常规攻击下的水面舰艇生存能力评定

分析了常规作战对水面舰艇攻击的3种模式,给出了各攻击模式及水面舰艇生存能力综合评定的解析和模拟模型.并用其对国外某型导弹驱逐舰生存能力进行了定量评估,结合定性分析得出了有益的结果.     

管道机器人在三通处的通过性分析

三通是管道机器人经常遇到的典型障碍之一,克服该障碍的能力用管道机器人在三通处通过性来描述。文中提出一种描述差压驱动式管道机器人三通通过性的数学模型,该模型由一组组合约束构成。通过对约束方程的分析讨论、与管道机器人弯道通过性的对比分析,得出了规律性的结论。管道机器人在三通处的姿态、单元体的几何尺寸、行走轮结构形式对其通过性都有不同程度的影响。所提出数学模型是管道机器人三通自主行走控制策略设计和相应结构设计的理论基础。     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.     

Why did Sudan Lose a small war in Southern Sudan?

ABSTRACT

When on the wrong end of an asymmetry in the projection of hard power, weaker sides countenance the grim arithmetic of avoiding direct and massed confrontations. Invariably, insurgents have over the ages tended to employ indirect tactical methods to render their stronger opponents ineffective. Ultimately – interest asymmetry, regime type, asymmetries of strategy, and external intervention – combine in a complex interplay and pattern, to militate against a strong side. In Sudan, these factors interacted throughout the civil wars to produce regional autonomy and finally an independent South Sudan in 2011. Similar strategic logic had confronted many large African states battling insurgencies in Ethiopia, Angola, Nigeria, Zaire, and apartheid-era South Africa. Oftentimes, weakening public resolve has caused these governments to accommodate, capitulate or withdraw even if they try not to blink. Notwithstanding the regime type, it can be concluded that the majority of strong actors are prone to fail in a protracted, asymmetric conflict. Hence, the notion of linking victory in counterinsurgency to the degree of openness (democratic polyarchies); or closeness (totalitarianism) – is still valid but highly contestable in the case of Africa’s large dysfunctional states.     

基于物元模型-AHP的联合电子防空作战效能评估

针对现代防空作战训练中联合电子防空作战效能评估的问题,引入物元模型,并结合层次分析法(AHP)提出了基于物元模型-AHP的联合电子防空作战效能评估方法.以某次复杂电磁环境下联合电子防空演习任务为背景,建立了作战效能评估指标体系和评估模型,给出了评估模型的仿真算例,结果表明,该方法在联合电子防空作战的效能评估中是可行和有...     

多层卫星通信网络结构设计与分析

针对单层卫星网络时延高、网络阻塞概率大等问题,研究了多层卫星网络的系统结构及其特点。结合不同轨道卫星特点,引入分层卫星网络结构,采用Walker和极轨星座覆盖带设计法,设计了多层卫星网络星座。采用"弱连接"模型作为星际链路建立的基本原则,并对星座的覆盖性能和星际链路特性进行了仿真分析,结果表明,多层卫星网络在覆盖特性和星际链路性能上更具优势。     

坦克直瞄/间瞄射击一体化火控技术

直瞄射击方式是目前坦克采用的主要射击方式。直瞄射击方式受战场通视度及瞄准装置视距的影响,最大射击距离一般在5 km左右。间瞄射击方式不需要直接瞄准目标,不受战场通视度的影响,最大射击距离主要取决于火炮及弹药的性能,一般在10 km以上。未来坦克应具备直瞄射击与间瞄射击一体化能力。通过直瞄/间瞄射击火控技术的对比与分析,提出坦克直瞄/间瞄射击一体化火控方案。一体化火控具有新的技术特色,具有更强的综合作战能力,是未来坦克火控技术发展的一种趋势。     

基于HLA的地空导弹指控模型仿真

基于HLA标准开发仿真系统已成为分布式仿真系统实施的一个热点。对基于HLA标准的地空导弹指控模型仿真进行了探讨,并分析了给出的HLA模型。此种方法可有效地提高系统的开放性、重用性和可扩展性,为地空导弹武器系统仿真提供了新手段,对于其它武器系统的建模与仿真也具有参考价值。     

土体泊松比对压入管桩单桩挤土位移场的影响

基于ABAQUS有限元软件,采用主从接触算法模拟桩-土相互作用、修正剑桥模型作为土体本构模型,通过在桩顶施加竖向位移荷载以及合适的网格划分技术建立了较为符合压入管桩压桩实际的有限元模型。利用得到的有限元模型模拟了压入管桩压桩产生的挤土位移场,对不同泊松比时压入管桩单桩挤土位移场进行了对比分析。结果表明:不同泊松比时竖向和水平挤土位移场沿深度方向和径向的分布规律趋于一致;土体泊松比的变化会对压入管桩压桩产生的竖向和水平挤土位移场产生较大影响;泊松比越大,压桩产生的竖向和水平挤土位移越大。     

几种UWB-SAR窄带干扰抑制方法的分析和比较

SAR(Synthetic Aperture Radar)信号处理窄带干扰抑制技术是SAR抗干扰技术的重要内容。对3种UWB-SAR(Ultra-W ideBand Synthetic Aperture Radar)窄带干扰抑制方法———陷波滤波法、AR模型参数化干扰抑制法以及小波包分析自适应干扰抑制法进行了分析,利用自行开发的成像软件,对SAR理想点目标和实录数据进行干扰抑制仿真实验,从定性和定量的角度对3种方法的干扰抑制效果作了比较。