机场目标遭袭后飞机升降能力仿真评估方法

以机场目标的飞行场地为主要研究对象,通过作战仿真的手段,建立了机场目标起降能力评估模型.该模型以单位时间内起降飞机的数量作为衡量机场起降能力的指标,通过仿真作战过程中机场目标各子目标的毁伤状态和毁伤情况,动态地评估作战过程中任意时刻机场目标的起降能力.模型对作战指挥和火力分配有重要的辅助决策作用.     

对策理论的防空作战决策级融合模型

随着防空C3I系统的发展,防空作战决策的过程较以往更为自动化,用于生成各种作战辅助决策方案的计算机模型也具备随着作战环境改变所表现出一定的自适应调整的特征.影响防空作战决策结果正确性的因素众多,表现这些因素的信息有些是冲突的,为得到更为准确、有效的决策方案,各类冲突信息的处理成为防空作战的核心问题.构造了一种在冲突信息环境下基于对策理论的融合模型,以对策理论的相关算法实现了融合中心各类信息的交互决策.实践表明,这一融合模型能有效地解决防空作战决策中各类信息的综合处理问题,具有一定的实用价值.     

基于整数规划的地地导弹打击目标优化选取

地地战役战术导弹火力运用中,对导弹打击目标的选取是导弹部队制定合理科学作战方案所面临的现实问题。针对给定弹量和特定作战意图对打击目标进行优化选择问题,运用0-1型整数规划,建立合理的数学模型并确定最优打击目标。通过应用实例表明,此方法简便易行,可操作性较强,具有一定的实用价值。     

Optimal pricing and inventory control policy in periodic‐review systems with fixed ordering cost and lost sales

This paper studies a periodic‐review pricing and inventory control problem for a retailer, which faces stochastic price‐sensitive demand, under quite general modeling assumptions. Any unsatisfied demand is lost, and any leftover inventory at the end of the finite selling horizon has a salvage value. The cost component for the retailer includes holding, shortage, and both variable and fixed ordering costs. The retailer's objective is to maximize its discounted expected profit over the selling horizon by dynamically deciding on the optimal pricing and replenishment policy for each period. We show that, under a mild assumption on the additive demand function, at the beginning of each period an (s,S) policy is optimal for replenishment, and the value of the optimal price depends on the inventory level after the replenishment decision has been done. Our numerical study also suggests that for a sufficiently long selling horizon, the optimal policy is almost stationary. Furthermore, the fixed ordering cost (K) plays a significant role in our modeling framework. Specifically, any increase in K results in lower s and higher S. On the other hand, the profit impact of dynamically changing the retail price, contrasted with a single fixed price throughout the selling horizon, also increases with K. We demonstrate that using the optimal policy values from a model with backordering of unmet demands as approximations in our model might result in significant profit penalty. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

美国反恐情报工作改革及其启示

“9.11”事件显示出美国情报界存在的严重问题,事后,美国以反恐为中心,出台一系列反恐法律法规,重新架构情报体系,改革情报生产,加强国际反恐情报合作,以应对其认定的当前主要国家安全威胁———恐怖主义。美国当前情报运行机制可为我国边防情报工作提供良好借鉴。     

改革考试方法 加强考试管理

考试是评定学生学习成绩,检查教师教学效果和检测高校教学质量的基本手段,是教学管理中的重要环节。改革考试方法,加强考试管理,是教学管理部门和教师深入研究的重要课题。     

发挥评课潜在优势 促进教师专业成长

目前,在一些幼儿园中,开始了以评课来促进教师专业成长的尝试。本文分析了评课在促进教师专业成长方面的潜在优势,并针对当前一些幼儿园评课中存在的问题提出了改进措施,指出在以评课促进教师专业发展方面应当注意的问题,旨在使评课更好地服务于教师专业成长。     

关于亚纯函数微分多项式的值分布

运用Nevanlinna的亚纯函数理论方法,研究了亚纯函数微分多项式的值的分布理论,获得了若f(z)是超越亚纯函数,ψ是关于f的微分多项式,满足条件N(r,f) N(r,1/f)=S(r,f),关于ψ零点的几个结果,改进并推广了Yang C C和仪洪勋等人的有关结果.     

Tilting at windmills: The flawed U.S. policy toward the 1971 Indo-Pakistani war

ABSTRACT

This article examines decision-making mistakes made by U.S. President Nixon and national security advisor Kissinger during the 1971 India-Pakistan crisis and war. It shows that Nixon and Kissinger routinely demonstrated psychological biases that led them to overestimate the likelihood of West Pakistani victory against Bengali rebels as well as the importance of the crisis to broader U.S. policy. The evidence fails to support Nixon and Kissinger’s own framing of the 1971 crisis as a contest between cool-headed realpolitik and idealistic humanitarianism, and instead shows that Kissinger and Nixon’s policy decisions harmed their stated goals because of repeated decision-making errors.     

具有多重置条件的目标二次航迹归一

针对防空Ｃ￣３Ｉ系统指挥中心的二次航迹归一。提出了具有重置条件的人工神经网络模型来解决空中目标二次航迹的归一问题。结果表明,采用新方法来进行二次航迹归一,具备速度快、计算量小、实时性好,且能保证较高的辨识正确率等优点。