Elements of ‘armed non-state actors’ power: The case of al-Qaeda in Yemen

Over the past few years there is an apparent re-regionalization of al-Qaeda activity, intensified by the ongoing Middle East turmoil. Its main characteristic is a trend towards the abandonment of focoist strategies and their replacement by more popular-based ones. This article aims at evaluating their capacity to implement such a strategy shift and sustain the required level of violence. As a means of evaluating this capacity, this article proposes the use of a DIME (diplomatic, informational, military, and economic) framework, which will hopefully provide an alternative angle of theorizing and understanding ‘armed non-state actors’ (ANSAs). The model is applied in the case of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), which appears to have effectively developed the military and informational dimensions, due partly to its own prowess and partly to the Yemeni state's weaknesses and the shortcomings of counterinsurgency. In contrast, the economic and diplomatic dimensions suffer from the lack of resources and the anti-systemic nature of AQAP.     

马尔科夫对称离散信道级联信道容量研究

基于有限维的级联马尔科夫对称信道矩阵,其转移概率的极限一定存在,推导出当n足够大时,输出符号的概率分布不依赖于输入的概率分布,使得信道容量为零,信道阻塞。n为信道级联的上限。针对主对角元素概率值不同将信道矩阵划分为惰性信道和灵敏信道,并通过仿真分析得出信道的级联上限n与矩阵维数无关,与信道矩阵主对角元素呈正相关。     

Should competing firms reveal their capacity?

In this article, we explore when firms have an incentive to hide (or reveal) their capacity information. We consider two firms that aim to maximize profits over time and face limited capacity. One or both of the firms have private information on their own capacity levels, and they update their beliefs about their rival's capacity based on their observation of the other firm's output. We focus on credible revelation mechanisms—a firm may signal its capacity through overproduction, compared to its myopic production levels. We characterize conditions when high‐capacity firms may have the incentive and capability to signal their capacity levels by overproduction. We show that prior beliefs about capacity play a crucial, and surprisingly complex, role on whether the firm would prefer to reveal its capacity or not. A surprising result is that, despite the fact that it may be best for the high‐capacity firm to overproduce to reveal its capacity when capacity information is private, it may end up with more profits than if all capacity information were public knowledge in the first place. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

基于证据理论的军械装备修理能力认证评估方法

借鉴AHP法建立军械装备修理能力认证评估体系,并构建其递阶层次模型。确立体系各级指标权重中,引入D-S证据理论对多专家意见进行融合;综合考虑专家的权重和不确定度,并采用单值转换分布概率算法对专家评价分数进行换算,改进了AHP法受专家经验、知识限制,主观性强等缺点。经算例分析,该方法能准确可靠地评价型号装备修理机构的修理能力,减少专家主观因素对评估结果的影响。     

基于Sub-Nyquist采样的单通道频谱感知技术

宽带频谱感知技术在认知无线电中具有广泛的应用。基于时分的思想,将信号采集时间以固定长度的时间片进行划分,分别与不同的伪随机码信号相乘,经过低通滤波和sub-Nyquist采样,利用采样数据求出信号的频率支集。与已有的多通道频谱感知结构相比,本文用相对简单的单通道结构实现,同样能够利用低速率的采样点完成频谱感知。仿真实验结果表明,在信号的频率支集未知的情况下,该算法能够有效利用sub-Nyquist采样的数据实现频谱感知。     

基于最大比合并的循环平稳频谱协作检测

多天线空间分集和多用户协作检测是提高认知无线电频谱检测性能的2种关键技术,由此提出了基于循环平稳特征的多天线多用户频谱协作检测方法.首先接收器在频域按照最大比合并的方法合并各天线接收信号,对合并信号进行初步频谱判决.然后在多用户中按照K/N融合准则进一步做频谱协作检测.仿真分析表明,综合利用信号循环平稳特征和协作检测技术可有效改善认知无线电系统检测性能.     

部分频带干扰下伪码跟踪误差分析

为精确分析部分频带干扰下伪码跟踪误差,需要考虑伪码的非理想随机特性。引入伪码的精细功率谱模型,对比分析了不同带宽干扰下基于简化谱和精细谱的码跟踪误差。定义了相对误差系数,用以定量描述伪码非理想随机特性对码跟踪误差的影响。当干扰带宽增大时,相对误差系数逐渐减小,伪码非理想随机特性对码跟踪误差的影响逐渐减小,基于简化谱的分析趋近于基于精细谱的分析。结合GPS L1 C/A码,给出了相对误差小于0.2的最小干扰带宽,并将其作为基于简化谱分析的适用条件。研究表明当干扰带宽大于伪码周期的频率的300倍时,伪码非理想随机特性导致的码跟踪精度变化可忽略,反之,则需要基于精细的功率谱模型进行码跟踪精度分析。     

阶比谱分析与汽车起动电机故障的实时诊断

本文主要论述阶比谱分析方法及其在汽车起动电机故障实时诊断中的应用。首先阐述了阶比谱分析的原理以及阶比采样中混迭与泄漏的产生及其抑制方法,然后讨论了如何在起动电机运行过程短、升速快的情况下获取感兴趣的噪声信号,进而采用阶比谱分析方法从信号中提取故障特征信息,最后利用阀值判别法起动电机的故障进行实时诊断。     

参数法确定舰船增压锅炉的蒸发量

对于新制造或中修后的蒸汽动力装置的锅炉来说,研究其热平衡、确定其热效率以及检验增压锅炉出力,都必须知道锅炉的蒸发量.针对传统方法确定锅炉蒸发量的不足,运用流体力学基本原理,用参数法推出确定舰船增压锅炉蒸发量的计算公式.只需要在稳定工况下通过记录蒸汽参数(pk和pgr、tgr及B),并在计算机上编程计算即可得到蒸发量Dk.     

基于时频和频谱分析的齿轮箱故障诊断

对频谱分析方法和时频分析方法的原理进行了分析,根据频谱分析与时频分析的特点以及齿轮箱故障诊断研究的需要,将两种方法有效地结合起来应用于齿轮箱的故障诊断中。结果表明,此方法能够有效地解决各自方法中的不足,得到比较理想的诊断结果。