足某型地空导弹制导雷达中频接收机性能测试的需要．与传统的线性调频信号产生方法相比,该方法降低了系统设计难度,缩短了开发周期,提高了设计的可靠性,具有较高的实用价值,对于其它场合频线性调频信号的产生也具有一定的借鉴意义．