装备主动式保障系统需求建模及应用

针对装备主动式保障系统建设中存在的需求把握不准、难以全面的问题,引入对象建模技术,建立装备主动式保障系统的对象模型、动态模型和功能模型,从保障系统组元间相互关系、组元间动态时序关系及功能实现3个角度描述了保障系统需求情况。基于需求建模结果,给出了装备主动式保障系统各功能子系统的信息流程,为后续装备主动式保障系统实现奠定了基础。     

基于实体的指挥控制仿真建模

指挥控制是军队遂行军事任务的关键环节,对指挥控制过程进行建模并采用仿真的方法对其效能进行评估,进而考察指挥控制系统的典型效能指标是否符合预期的需求,具有重要的理论和应用意义。采用基于实体的仿真建模方法,提出指挥控制过程的实体仿真建模框架,以信息流为重点,从信息获取、信息融合、信息共享、自身任务规划、作战筹划、部队掌控、任务执行和信息输出等八个方面对其进行建模,实现了对指挥控制过程的描述,有效支撑了指挥控制系统仿真效能评估。     

直升机工作特性建模与飞行性能仿真

以涡轮轴发动机工作特性建模为中心,对某系列直升机飞行性能进行仿真研究,力争实现对直升机实施"基于状态的维修"。讨论了直升机飞行性能和涡轮轴发动机特性的表述方法,建立了涡轮轴发动机的数学模型,并讨论了其解法与应用。基于发动机台架性能仿真程序对该模型进行简化,得到涡轮轴发动机工作过程的热力学模型。对发动机性能进行计算完成飞行性能仿真,应用结果表明该方法是可信、高效的。     

Heart analytics: Analytical modeling of cardiovascular care

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death and disability both in the United States and worldwide. Despite high morbidity, mortality, and cost in the United States and global healthcare systems, cardiovascular care has been understudied in the healthcare operations management literature. In this paper, we identify research opportunities for healthcare operations management scholars to aid in improving cardiovascular care. We focus on three burdensome conditions, including (1) coronary artery disease, (2) stroke, and (3) heart failure, which, collectively, lead to the vast majority of CVD‐caused mortality and disability. For each condition, we characterize a typical patient's journey in receiving cardiovascular care, elucidating key challenges in improving care and outlining research questions for healthcare operations management scholars. We close with a reference to new research opportunities that emerge as artificial intelligence is likely to transform much of cardiovascular care.     

Modeling and analysis of vessel casualties resulting from tanker traffic through narrow waterways

In this paper, we present a physics-based stochastic model to investigate vessel casualties resulting from tanker traffic through a narrow waterway. A state-space model is developed to represent the waterway and the location of vessels at a given time. We first determine the distribution of surface current at a given location of the waterway depending on channel geometry, bottom topography, boundary conditions, and the distribution of wind. Then we determine the distribution of the angular drift for a given vessel travelling at a given location of a waterway. Finally, we incorporate the drift probabilities and random arrival of vessels into a Markov chain model. By analyzing the time-dependent and the steady-state probabilities of the Markov chain, we obtain risk measures such as the probability of casualty at a given location and also the expected number of casualties for a given number of vessels arriving per unit time. Analysis of the Markovian model also yields an analytical result that shows that the expected number of casualties is proportional to square of the tanker arrival rate. We present our methodology on an experimental model of a hypothetical narrow waterway. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Reseach Logistics 46: 871–892, 1999     

随机性理论在情报监视侦察建模中的应用

情报、监视、侦察(ISR)建模是战役级作战仿真建模的重点和难点,在仿真中不仅要求ISR模型能够准确地反映战场空间实体之间的感知交互,同时还要有较高的运行速度。为了解决此问题,以随机性理论为基础进行情报监视侦察的建模仿真,以区域侦察飞行器图像情报的建模全流程为例,阐述其主要环节的建模方法,并通过仿真实验验证了该套建模方法的适用性和有效性。与传统的确定性ISR建模方法相比,该方法在保证仿真精度的同时提高了运行效率,为战役级作战仿真中C4ISR建模与仿真提供了参考方法。     

对防空部队自动化控制系统的电子压制(二)效能指标

电子压制是赢得现代战争的关键技术。首先分析电子压制的应用背景,建立地面防空系统的分析模型并给出攻击机突破地面防空系统过程中,电子压制对方自动化控制系统的效能评估指标。给出的模型和效能评估指标可对作战决策提供理论依据。     

磁流变液剪切屈服应力模型的理论分析与实验

剪切屈服应力是评价磁流变液流变性能的最重要参数,建立全面、准确的磁流变液剪切屈服应力模型对于反映磁流变液的流变学本质及磁流变液的工程应用都具有重要意义。在分析磁流变液微观结构的基础上,采用电磁力学与流体动力学相结合的方法,建立了磁流变液的剪切屈服应力模型,并在自行研制的磁流变液剪切屈服应力测试装置上对自制的磁流变液进行了实验测试,验证了模型的正确性。     

基于高斯序列乘积和的相干非高斯分布杂波模拟新方法

提出了一种全新的相干K分布杂波模拟方法。相比经典的零记忆非线性变换(ZMNL)和球不变随机过程(SIRP)法,该方法的优点是能产生自相关函数(ACF)为任意复数的杂波序列,且不需要进行矩阵求逆和非线性变换,运算速度得到显著改善。仿真结果证明了这种方法的有效性。     

反潜直升机吊声搜潜效能的建模仿真

从直升机使用吊放声纳(简称吊声)的搜潜过程入手,通过仿真环境假设,吊声搜潜效能描述,建立了吊声搜潜效能的蒙特卡洛法模型。介绍了常用搜索方法,并建立了其搜索要素表。根据模型编制了仿真程序,实现了不同搜索方法的仿真计算,为研究不同战术条件下如何合理选择有效的搜索方法奠定了基础。