弹道导弹攻防效果评估仿真研究

针对典型的弹道导弹攻防过程,将其从雷达对抗的角度进行建模分层,建立了适用于弹道导弹攻防的评估指标体系.由于影响攻防效果的诸多因素大多具有模糊性,故将模糊综合评估引入到弹道导弹攻防对抗领域.从评估仿真结果可以看出,改进后的模糊方法应用在弹道导弹攻防评估上是可行的,对弹道导弹作战体系有一定的指导意义.     

弹道导弹关机点状态估计的指数加权递归最小二乘方法

在双星预警条件下,将指数加权递归最小二乘算法应用于目标关机点状态估计问题中。通过引入加权因子对目标助推段运动的局部拟线性特性进行描述,从而在一定程度上克服了一般的线性多项式模型难以准确刻画整个助推段运动的难题。通过对助推段目标动力学特性的分析,考察了目标在垂直射面方向上的运动特性。在此基础上,提出了一种更为准确的助推段运动模型。仿真算例表明,所提出的关机点状态估计方法相对于传统的方法具有一定的优越性。     

基于层裂机理的弹体侵彻混凝土的终点弹道研究

基于动态球形空腔膨胀理论给出的阻力函数理论公式和开坑阶段的表面层裂机理,建立了能够综合考虑弹头形状、开坑区深度的斜侵彻深度预测模型,并进一步推导了能够适用不同弹头形状的弹体过载时程曲线计算公式。预测模型得到的侵彻深度和过载与试验结果吻合较好。研究结果可为弹体与混凝土靶的斜侵彻弹道分析和弹丸头部设计提供一定帮助。     

AUSMPW+格式在高超声速热化学非平衡流数值模拟中的应用

将AUSMPW+格式应用到高超声速热化学非平衡流场的数值模拟中。为提高精度,采用了三阶MUSCL插值方法。与LU SGS方法结合,提高了单步计算效率和收敛性。采用热化学非平衡十一组元气体模型求解了非定常轴对称Navier Stokes方程组,得到了收敛结果。数值模拟结果与文献结果进行了对比,并在弹道靶中进行了钢质圆球的实验验证。计算结果与文献、实验的对比说明,AUSMPW+格式可以在热化学非平衡流的数值模拟中精确地捕捉到强弓形激波,得到准确的空气动力系数。     

防空反导一体化雷达的发展状况及趋势

防空反导一体化雷达是新时期解决隐身飞机、弹道导弹威胁的主要手段,通过研究国外防空反导一体化雷达的发展状况,总结出防空反导一体化雷达的性能需求以及技术发展趋势,并为我国防空反导一体化多功能雷达系统的发展提出部分建议.     

火炮射击中的弹道气象参数辨识

弹道气象误差是影响火炮精度的重要因素。通过对弹道气象参数的可辨识性分析 ,建立了火炮外弹道气象参数滤波—辨识递推算法 ,仿真验证表明 ,该法能得到满意的辨识精度 ,可较大幅度地降低射击误差。     

基于虚拟样机的导弹维修训练仿真系统

以虚拟样机技术为基础 ,提出了装备虚拟维修训练系统建设总体方案 ,主要用于解决目前武器装备维修训练采用实物、实兵、实地训练 ,日常训练成本高、危险性大、训练效率与训练效果有待提高的问题。采用虚拟样机技术开发的装备维修仿真训练系统是解决目前武器装备维修训练突出问题的有效途径。该系统的实现 ,对于解决目前存在的复杂装备维修训练问题有重要意义     

BP神经网络的弹道导弹态势等级模型

针对弹道导弹的目标特性和作战特点,对主要态势指标进行了提取,构建了基于BP神经网络的态势等级模型,并按照区间对预警等级进行划分。为提高模型的准确性和适应性,通过样本数据对BP网络进行了训练,并进行了仿真得到了态势等级。仿真结果表明:利用BP神经网络对态势等级进行研究是可行的。     

Country Survey XIII: Japan's security posture and defense industry prospects

Defense budgets in Japan have been complicated compromises from numerous inputs ‐ including threat perceptions, domestic industrial/technological base development, support for the bilateral security treaty with the United States and internal bureaucratic politics ‐ but with the fall of the former Soviet Union, the clearest justification for higher spending disappeared. Double‐digit defense spending increases that were common in the 1980s have been replaced by annual increases lower than present inflation rates, resulting in negative real growth in the country's defense budget. Domestic economic problems and consistent government pressures for smaller budgets have further slowed annual growth in total spending and have contributed to lower procurement budgets. As a result, the domestic Japanese defense industry is facing far more constrained conditions from the growth years of a decade before.

Government policymakers are examining Japan's regional security environment as well as its alliance with the United States to determine the appropriate course for the country to take in the coming years. The formal security treaty with the United States is likely to remain a major element of government positions, but other aspects of the country's overall security posture are open to debate. Perceptions of a reduced threat environment are fueling additional pressures for defense budget cuts.

The domestic defense industry seeks means to assure its survival in domestic defense markets in this constrained environment. Expansion into overseas markets to offset declining domestic markets is an option that currently is constrained by policy restrictions on arms exports. Industry is advocating re‐examination of those policies and unlike earlier years, government appears willing to respond positively but cautiously to this lobbying.