Soldiers contra diplomats: Britain’s role in the Zimbabwe/Rhodesia ceasefire (1979–1980) reconsidered

Abstract

This article re-examines part of the literature on Britain’s role in the December 1979 to March 1980 Zimbabwe/Rhodesia ceasefire. The ceasefire ushered in an era of peace after a protracted internal war and it was an integral part of the transition from colonial white minority rule, towards black majority independence. Scholars present Britain’s success in brokering and monitoring the Zimbabwe/Rhodesia ceasefire as the result of its judicious and accordant management of the road to peace. However, this article argues that in fact deep internal divisions plagued the British managers of the ceasefire. Internal divisions centred on authority struggles between diplomats and military actors, conflicting personalities, discordant approaches to and goals in the ceasefire, and inter-institutional rivalry between the Foreign Office and Ministry of Defence. The article concludes that Britain only managed the ceasefire effectively because its military’s independence, political nous, and competence ultimately prevailed over the injudicious views and machinations of diplomats.     

一种基于解析冗余关系的半定性故障隔离方法在航天器推进系统中的应用

针对航天器推进系统的时变特性以及随机因素给故障隔离带来的困难,提出了基于Z-检验分析和解析冗余关系相结合的半定性故障隔离方法.基于状态空间转换的思想,运用基于系统诊断键合图模型建立的解析冗余关系挖掘系统时不变的结构特征空间信息,并对解析冗余关系残差进行趋势分析获取时不变、具有残差变化方向的故障特征矩阵,针对存在随机因素对残差定性化的影响,利用了Z-检验分析对残差进行定性化获取观察特征,通过观测特征与故障特征的比较进行系统故障隔离.将该方法应用于推进系统的故障隔离中,结果证明了该方法能有效避免获取推进系统时变诊断准则以及来自系统建模和参数测量等随机因素的干扰,提高了推进系统故障隔离的鲁棒性.     

部队作战效能综合评估法

高技术条件下局部战争的显著特点是参战单位多、对抗关系复杂、战争不确定因素增加,如何在此情况下客观评估部队的作战效能是作战研究领域一个重点和难点。通过综合运用定性分析法、网络分析法、战斗效能指数法、作战模拟及系统动力学等多种方法和理论,建立了一种可对部队作战效能进行评估的综合评估法。并以高技术条件下岛上进攻作战中装甲团的作战效能评估为例,详细介绍了该方法的实施过程,认为该综合评估法是行之有效的。     

军需能源军民融合深度发展问题研究

推进军需能源军民融合深度发展,可以充分利用地方优质保障资源和力量,能够最大限度提高军需能源保障效益。在梳理我军军需能源军民融合发展现状的基础上,结合联勤保障部队近年来开展的被装供应军民融合工作经验教训,分析军需能源军民融合深度发展面临的矛盾问题,提出建立健全融合体系、构建完善融合机制、破解消除融合壁垒、拓展深化融合领域等对策措施。     

离散数学中“关系”教学的认识与实践

“关系”是离散数学中一个非常抽象的概念,通过提出问题-分析问题-解决问题的层层递进式教学,将抽象概念与具体应用相结合,是非常有效的教学方式。     

Signaling and Military Provocation in Chinese National Security Strategy: A Closer Look at the Impeccable Incident

On 8 March 2009, five Chinese vessels shadowed and aggressively maneuvered in close proximity to the US Naval Ship (USNS) Impeccable. This paper seeks to explain the incident and its aftermath in the context of Chinese coercive diplomacy. China's strategy, designed to motivate the US to cease surveillance operations near its militarily sensitive areas in the South China Sea, included three components: (1) the use of military provocation, (2) a coordinated media campaign, and (3) a challenge to US interpretations of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Seas (UNCLOS). This study goes beyond traditional research on Chinese use of force to explain why China's coercive diplomatic campaign took the form it did. Only by understanding the nature and factors affecting Chinese coercive diplomacy can the US design the effective counter strategy needed to protect US regional and global interests.     

军民一体化装备保障中的协同性研究

军民一体化装备保障是今后我军的主要装备保障方式,其关键问题是解决装备保障力量的融合．为了解决这个问题,引入了协同理论,并对其引入的必要性和可行性进行了分析．在此基础上,对军民一体化装备保障的协同性进行了分析,重点对协同性机理和协同性的评价方法进行了阐述．     

Anarchy’s anatomy: Two-tiered security systems and Libya’s civil wars

ABSTRACT

No issue deserves more scrutiny than the mechanisms whereby popular unrest unleashes civil wars. We argue that one institution – two-tiered security systems – is particularly pernicious in terms of the accompanying civil war risk. These systems’ defining characteristic is the juxtaposition of small communally stacked units that protect regimes from internal adversaries with larger regular armed forces that deter external opponents. These systems aggravate civil war risks because stacked security units lack the size to repress widespread dissent, but inhibit rapid regime change through coup d’état. Regular militaries, meanwhile, fracture when ordered to employ force against populations from which they were recruited.     

军民融合视角下的美国网络安全人才战略

由于网络技术的军民两用特性,军民融合是提升网络空间安全能力的必然选择。而网络空间的竞争,归根结底是人才竞争。网络安全人才战略必须有效应对人才资源整体不足的现实困难,通过合理配置资源和创建创新机制安排,推进军民融合式的网络安全人才体系建设。美国高度重视人才在网络安全战略体系中的关键作用,通过宏观政策引导、创新交流机制、拓宽吸纳渠道等多种方式,为构建军民融合式的网络安全人才战略提供了经验借鉴。