基于维纳过程金属化膜电容器的剩余寿命预测

金属化膜电容器是惯性约束聚变激光装置能源系统最重要的元器件,对个体电容器的剩余寿命进行有效的预测对整个装置的可靠性水平有着重要的影响.为有效地预测个体电容器的剩余寿命,提出了融合单个电容器性能退化数据与先验性能退化数据信息的预测方法.采用Wiener过程对其性能退化过程进行建模,并根据先验退化数据信息构造参数的先验分布...     

基于Gauss伪谱法的航天器气动力辅助平面变轨问题研究

气动力辅助变轨技术可以有效地节约燃料,是未来航天器新型变轨技术的发展方向之一.该文采用Gauss伪谱法对航天器从高轨道向低轨道共面轨道转移问题进行了研究.在考虑热流限制、控制约束的条件下,得到了航天器大气飞行段的次优轨迹,并对轨迹特性进行了分析,证明优化结果满足一阶最优性必要条件.同时采用间接法处理该问题,对两种方法的...     

Impact of transfer pricing methods for tax purposes on supply chain performance under demand uncertainty

Transfer pricing refers to the pricing of an intermediate product or service within a firm. This product or service is transferred between two divisions of the firm. Thus, transfer pricing is closely related to the allocation of profits in a supply chain. Motivated by the significant impact of transfer pricing methods for tax purposes on operational decisions and the corresponding profits of a supply chain, in this article, we study a decentralized supply chain of a multinational firm consisting of two divisions: a manufacturing division and a retail division. These two divisions are located in different countries under demand uncertainty. The retail division orders an intermediate product from the upstream manufacturing division and sets the retail price under random customer demand. The manufacturing division accepts or rejects the retail division's order. We specifically consider two commonly used transfer pricing methods for tax purposes: the cost‐plus method and the resale‐price method. We compare the supply chain profits under these two methods. Based on the newsvendor framework, our analysis shows that the cost‐plus method tends to allocate a higher percentage of profit to the retail division, whereas the resale‐price method tends to achieve a higher firm‐wide profit. However, as the variability of demand increases, our numerical study suggests that the firm‐wide and divisional profits tend to be higher under the cost‐plus method than they are under the resale‐price method. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Monitoring poisson count data with probability control limits when sample sizes are time varying

This article considers the problem of monitoring Poisson count data when sample sizes are time varying without assuming a priori knowledge of sample sizes. Traditional control charts, whose control limits are often determined before the control charts are activated, are constructed based on perfect knowledge of sample sizes. In practice, however, future sample sizes are often unknown. Making an inappropriate assumption of the distribution function could lead to unexpected performance of the control charts, for example, excessive false alarms in the early runs of the control charts, which would in turn hurt an operator's confidence in valid alarms. To overcome this problem, we propose the use of probability control limits, which are determined based on the realization of sample sizes online. The conditional probability that the charting statistic exceeds the control limit at present given that there has not been a single alarm before can be guaranteed to meet a specified false alarm rate. Simulation studies show that our proposed control chart is able to deliver satisfactory run length performance for any time‐varying sample sizes. The idea presented in this article can be applied to any effective control charts such as the exponentially weighted moving average or cumulative sum chart. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 625–636, 2013     

基于在线动平衡的磁轴承参数辨识

针对磁悬浮刚性转子系统,提出了一种基于在线动平衡的磁轴承参数辨识方法。采用已知大小和相位的不平衡质量作为激振源,根据动平衡仪测得的转子不平衡响应,求得磁轴承位移刚度和电流刚度。利用某型磁悬浮控制力矩陀螺对该方法进行了试验验证,得到了一定转速范围内的磁轴承位移刚度和电流刚度,证明了该方法的正确性和实用性。试验结果表明外转子型磁轴承位移刚度和电流刚度随转速的增加而下降明显。     

小口径空炸射击高炮武器系统的点射毁伤概率

分析了各子系统所引起射击诸元误差分量的相关性和重复性;假定点射中射击诸元误差呈正态分布,随机生成射击诸元误差分量;根据射击诸元误差与射击误差的关系,计算射击误差;结合空炸毁伤定律,计算点射毁伤概率;通过算例,研究了弱相关误差的相关系数与点射毁伤概率的关系.     

任务驱动下航材需求量的GA-GM-BP预测

机务保障影响着航空装备战斗力的生成,机务保障资源是任务成功率的物质支撑.基于航材需求信息的灰色性,通过采用DEMATEL方法提取影响航空备件需求量的关键影响因素,采用遗传算法优化的灰色神经网络对需求量进行了仿真预测,其预测精度较BP神经网络和灰色神经网络都高.该方法对于其他航空机务保障资源的需求预测有借鉴意义.     

基于最大电流方法的数字均流总线设计

多个电源模块并联供电系统,最广泛使用基于最大电流方法的自动均流技术,通过专用的模拟均流总线,传输与模块最大电流成正比的电压信号,各个模块使用该电压信号实现均流.该模拟电压信号很容易受到各种噪声影响,导致均流控制失败.针对该问题,设计了单线数字均流总线,实现最大电流值的数字传输.分析结果表明,设计的单线数字均流总线能够实现模拟均流总线相同的功能,并且具有更强的抗干扰能力.     

案例教学法在学前教育学课程教学中的运用

学前教育学课程是学前教育专业学生系统学习本专业知识的认知起点,在教学中运用案例教学法能弥补学生对本专业的感性认知和实践经验的缺乏,对于教师的"教"、学生的"学"和师生之间、生生之间的互动都有十分重要而有益的价值。本文诠释了案例教学法的基本内涵,在此基础上论述了案例教学法在学前教育学课程教学中的重要价值,最后探讨了在学前教育学课程教学中案例教学法的实施过程和应当注意的问题。     

仿真教学优化《现代生物技术概论》课程教学模式的探讨

本文在分析现代生物技术课程特点和多媒体仿真教学及优点的基础上,阐述了利用仿真教学法在《现代生物技术概论》课程教学的优化模式,通过实践证明仿真软件在教学上具有实际应用价值。