西藏文物古建筑消防安全探讨

根据西藏文物古建筑历年来典型火灾事故原因和火灾危险源分布,针对消防安全管理工作,提出了加强火灾危险源管理和控制的措施、手段。     

An application of the MTP2 property on bounds on system reliability

This paper is concerned with the joint prior distribution of the dependent reliabilities of the components of a binary system. When this distribution is MTP₂ (Multivariate Totally Positive of Order 2), it is shown in general that this actually makes the machinery of Natvig and Eide [7] available to arrive at the posterior distribution of the system's reliability, based on data both at the component and system level. As an illustration in a common environmental stress case, the joint prior distribution of the reliabilities is shown to have the MTP₂ property. We also show, similarly to Gåsemyr and Natvig [3], for the case of independent components given component reliabilities how this joint prior distribution may be based on the combination of expert opinions. A specific system is finally treated numerically. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 741–755, 1997     

热得快火灾危险性分析及火因鉴别方法的研究

本文以热得快火灾模拟试验为基础,结合其结构特点和实际火灾案例,分析了热得快火灾的形成原因,着重对如何鉴别热得快火灾残留物进行研究,归纳总结出根据热得快火灾残留物进行火灾原因鉴别的判定依据,建立了热得快火灾原因的鉴别方法,并提出了热得快火灾的预防措施。     

基于ISM的油库安全事故成因分析

分析油库安全事故成因,划分事故成因类型,对于有效控制事故发生、保障油库运行安全是极其重要的。运用系统工程思想,对油库安全事故成因要素的相互关系进行分析,建立了油库安全事故成因多层递阶解释结构模型（ISM）。分析和计算结果表明：油库安全事故成因大致可分为根本原因、直接原因和间接原因三个类型（层次）。针对不同层次结构的事故成因,可以制定相应的预防和控制措施,为军用油库抓住安全管理重点、有效防止事故发生提供理论依据。     

烧损度比较法在火灾原因重新认定中的应用

通过在一起火灾原因重新认定的现场勘验中充分应用比较法,对不同位置的同类物品、同类物品不同的变色、炭化痕迹进行烧损度的比较,从火场中准确查找出火灾蔓延方向,印证了证人证言,同时也为火灾原因提供了痕迹支持,最后通过模拟实验验证了认定结论的准确性。     

解读我国高校“负债经营”问题

随着高校大规模的扩招,教育资金短缺成了困扰高校发展的一个大问题。许多高校纷纷选择以举债的形式进行校园扩建。但是,这一做法却使部分高校陷入了资金周转不灵的困境中,严重影响了高校的发展。本文从高校负债的含义及理论依据、高校负债经营的必要性与可行性、高校负债经营存在的问题以及化解负债风险的对策等几个角度对高校“负债经营”进行研究,希望对高校发展有所帮助。     

Right Intention and the Ends of War

The jus ad bellum criterion of right intention (CRI) is a central guiding principle of just war theory. It asserts that a country’s resort to war is just only if that country resorts to war for the right reasons. However, there is significant confusion, and little consensus, about how to specify the CRI. We seek to clear up this confusion by evaluating several distinct ways of understanding the criterion. On one understanding, a state’s resort to war is just only if it plans to adhere to the principles of just war while achieving its just cause. We argue that the first understanding makes the CRI superfluous, because it can be subsumed under the probability of success criterion. On a second understanding, a resort to war is just only if a state’s motives, which explain its resort to war, are of the right kind. We argue that this second understanding of the CRI makes it a significant further obstacle to justifying war. However, this second understanding faces a possible infinite regress problem, which, left unresolved, leaves us without a plausible interpretation of the CRI. This constitutes a significant and novel reason for leaving the CRI out of the international law of armed conflict (LOAC).     

论消防部队灭火救援中法律责任的规避

消防部队在灭火救援过程中不可避免地会与遇险当事人产生矛盾和冲突,分析了消防部队在灭火救援中与遇险当事人产生纠纷的原因及表现,提出了缓解矛盾和纠纷,避免事态恶化的方法。     

化工火灾引发环境污染的分析及预防——由吉林石化分公司爆炸火灾引发的思考

介绍了中石油吉林石化分公司双苯厂“11·13”爆炸事故和松花江水污染事件的基本情况。分析了这起典型污染事件的成因,提出预防火灾爆炸事故造成环境污染的对策。     

广西边境地区非法跨国婚姻产生的原因及对策

随着中越关系的正常化和边境贸易的迅速发展,两国边民的交往更加密切。由于地缘条件、经济发展不平衡、民族传统习惯、人口性别比例等因素的影响,造成了广西边境地区非法跨国婚姻大量存在。不仅破坏了正常的出入境管理秩序,给边境地区的安全与稳定带来了隐患,而且也给公安边防部门的人口清查、遣返工作带来了很大压力。因此,在对非法跨国婚姻问题的治理上必须采取有效对策,使跨国婚姻朝着有序化、正规化方向发展,进而促进广西边境地区的和平与安全。