Boost-glide Weapons and US-China Strategic Stability

ABSTRACT

The United States and China are testing boost-glide weapons, long-range strike systems capable of flying at Mach 5 or faster through the upper atmosphere. For the United States, these systems would provide a conventional prompt global strike capability, which, together with US ballistic missile defense programs, Chinese experts regard as a threat to China's ability to conduct nuclear retaliation. This perception is encouraging the Chinese military to modify its nuclear posture in ways that tend to create greater risks for both sides. If China's own boost-glide systems are meant to carry nuclear payloads only, their deployment would not fundamentally alter the current situation between the two states. However, if they were conventionally armed or dual-purpose, or if the United States could not determine the payloads they carried, the deployment of Chinese boost-glide systems could compound problems of strategic stability created by the introduction of ballistic missile defense, antisatellite, and antiship ballistic missile capabilities. If the technical hurdles can be overcome, it may be difficult for the two sides to refrain from these deployments in the absence of strong mutual trust or an established arms-control relationship. New confidence-building measures and expanded mutual transparency are warranted to avoid creating new dangers.     

气缸张开式尾翼弹气缸压力数值仿真研究

为研究气缸张开式尾翼工作原理,分析某型滑膛反坦克炮榴弹气缸充放气过程,建立尾翼弹在炮膛内的气缸压力模型,将其与炮弹底部气体压力、密度、温度等参量的变化规律相耦合,并对气缸压力模型进行可解性分析,得到一种求解气缸气体压力、密度等参数随时间变化的数值方法．     

基于多假设跟踪弹道导弹主动段跟踪算法

针对弹道导弹主动段防御中多枚弹道导弹同时跟踪问题,提出了基于多假设思想的主动段跟踪算法.重点阐述了该算法中假设生成、假设概率计算、假设约简以及假设剪枝等环节.从工程实用的角度出发,采用求解一个线性分配问题(LAP)方法得到M个最优假设,大大减少了假设数量,并运用N-scan回溯剪枝方法对假设进行剪枝,确定要输出的航迹,提高了算法的效率和实用性.仿真实验表明,该算法能够对主动段多枚弹道导弹目标准确关联跟踪.     

弹道导弹防御系统对抗技术研究

介绍了国外导弹防御系统研制和部署过程中所考虑的进攻方可能采取的几种典型对抗措施,研究分析了对抗导弹防御系统的基本方法、技术和策略。通过使用大量诱饵或假目标、减弱弹头的雷达信号特征或红外特征、隐藏弹头的真实位置,以及进行弹头机动等一种或多种组合的对抗措施,可以有效对付那些使用外大气层碰撞杀伤拦截器的导弹防御系统。     

MOOC背景下数字化教材建设研究

近年来,MOOC在全球迅速兴起,对传统高等教育提出了挑战,也对数字化教材建设提出了紧迫要求.结合MOOC的特点,对数字化教材的定位、设计原则、编制要求及应用模式等进行了探讨.     

Is the Indian Nuclear Tiger Changing Its Stripes?

Sixteen years after stepping out of the nuclear closet, India's nuclear posture, some of its operational practices, and hardware developments are beginning to mimic those of the original five nuclear weapon states. Several proliferation scholars in the United States contend that India's national security managers are poised to repeat the worst mistakes of the superpowers’ Cold War nuclear competition, with negative consequences for deterrence, crisis, and stability in South Asia and the Asia-Pacific region. This article takes a contrarian view. It dissects the best available data to show why the alarmist view is overstated. It argues that not only are the alarmists’ claims unsupported by evidence, their interpretation of the skeletal and often contradictory data threatens to construct the very threat they prophesize.     

步兵轻武器新型夜瞄复合荧光材料的性能研究

采用自制的复合荧光粉体和化学载体成分,研制出一种步兵轻武器新型夜瞄复合荧光材料.通过试验分别研究了新材料的发光性能、耐温性能、耐腐蚀性能和耐表面处理性能.试验结果表明,研制的新型夜瞄复合荧光材料发光时间长、亮度高,具有良好的耐温、耐腐蚀性能,不受武器表面处理的影响,可满足步兵轻武器夜间瞄准需求.     

基于改进IMM-UKF的弹道导弹再入段跟踪数据滤波

针对弹道系数未知的弹道导弹再入段跟踪雷达测量数据滤波这类非线性强的滤波问题,提出可变多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波算法。利用无迹卡尔曼滤波逼近精度高,计算量小,适应于任意非线性模型的特点,将其作为多模型的基本滤波器;滤波算法根据各模型正确描述目标状态的概率,动态地改变多模型数量和模型参数。上述方法的综合运用,提高对目标状态估计精度,降低了计算的复杂度,仿真实验验证了方法的有效性。     

瓦纳线与铜石墨材料断裂特性

通过测量材料力学性能和观察断口形貌,讨论铜石墨材料断口形貌中的瓦纳线与材料断裂特性的关系,发现瓦纳线是铜石墨材料韧性断裂的标志;结合材料微观结构特性,分析应力波的传播及其对材料的作用,认为瓦纳线是横波在材料中传播所引起的塑性变形.     

应用物联网技术解决现代消防管理和火灾防控难题探讨

针对建筑消防设施设备的管理现状及存在的问题,剖析了存在问题的原因,提出了物联网在实现智能化火灾控制和消防管理方面的优势,探讨了消防物联网能够解决的消防难题,给出了消防物联网在实际工作中的应用效果。