围绕“能打胜仗”目标加强武警院校学科建设

学科在武警部队的军事理论创新、信息化进程、武器装备发展和人才培养中具有重要作用。目前,武警院校学科发展现状与建设现代化武警需求还有较大差距。因此,要理清建设思路,打牢发展基础,注重建设实效,提高学科建设水平,为实现“能打胜仗”目标提供有力支撑。     

浅析利用“偶像效应”走进学生的心灵

教师应努力塑造学生心目中的偶像,使"偶像效应"促进我们的教育教学,教师应以偶像的身份走进学生的心灵,并取得预期的"偶像效应"。如何正确利用"偶像效应"引导学生,首先教师自身要对"偶像效应"有正确认识理解;其次,教师应具备偶像教师的素质;第三,教师要利用偶像效应走进学生的心灵。     

高三复习前要做好的三件事

高考复习是一个系统工程,每一个环节要精心筹划,落实到位,才能收到良好的效果.文章深入分析了高三复习前要做好的三件事,研究考纲,明确方向;研究考题,预测命题趋势;研究学情,正确定位。这对每一位高三教师进行高三复习具有指导意义。     

家庭文化资本对学生学业成绩的影响及对策研究——基于石河子市某初中的调研

家庭文化资本不但是家庭社会地位的象征,还是影响家中子女学业成就获得的关键因素。为了深入了解家庭文化资本对学生学业成绩的影响状况,本研究选取石河子市某初中学校,按照分层抽样的方法选取229名学生作为被试,采用自编的《家庭文化资本问卷》,探求初中生家庭文化资本与其学业成绩的关系。结果显示,石河子市初中生家庭文化资本对学生学业成绩的有极其显著的正向影响,家庭文化氛围、父母和学生本人对学生将来学历的期望对学生学业成绩有显著的正向影响。     

中学学习型教师团队建设探索——以华山中学为例

学习型组织具有五个要素,即自我超越、改善心智模式、建立共同愿景、团队学习、系统思考,学习型教师团队同样要符合这些特征。为此,华山中学开展了积极探索,提出创建学习型教师团队的关键是:建立共同愿景,提升生命力;改变学习方式,增强学习力;变革管理模式,培养创造力。初步营造出了凝心聚力实现又好又快发展的良好教育氛围,促进了学校教育实践的全面开展。     

Choosing arrival process models for service systems: Tests of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process

Service systems such as call centers and hospital emergency rooms typically have strongly time‐varying arrival rates. Thus, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) is a natural model for the arrival process in a queueing model for performance analysis. Nevertheless, it is important to perform statistical tests with service system data to confirm that an NHPP is actually appropriate, as emphasized by Brown et al. [8]. They suggested a specific statistical test based on the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic after exploiting the conditional‐uniform (CU) property to transform the NHPP into a sequence of i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed on [0,1] and then performing a logarithmic transformation of the data. We investigate why it is important to perform the final data transformation and consider what form it should take. We conduct extensive simulation experiments to study the power of these alternative statistical tests. We conclude that the general approach of Brown et al. [8] is excellent, but that an alternative data transformation proposed by Lewis [22], drawing upon Durbin [10], produces a test of an NHPP test with consistently greater power. We also conclude that the KS test after the CU transformation, without any additional data transformation, tends to be best to test against alternative hypotheses that primarily differ from an NHPP only through stochastic and time dependence. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 66–90, 2014     

Some comparisons of residual life of coherent systems with exchangeable components

Most of the research, on the study of the reliability properties of technical systems, assume that the components of the system operate independently. However, in real life situation, it is more reasonable to assume that there is dependency among the components of the system. In this article, we give sufficient conditions based on the signature and the joint distribution of component lifetimes to obtain stochastic ordering results for coherent and mixed systems with exchangeable components. Some stochastic orders on dynamic (or conditional) signature of coherent systems are also provided. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 549–556, 2014     

Counterinsurgency American style: Considering David Petraeus and twenty-first century irregular war

This article examines the complex legacy of David Petraeus who was a key figure in the emergence of the US military shift towards counterinsurgency doctrine in the years after 2006. Although Petraeus has been perceived by critics as a publicity seeker, he can be credited with laying the foundations for a more serious commitment to COIN involving in particular in integrating conventional and Special Forces in arenas like village stability operations. The article looks a Petraeus's role in both Iraq and Afghanistan: it concludes that, in the case of Afghanistan, it is too early to assess whether counterinsurgency has had a decisive impact of the outcome of the war against the Taliban.     

考虑可观测度的反交会规避机动方法

针对具有自主接近能力的航天器开展了反交会规避机动方法研究。建立了仅测角相对导航模型,随后利用状态估计误差给出了可观测度的定义,量化了可观测性指标。以可观测度为评价指标,提出基于虚拟轨道的可观测度计算方法,以可观测度梯度对规避机动方向进行优化,保证了规避机动使目标航天器的可观测性达到最大弱化,并给出了规避机动大小计算方法。给出了仿真算例,结果表明提出的方法能够使系统的可观测性明显减弱,达到了设计要求,为规避机动研究提供了一种新视角。