The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

增强景象匹配鲁棒性的灰度变换技术研究

高可靠高精度的景象匹配技术是自主导航飞行器图像制导技术的核心和关键所在,文章对匹配图像的灰度畸变进行了研究,提出了基于直方图相似变换灰度畸变校正技术,提高了景象匹配定位的准确性和可靠性。由于外部成像条件和成像传感器本身存在差异,匹配图像往往存在较大灰度畸变,使得实时图和基准图在灰度域存在较大不一致,从而影响景象匹配可靠性。文章通过对匹配图像进行直方图的相似变换,将匹配图像直方图调为一致,有效消除了匹配图像灰度差异,调整后图像间的直方图相似系数均在0.95以上。通过10300次独立真实外场景象匹配定位试验,证明本文基于直方图的匹配图像灰度预处理方法可有效消除图像间的灰度差异,减少匹配图像间由于灰度差异而产生的重复模式,大幅提高景象匹配鲁棒性,经过本文方法预处理后的匹配图像景象匹配成功率为99.98%,已满足工程实用对景象匹配算法高可靠性的要求。     

Approximation results for min‐max path cover problems in vehicle routing

This article studies a min‐max path cover problem, which is to determine a set of paths for k capacitated vehicles to service all the customers in a given weighted graph so that the largest path cost is minimized. The problem has wide applications in vehicle routing, especially when the minimization of the latest service completion time is a critical performance measure. We have analyzed four typical variants of this problem, where the vehicles have either unlimited or limited capacities, and they start from either a given depot or any depot of a given depot set. We have developed approximation algorithms for these four variants, which achieve approximation ratios of max{3 ‐ 2/k,2}, 5, max{5 ‐ 2/k,4}, and 7, respectively. We have also analyzed the approximation hardness of these variants by showing that, unless P = NP , it is impossible for them to achieve approximation ratios less than 4/3, 3/2, 3/2, and 2, respectively. We have further extended the techniques and results developed for this problem to other min‐max vehicle routing problems.© 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于垂直线列阵的深海被动目标定深误差

首先研究了在深海环境下,采用三阵元垂直线列阵水声探测系统进行被动目标定深的基本原理。然后分别从随机误差、阵元配置偏差和相干多途水声信道干扰的角度,对被动目标定深的误差源进行了理论分析,并推导了相关公式。通过仿真实验,总结出各误差源对被动目标定深精度影响的规律,为进一步开展被动目标定深研究、提高被动目标定深精度奠定了基础。     

导航精度对某型电视制导无人攻击机攻击性能影响

针对电视制导无人机的作战使用方式,分析了影响其攻击性能的因素;建立了导航精度与攻击无人机捕获目标概率之间的关系;基于捷联惯导的误差分析,对无人机中制导末段的导航精度进行了计算。构建了对无人攻击机目标捕获概率进行仿真计算的方案,建立了方案航迹,对其进行了中制导精度分析和目标捕获概率计算,结果表明导航精度和捕获概率直接相关。     

FMEA与粗糙集相结合的故障预测方法

基于FMEA和粗糙集决策系统基本理论,对飞机中分系统故障预测问题进行了研究。首先定义故障预测所需的征兆并对系统进行FMEA,按照FMEA分析结果分次向系统模型注入引起特定故障的事件,采集含有故障趋势的系统模型的信息用于构建适用于故障预测的粗糙集决策表,对该表进行了处理,最终发现用于故障预测的知识(即决策规则和算法);最后运用所发现的知识进行故障预测。     

基于LVDS的高速远程实时测控系统的设计

分析了LVDS在远程测控系统应用中的关键技术,介绍了基于LVDS的高速远程传输方式的设计方案。针对设计中的关键性问题,如电磁干扰、阻抗匹配、直流平衡以及信号驱动等问题提出了具体的解决方案,并给出了电路设计中阻抗匹配设计的线宽计算公式。最后结合实验分析了具体设计对于信号质量的影响。     

一种时频混叠的欠定混合通信信号盲分离算法

针对衰减-延迟欠定混合通信信号的盲分离问题,提出了一种基于子空间最小距离的源信号估计算法,通过计算观测信号到混合矩阵列矢量张成子空间的距离,估计任意时频点同时存在的源信号数目以及当前源信号对应的混合矩阵列矢量,把欠定混合问题转化为超定问题,然后通过计算Moore-Penrose逆矩阵求解源信号,理论分析和仿真结果验证了算法的有效性。     

一种基于帧间相关的红外弱小目标运动轨迹检测方法

针对传统帧间相关法对部分虚警轨迹难以排除的问题,研究了一种简单的帧间相关去噪算法,并提出在此基础上再次运用数学形态学方法来进一步排除虚假轨迹。算法采用形态学top-hat变换和二值化方法预处理原始图像,然后根据目标帧间相关而噪声点不相关的特点去噪,之后相加得到初步运动轨迹图像;最后采用形态学开运算,排除虚假轨迹,得到最终的检测结果。结果中检测出的目标轨迹清晰,虚警少。实验表明,该方法能有效地检测出弱小目标的运动轨迹。     

基于层间嵌入式多级支持向量机的特征选择

针对多故障样本一次性映射之后分类不理想,研究了多级层次式支持向量机,应用UCI数据仿真,结果表明该方法缩短了训练时间、提升了测试准确率、改善了样本的可分类性。由于误差积累,在此基础上,提出了层间嵌入式多级支持向量机,采用Abalone数据仿真,结果表明分类精度有所提高并减少了分类步骤。结合ReliefF算法,对制导设备的故障特征参数进行了选择。