关于建立社会情绪疏导机制的思考

社会情绪源于社会矛盾,也对社会矛盾产生反作用。社会情绪分为积极社会情绪和消极社会情绪,消极社会情绪以两种方式反作用于社会,造成极大的负面作用,目前迫切需要建立起多层次、全方位的社会情绪疏导机制,实现消极社会情绪向积极社会情绪的转变,推动整个社会的和谐发展。     

Bayesian analysis of queues with impatient customers: Applications to call centers

Queuing models have been extensively used in the literature for obtaining performance measures and developing staffing policies. However, most of this work has been from a pure probabilistic point of view and has not addressed issues of statistical inference. In this article, we consider Bayesian queuing models with impatient customers with particular emphasis on call center operations and discuss further extensions. We develop the details of Bayesian inference for queues with abandonment such as the M/M/s + M model (Erlang‐A). In doing so, we discuss the estimation of operating characteristics and its implications on staffing. We illustrate the implementation of the Bayesian models using actual arrival, service, and abandonment data from call centers. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

A generalized assignment model for dynamic supply chain capacity planning

We consider a generalization of the well‐known generalized assignment problem (GAP) over discrete time periods encompassed within a finite planning horizon. The resulting model, MultiGAP, addresses the assignment of tasks to agents within each time period, with the attendant single‐period assignment costs and agent‐capacity constraint requirements, in conjunction with transition costs arising between any two consecutive periods in which a task is reassigned to a different agent. As is the case for its single‐period antecedent, MultiGAP offers a robust tool for modeling a wide range of capacity planning problems occurring within supply chain management. We provide two formulations for MultiGAP and establish that the second (alternative) formulation provides a tighter bound. We define a Lagrangian relaxation‐based heuristic as well as a branch‐and‐bound algorithm for MultiGAP. Computational experience with the heuristic and branch‐and‐bound algorithm on over 2500 test problems is reported. The Lagrangian heuristic consistently generates high‐quality and in many cases near‐optimal solutions. The branch‐and‐bound algorithm is also seen to constitute an effective means for solving to optimality MultiGAP problems of reasonable size. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

外场维护指挥控制系统可靠度模型

分析了影响外场指挥控制系统可靠性的主要因素,以指挥人员为主体,根据战时的实际,对指挥关系进行了重构,将串联指挥关系变为并联关系,通过利用马尔可夫链给出了指挥控制系统状态转移图,建立了计算外场指挥系统可靠性的数学模型。并且进一步给出了计算指挥控制系统的可靠性的方法。     

储运过程反应失控型火灾爆炸事故的预测与防范

储运化学活泼性物质时易发生反应失控型火灾爆炸事故,其危险性随着容器的增大和储运时间的增长而增加.介绍一种储运容器中反应失控火灾爆炸事故危险性预测的方法,预测结果与实际情况具有良好的一致性,并对预防事故的冷却方法进行了实验研究.     

Fe~(3+)与S~(2-)反应的研究

Fe3+ 与S2 - 反应是一个典型的竞争反应 ,反应的生成物与反应条件有着非常密切的关系。通过理论研究和实验验证 ,确认在酸性介质中反应的生成物为Fe3+ 和单质S↓ ;在碱性介质中反应的生成物为黑色Fe2 S3↓。     

中学化学继续教育应强化实验研究

通过Ｚｎ与Ｃｕ（ＮＯ_３）_２溶液反应的实验分析,提出了研究和全面认识置换反应的思路。对中学化学教师继续教育中实验教学应解决的问题进行了讨论。     

装备物资供应链构建初探

从供应链及供应链管理理论的思想角度出发 ,构建了装备物资供应链的结构模型 ,分析了其所具有的一些基本特征 ,为装备物资供应的胜利实施提供了一个新的思考方向     

溴酸盐体系中的化学波

本文对溴酸盐体系中的化学波进行了实验研究,得到了反应物的初始浓度与波速的关系,随 ＫＢｒＯ３和 Ｈ２ＳＯ４初始浓度的增加,波速具有增加的趋势,而随 ＭＡ的初始浓度的增加而变化不大。并给出了其反应机理的分析及数学模型。     

攻击机突防链型国土防空系统效能分析

封锁式防空和阻击式防空一般采用火力区相互接壤而形成链式防空,链式防空用于疆土防御.根据防空系统的任务和规模(国土防空、部队战场防空、海上舰队防空)以及入侵方式、武器性能特点的不同.基于随机理论建立了敌方采用同类武器组成链式防空体系,攻击机采用火力对抗条件下的国土突防模型.对基于随机理论的攻击机突防链型国土防空系统效能进行了一些假设和简化,建立了初步的效能模型,提供了一个分析的思路和方法.