POTENTIAL PROLIFERATION POINTERS FROM THE PAST: Lessons from the British Nuclear Weapons Program, 1952–69

Becoming a nuclear weapon state and sustaining a militarily credible nuclear weapons capability is far from trivial, especially for medium powers. Such a capability is demonstrated by much more than firing a first test or acquiring significant quantities of fissile material; capability is indicated by factors including weaponization, delivery of weapons, reliability and effectiveness of weapons and their delivery systems, fissile material availability, and nuclear and non-nuclear testing. Files in the British National Archives shed considerable light on the problems faced by the nuclear weapon program of the United Kingdom from 1952 through the late 1960s. The question is whether this experience is unique or if it instead offers insights into the potential problems faced by, or facing, other medium or aspiring nuclear weapon states. The proliferation-related topics highlighted include: fissile material production, nuclear testing, the first weapon, weapon delivery rates, non-nuclear testing, delivery platform problems, and long-term maintenance and capability sustainability. Further research could provide clearer insights.     

Deferred verification: the role of new verification technologies and approaches

ABSTRACT

Researchers have recently proposed a new approach to nuclear-arms-control verification, dubbed “deferred verification.” The concept forgoes inspections at sensitive nuclear sites and of nuclear weapons or components in classified form. To implement this concept, a state first divides its nuclear program into a closed segment and an open segment. The total fissile-material inventory in the closed segment, which includes the weapon complex, is known and declared with very high accuracy. Essentially no inspections take place in the closed segment. In contrast, inspectors have access to the open segment, which includes in particular the civilian nuclear sector. The fissile-material inventory in the open segment is known with less accuracy, but uncertainties can be reduced over time using nuclear-archaeology methods. Deferred verification relies primarily on established safeguards techniques and avoids many unresolved verification challenges, such as the need for information barriers for warhead confirmation measurements. At the same time, deferred verification faces some unique challenges. Here, we explore some of these challenges and offer possible solutions; to do so, we examine possible noncompliance strategies in which a state would seek to withhold a higher-than-declared inventory.     

战役级军械维修器材保障决策支持系统设计研究

传统的面向事务的数据处理方法已经无法适应处理大量数据的要求,为解决这一问题,将面向主题的数据仓库技术用于军械维修器材保障决策支持系统的设计,阐述了基于数据仓库的军械维修器材保障决策支持系统需求分析、系统设计和系统实现,讨论了系统设计原则、设计方法、逻辑结构设计、多维数据仓库设计、底层数据库设计、前端用户视图设计等内容,对军械维修器材保障决策支持系统的开发提供了基本思路．     

New maximum entropy methods for modeling lifetime distributions

This article introduces two new maximum entropy (ME) methods for modeling the distribution of time to an event. One method is within the classical ME framework and provides characterizations of change point models such as the piecewise exponential distribution. The second method uses the entropy of the equilibrium distribution (ED) for the objective function and provides new characterizations of the exponential, Weibull, Pareto, and uniform distributions. With the same moment constraints, the classical ME and the maximum ED entropy algorithms generate different models for the interarrival time. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 427–434, 2014     

基于相位差变化率方法的单站无源定位技术

无源定位技术有着广阔的应用前景 ,文中在现有单站无源定位方法的基础上 ,介绍了相位差变化率定位法。该方法利用观测平台上两个相互正交的相位干涉仪接收目标辐射电磁波的相位差获取目标的方向信息 ,利用对应的相位差变化率获取目标的径向距离信息 ,从而实现对目标的实时高精度交叉定位。还给出了观测平台水平直线匀速飞行且无飞行姿态变化条件下的定位表达式。仿真结果表明 ,该方法是一种极具发展前途的单站无源定位方法     

新型吸波材料研究

本文是以SiC为基体的新型吸波材料的研究报告。通过几十个方案,100多个涂层试件的试验,在扩展频带方面采取了各种措施。有的试件使吸收10db以上的范围达到7GHz以上,20db以上的范围达1.4到1.5GHz.涂层厚度约2mm,比重小于4。     

武器自动机光电测速技术研究

本文在科研样机研制的基础上,深入探讨了武器自动机光电测速系统的原理、设计思想及具体实现方法,对系统的主要技术指标进行了分析评估.     

碳化钨及其混合物的冲击 Hugoniot数据计算

计算了多孔碳化钨（初始密度分别为密实碳化钨密度的９５％、８５％、７５％和６５％）在不完全压实状态和完全压实状态下的Ｐ_１－Ｖ_１曲线和Ｃｓ－Ｕ１曲线以及碳化钨／碳、碳化钨／碳化硅混合物（碳化钨含量分别为３％,５％,１０％）的Ｐ_１－Ｖ_１曲线和Ｃ_ｓ－Ｕ_１曲线。     

电化教材的本质与功能结构简析

本文从认识论和时空观的角度提出教材发展中的三种载体、三种型式;论述了电化教材是“形象”螺旋回归的必然;从传统教材的质变,引伸出电化教材的选择性功能结构及其五大要素;阐述了电化教材在内容选取、表述方法、过程控制、超越时空等方面的“滞后”、“同步”、“超前”机动的综合时空观及其现实意义;最后明确指出:电化教学理论的土壤在于电化教材的建设及其运用。     

教材印量决策模型研究

根据院校教材的需求特点及自印教材的费用发生特点,研究提出了３种适合于院校自印教材印量决策的随机库存模型．所提出的模型实用性强,对节省院校教材保障经费将起到直接的作用．