Planning versus Chaos in Clausewitz's On War

Clausewitz laid great emphasis on the planned construction of war, but this idea has received little attention from his commentators, who generally attach far greater importance to what he said about the chaotic elements of war, in particular its interactive nature and the friction inseparable from its conduct. This article gives long-overdue recognition to planning as a dominant theme of On War. The essential point Clausewitz makes concerning interaction is not that the enemy's responses are bound to disrupt our plans, but that our plans must aim to predict and incorporate his responses. Clausewitz acknowledges that friction creates enormous difficulties for the realization of any plan, but it is precisely in respect of this challenge that he develops the concept of military genius, whose capabilities are seen above all as the executive arm of planning.     

Book reviews

The Political Economy of Military Spending in the United States, Alex Mintz (ed), London and New York: Routledge, 1992, pp x, 334; ISBN 0–415–07595–5

Penser La Guerre, Penser L'Economie, Christian Schmidt, (Paris: Odile Jacob, 1991), 350p.

Military Production and Innovation in Spain, Jordi Molas‐Gallart, Chur (CH): Harwood Academic Publishers, 1992, pp. vii, 212; ISBN 3–7186–5280–3     

采取仿真模拟技术预设战争实现训练与实战接轨

文章研究信息化条件下局部战争战法。利用模拟作战实验室实践检验、论证完善战争设计理论,普及电脑游戏开发战争想象力,借虚拟数学方式预测战争结果。强化“战争设计”对训练的牵引作用,落实训战一致。强调加强军事理论研究的针对性、前瞻性．综合考虑武器装备、战争战例、军事训练水平、人员素质、战役战术等因素,对未来可能发生的战争进行准确预测。     

基于转移费用矩阵的机器人路径规划方法

本文描述了机器人路径规划的一种新方法：基于转移费用矩阵的机器人路径规划方法。通过定义转移费用矩阵的概念及其上的二元运算,将最优路径的生成,转化为矩阵的运算,使得有限步的矩阵运算,即可得到环境中所有点间的最优路径,达到了在预处理阶段构造最优路径集的目的。最后,介绍了该方法在移动机器人任务规划中的应用     

飘浮式空间机器人路径规划的全局最优解析解

本文根据刚体螺旋运动的特点,利用旋转矩阵构造出评价载体姿态变化的目标函数;采用Ｖａｆａ等人的“虚机械臂”模型简化计算;利用动量矩守恒的假设条件及完成抓取固定目标时的几何位形关系,得到微分约束和边界约束。提出机械臂“周期运动”寻优法,从而得到全局优化的近似解析解。     

引入优化算子的无人机遗传航路规划算法研究

在大范围真实地形环境中规划出满足任务要求、导航、安全性等约束的较优航路,对提高无人机(UAV)的武器系统性能有重要意义。在基于直接航路编码的遗传算法中引入优化操作算子,将复杂约束合理地应用于遗传进化过程,可以较好地克服一般遗传操作的不足。采用均匀设计的试验方法确定较优的控制参数,并通过算例验证了算法的有效性。     

装备经济性分析中的结构制造复杂度参数建模

参数估算法是当前装备经济性分析的主要方法,TruePlanning软件为国际主流的装备经济性分析软件。基于TruePlanning软件,以制造复杂度(Manufacturing Complexity)为研究对象,通过对TrueH模块进行深度剖析,分析并确立了结构制造复杂度(Manufacturing Complexity for Structure)的建模思路和模型形式。通过一个实例分析,选取5个必要的输入参数,构建结构制造复杂度的初步模型,并进一步考虑附加参数的输入,对模型进行修正。结果显示了结构制造复杂度对各技术参数的不同响应形式和敏感程度,为开发国产费用估算模型提供了可行的思路。     

多边形障碍环境中避障路径的遗传算法

研究了平面障碍环境中避障的遗传算法,重点介绍了障碍环境的模型构造和用遗传算法求解该模型的方法设计.采用了与已有遗传算法不同的染色体编码方式和不同的遗传算子设计,在初始群体产生时尽量避免了引入无效基因,提高了染色体进化的效率,使得该算法具有很好的寻优能力,实验结果也表明了该算法的有效性.     

势场理论的多无人机协同路径规划方法

在势场理论的基础上对穿越多威胁区的无人机路径进行了协同规划,在规划中将每个威胁区按实际情况分为极危险区域和次危险区域,而这些威胁不仅包括己方情报所得的已知威胁,而且包括在执行攻击任务过程中新发现的突发威胁,然后利用物理学中的扩散方程建立势场,并在已建立的势场中对多无人机进行整体协同路径规划。在建立模型的同时,进行了仿真模拟,仿真结果表明了该方法的正确性和可行性。     

Random disambiguation paths for traversing a mapped hazard field

We consider the problem of safely and swiftly navigating through a spatial arrangement of potential hazard detections in which each detection has associated with it a probability that the detection is indeed a true hazard. When in close proximity to a detection, we assume the ability—for a cost—to determine whether or not the hazard is real. Our approach to this problem involves a new object, the random disambiguation path (RDP), which is a curve‐valued random variable parametrized by a binary tree with particular properties. We prove an admissibility result showing that there is positive probability that the use of an RDP reduces the expected traversal length compared to the conventional shortest zero‐risk path, and we introduce a practically computable additive‐constant approximation to the optimal RDP. The theoretical considerations are complemented by simulation and example. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005