Optimal control policies in service systems with limited information on the downstream stage

Existing models in multistage service systems assume full information on the state of downstream stages. In this paper, we investigate how much the lack of such information impacts jobs' waiting time in a two‐stage system with two types of jobs at the first stage. The goal is to find the optimal control policy for the server at the first stage to switch between type‐1 and type‐2 jobs, while minimizing the long‐run average number of jobs in the system. We identify control policies and corresponding conditions under which having no or partial information, the system can still capture the most benefit of having full information.     

Does Military Spending Nonlinearly Affect Economic Growth in South Africa?

Using annual data collected from 1988 to 2015, this study provides evidence of a non-linear relationship between military spending, economic growth and other growth determinants for the South African economy. The empirical study is based on estimates of a logistic smooth transition regression (LSTR) model and our empirical results point to an inverted U-shaped relationship between military spending and economic growth for the data. Furthermore, our empirical results suggest that the current levels of military spending, as a component of total government expenditure, are too high in the South African economy and need to be transferred towards more productive non-military expenditure in order to improve the performance of economic growth and other growth determinants.     

基于精确保障思想的装甲机械化部队智能化装备保障系统构建

本文将精确保障的思想融入到系统构建中,对智能化指挥控制、抢救抢修和物资投送三个分系统进行构建,并对各分系统的功能进行分析,为装甲机械化部队智能化装备保障提供有力借鉴。      

自动化武器的发展及对未来战争的影响

在信息技术和生命技术革命的双重影响下,人工智能发展突飞猛进,剧烈改变着现代军事技术发展方向。战争形态由信息化逐步向智能化转变。自动化武器作为智能化装备重要的组成部分,其发展经历了三级进阶,愈发趋向人机一体和全自主化方向改变。这种发展趋势对引领未来战争产生重要而深远的影响。伴随着武器无人化、智能化、自主化的发展趋向,如何有效研发、利用、管控自动化武器成为未来无人化战争的重要议题。同时世界各国对自动化武器的研发部署也加剧了国际军控的紧张,特别是致命性自主武器的出现将有可能对战争伦理和法律构成前所未有的挑战,这将成为国际社会必须认真审视的问题。     

智能化作战及军队战略推进与发展

未来智能化战争将是基于物联网络信息系统,使用智能化武器装备及相应作战方法,在陆、海、空、天、电、网及认知领域进行的一体化战争。本文在分析智能化作战的内涵有机理基础上,探讨了美军未来智能化作战构想、实施及影响,重点提出了应对未来知能化作战,加强我军战略推进与发展的对策。     

Approximations for heavily loaded G/GI/n + GI queues

Motivated by applications to service systems, we develop simple engineering approximation formulas for the steady‐state performance of heavily loaded G/GI/n+GI multiserver queues, which can have non‐Poisson and nonrenewal arrivals and non‐exponential service‐time and patience‐time distributions. The formulas are based on recently established Gaussian many‐server heavy‐traffic limits in the efficiency‐driven (ED) regime, where the traffic intensity is fixed at ρ > 1, but the approximations also apply to systems in the quality‐and‐ED regime, where ρ > 1 but ρ is close to 1. Good performance across a wide range of parameters is obtained by making heuristic refinements, the main one being truncation of the queue length and waiting time approximations to nonnegative values. Simulation experiments show that the proposed approximations are effective for large‐scale queuing systems for a significant range of the traffic intensity ρ and the abandonment rate θ, roughly for ρ > 1.02 and θ > 2.0. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 187–217, 2016     

中低速磁浮列车传感器防浪涌设计及改进

为提高磁浮列车悬浮传感器的可靠性,分析在雷击、电源干扰等工况条件下的浪涌产生机理,确定浪涌冲击试验的内容,从通流量的角度说明已有防浪涌电路设计的可行性,并指出其在高温环境下在可靠性方面存在的不足。分别从降压和分流的角度进行分析,通过在原有电路中并接大容量电容的方式降低浪涌对敏感器件的冲击,从而提高传感器电源的抗浪涌冲击能力。     

石墨烯微片尺寸对石墨烯纸热导率的影响

石墨烯热导率远高于传统金属薄膜等导热材料,可用作热扩散材料。石墨烯纸由石墨烯微片组装而成,石墨烯微片尺寸大小对其组装方式微观结构以及宏观导热性能等具有重要影响。采用溶液过滤自组装方法制备了分散均匀的氧化石墨烯纸,然后在Ar/H2气氛下对氧化石墨烯纸进行热还原处理,得到了石墨烯纸。结果表明,大尺寸石墨烯微片组成的石墨烯纸结构更加致密、结晶度更高;0.5μm~3μm和50μm~100μm的氧化石墨烯所制备的石墨烯纸的热导率分别为632.8 W/m K和683.7 W/m K,大尺寸石墨烯微片组成的石墨烯纸热导率提高了8%。     

喷嘴结构对高压水射流影响及结构参数优化设计

喷嘴是产生高压水射流的关键部件,其结构形式对射流动力学性能有很大影响。以圆柱形喷嘴为对象,进行喷嘴结构对高压水射流的影响分析及结构参数优化设计。采用两相流计算流体力学模型进行喷嘴内外的射流流场分析。为节省计算资源,在优化设计时引入Kriging代理模型替代计算流体力学模型。分别采用改进的非劣分类遗传算法和基于分解的多目标进化算法进行单目标和多目标优化设计。研究结果表明:直线型喷嘴总体性能较优,凹型喷嘴的次之,凸型喷嘴性能最差。以直线型喷嘴为设计对象,以射流初始段长度和流量为目标,得到了单目标和多目标优化设计结果。单目标优化时,两个指标较基准外形分别提高14.71%和27.56%。多目标优化时,优化得到的半锥角处于[15.4°,89.8°]区间内。运用代理模型和进化算法的全局优化方法在进行喷嘴的优化设计时是有效的。     

敷设气囊的充水圆柱壳的声辐射

为降低充水圆柱壳受内部点声源激励时的水下辐射噪声,在其外壳上敷设气囊,形成气囊圆柱壳。为指导气囊圆柱壳的设计,将充水裸圆柱壳和充水气囊圆柱壳分别简化为单、双层无限长隔板。比较隔板、气体与水的波阻抗,分析了气体声速与层厚对双层无限长隔板在平面声波入射时低频声辐射的影响机理。分析表明,声速小的气体和适当的气层厚度可以降低双层障板的辐射噪声。采用声无限元法计算了气囊圆柱壳的水下声辐射,结论与对隔板的机理分析吻合。优化设计出的充水CO2气囊圆柱壳的水下辐射声功率与远场辐射声压明显低于充水裸圆柱壳。