The Regional Economic Effects of Military Base Realignments and Closures

This paper empirically investigates the impact of military base realignments and closures on regional economic activity in light of the 2005 round of Base Realignment and Closure actions. Baseline regressions with county-level data show employment multipliers comparable to those generated from conventional input–output models. However, controlling for possible endogeneity and other regional-specific factors, regressions indicate more tenuous results for spillover effects from the military to the private sector. Only the contractor type of base employment generated economically and statistically meaningful impacts on local employment. In addition, there is strong evidence of asymmetric effects between military buildups and drawdowns.     

基地化试验训练研究与启示

自动控制技术、信号处理技术、元器件工艺水平等的进步,推进了武器装备集成化、标准化和小型化,使其呈现出信息化程度高、系统性强、维护维修性复杂等特点。为满足武器装备作战训练的需求,本文阐述了基地化试验训练的基础,分析了基地化试验训练现状,提出基地化试验训练建设发展启示,以提高武器装备的作战应用水平。     

故障诊断专家系统外壳设计与实现

设计了一个故障诊断专家系统外壳,给出了外壳的总体框架结构,基于对象式框架的知识表示,融经验诊断和原理诊断为一体的推理机制.介绍了在Windows环境下实现故障诊断专家系统外壳的方法.只要通过知识库管理系统,在Access数据库中建立不同的知识库,就可以创建不同系统的专家系统.开发的故障诊断专家系统已经在实际中应用,取得了良好的效果.     

面向基本对象模型BOM和Web服务的建模技术研究

介绍了BOM模型和面向Web服务技术,从概念、表示以及语义层次上对2种技术进行了对比分析。基于二者数据类型和语义的一致性,提出了从BOM模型到Web服务描述的映射规则,阐述了这种映射的实际操作步骤,最后通过实例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性,并分析和总结了运用BOM和Web服务建模的优越性。     

介电谱技术在润滑脂分析中的应用

应用介电谱测试技术对润滑脂进行种类识别及氧化安定性的研究,红外光谱分析、差式扫描量热计法、氧弹法等标准试验方法对润滑脂氧化安定性进行评定分析。研究结果表明,介电谱测试技术可以实现对润滑脂基础油的种类识别及润滑脂氧化安定性的测定。     

面向装备论证的多方案分析框架

多方案分析是实现军事需求向装备建设发展与作战使用前瞻性映射的重要手段。分析了面向装备论证的多方案分析内涵,并从需求分析、可行性分析阶段和方案分析及优选三个阶段构建了面向装备论证的多方案分析基本框架,最后对多方案分析三个阶段的主要研究内容进行了详细阐述与分析。研究成果可为装备发展建设决策提供基础理论、方法和手段支撑。     

基于BP神经网络的装备故障诊断专家系统研究

分析了神经网络和专家系统的特点,提出了基于BP神经网络与专家系统结合的某装备的故障诊断方法,构造了BP神经网络的装备故障诊断专家系统的诊断模型,克服了传统专家系统在知识获取和表达的薄弱环节,并用了某型装备的故障实际数据进行了验证,结果表明了神经网络与专家系统结合是一种有效的诊断方法。     

DETERMINING THE DEFENCE INDUSTRIAL BASE

This paper models the determination of the defence industrial base – the number of different military systems a country decides to maintain. High R&D costs means that few countries can afford to produce major weapons systems and the producers also import systems. Non‐producers rely on imports and we assume their demand is driven by regional arms races. Military capability is determined by the number of systems and the quantity and quality of each. We examine how the defence industrial base is influenced by military expenditures, R&D costs, export controls, the nature of regional arms races and a variety of other factors.     

REGIONAL EFFECTS OF MILITARY BASE CLOSURES: THE CASE OF SWEDEN

The purpose of this paper is to investigate regional effects of military base closures in Sweden during the last decades. Our analysis is based on a regional growth model, where two equations are estimated; one equation describing the average income growth rate and one equation describing the net migration rate. The data set is a panel of 31 Swedish municipalities covering the period 1983–1998. Our main finding is that a closure of a military base has not had any significant impact on the subsequent average income growth rate nor the net migration rate in the affected municipalities. One potential explanation for these results relates to the labour market and the composition of the labour force.     

The benefits and costs of the UK arms trade

A benefit‐cost framework and the associated evidence is used to evaluate UK arms exports. Two issues are examined in detail. First, trade externalities; and second, a case study of the problems and costs of maintaining the UK submarine industrial base without exports.