通用装备维修保障资源需求仿真建模研究

从新型通用装备维修保障的实际需求出发,在对维修保障系统运行过程分析的基础上,建立了维修资源需求的仿真模型,并给出了相关算法。该模型可实现对各种主要维修资源需求的预测,并能给出装备完好率、备件缺货率和装备待修时间等系统特征指标。该模型和算法可为装备的维修保障提供科学的依据。     

Replicated batch means for steady‐state simulations

This paper studies a new steady‐state simulation output analysis method called replicated batch means in which a small number of replications are conducted and the observations in these replications are grouped into batches. This paper also introduces and compares methods for selecting the initial state of each replication. More specifically, we show that confidence intervals constructed by the replicated batch means method are valid for large batch sizes and derive expressions for the expected values and variances of the steady‐state mean and variance estimators for stationary processes and large sample sizes. We then use these expressions, analytical examples, and numerical experiments to compare the replicated batch means method with the standard batch means and multiple replications methods. The numerical results, which are obtained from an AR(1) process and a small, nearly‐decomposable Markov chain, show that the multiple replications method often gives confidence intervals with poorer coverage than the standard and replicated batch means methods and that the replicated batch means method, implemented with good choices of initialization method and number of replications, provides confidence interval coverages that range from being comparable with to being noticeably better than coverages obtained by the standard batch means method. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

舰船维修器材保障点选址决策模型及算法

传统的最大覆盖选址模型没有考虑对服务半径外的需求点的满足和服务时间的响应,而在舰船维修器材保障中,不论需求点到保障点的距离是否大于服务半径,都应对其进行保障服务,且在保障过程中要满足保障时间控制在不影响舰船正常维修任务时间内。针对此问题,运用广义最大覆盖选址模型和时间满意度函数,构建基于时间满意的广义最大覆盖选址模型,并运用一种混合算法———基于遗传模拟退火算法的BP算法对模型进行求解。最后,运用该算法对实例进行了分析计算,计算结果验证了该算法的有效性。     

美国空军飞机战伤修理的发展及其对我们的启示

论述了美国空军战伤修理在方针、组织、培训、战伤修理规程、备件及工具箱、设计、试验数据库、新技术开发和常用抢修技术等方面的发展。同时提出了我空军战伤修理在这些方面的发展建议。     

基于任务能力的装备维修保障资源重组研究

分析了装备维修保障资源配置存在的问题,指出依据装备维修保障系统承担的任务和应具备的能力实施资源重组,是提高装备维修保障效能的基本途径．在此基础上,着重阐述了装备维修保障任务、功能、资源映射关系,提出了部队装备维修保障资源重组的实施框架、主要内容和基本方法．最后,进行了实例分析．     

基于级库存的维修器材整合供应策略研究

针对传统器材供应模式效率低的问题,借助供应链管理的思想提出了多需求点整合供应模式,并建立了基于级库存策略的整合优化模型,对成本各组成部分分析求解,得到了最优总成本对应的策略参数,其中总成本考虑了供应中心补货成本、库存持有成本、供应成本和供应延迟成本．最后通过算例与直接供应策略进行了比较,证明了整合供应策略的有效性．     

预防性维修工作组合优化

针对单部件的维修间隔期无法反映系统的维修最佳间隔期这一问题,对装备各部件在各修理级别上的预防性维修任务组合情况进行探索。通过建立费用模型、可用度和风险模型作为决策模型,用以组合某一修理级别各部件的维修工作,得出系统预防性维修间隔期,并结合部队实际优化从系统的角度优化等级维修中的维修工作间隔期,为确定大中小修工作提供科学、合理的理论指导。该算法在区分各修理级别的维修能力的基础上,能较好地对各修理级别的维修工作组合情况进行了优化,实例验证了模型的实用性和有效性。     

Determining a threshold control policy for an imperfect production system with rework jobs

Consider a threshold control policy for an imperfect production system with only a work center handling both regular and rework jobs. An imperfect production system studied here, generates defect jobs by factors other than machine failures. A threshold control or (ω, s) policy sets the guideline for a work center to switch between regular and rework jobs. A production cycle begins with loading and processing of several batches of regular jobs with a lot size equal to s. The outcome of each completed regular job is an independent Bernoulli trial with three possibilities: good, rework, or scrap. Once the work center accumulates more than a threshold ω of rework jobs, it finishes the last batch of regular jobs and switches to rework jobs. The objective of this research is to find a threshold ω and a lot size s that maximize the average long‐term profit. The ultimate goal is to construct a simple algorithm to search for ω and s that can be implemented directly in production management systems, as a result of this work. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 273–301, 1999     

Heuristic procedures for scheduling job families with setups and due dates

This paper examines heuristic solution procedures for scheduling jobs on a single machine to minimize the maximum lateness in the presence of setup times between different job families. It reviews the state of knowledge about the solution of this problem, which is known to be difficult to solve in general, and examines natural solution approaches derived from some of the underlying theory. The emphasis is on the design and computational evaluation of new heuristic procedures. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 978–991, 1999     

Optimal maintenance policies for a safety‐critical system and its deteriorating sensor

We consider the integrated problem of optimally maintaining an imperfect, deteriorating sensor and the safety‐critical system it monitors. The sensor's costless observations of the binary state of the system become less informative over time. A costly full inspection may be conducted to perfectly discern the state of the system, after which the system is replaced if it is in the out‐of‐control state. In addition, a full inspection provides the opportunity to replace the sensor. We formulate the problem of adaptively scheduling full inspections and sensor replacements using a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) model. The objective is to minimize the total expected discounted costs associated with system operation, full inspection, system replacement, and sensor replacement. We show that the optimal policy has a threshold structure and demonstrate the value of coordinating system and sensor maintenance via numerical examples. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 399–417, 2017