C3I系统评价可信性分析方法

C3I系统评价结果的可信性分析是C3I系统理论研究中的一个重要问题.首先论述了C3I系统评价结果可信性分析的主要内容,然后提出了一种定性分析的主观确认法和定量分析的统计检验法相结合的可信性分析方法,并给出了系统评价结果的可信度的计算方法.     

现代坦克火控系统体系结构发展的轨迹

对现代坦克火控系统体系结构发展的轨迹进行了较为详尽的论述,分析了几种主要类型的火控系统体系结构.对于在战车火控系统的发展历程中起重要作用的指挥仪式火控系统,从上反射式系统和下反射式系统两方面进行了比较分析.最后指出了用控制主线的观点来分析和预测火控系统发展所具有的优点.     

武器系统模糊寿命周期费用模型

武器系统的寿命周期费用建模较多采用参数法,而参数法中最常用的是最小二乘回归.考虑费用统计数据的模糊性,提出用模糊最小二乘回归来建立武器系统模糊寿命周期费用模型,并结合实例对武器系统寿命周期费用进行了分析.结果表明,这种方法能达到令人满意的拟合精度,具有实用价值.     

粗糙神经网络的航空电子系统故障诊断方法

提出了一种基于粗糙神经网络的航空电子系统故障诊断方法.该方法运用粗糙集理论进行知识规则的提取,用提取的规则对航空电子系统输出数据进行分类,再用神经网络对每一类进行辨识,最后用粗糙集分类结果与各个神经网络输出进行综合得到系统一步预测结果,将该预测结果与航空电子系统实际输出进行阀值比较,进而进行故障诊断.实际应用表明该方法可行并能够有效地检测系统故障,故障诊断率高.     

防空武器系统生存能力评价

分析了现代战场环境条件下影响防空武器系统生存能力的主要因素,建立了一个防空武器系统生存能力评价的指标体系,给出了各级分指标的量化评价思路和方法,采用加权算术平均法和加权几何平均法进行指标综合.提供了一个生存能力快速量化评价的实用模型.     

Performance evaluation and optimization design of photoelectric pyrometer detection optical system

The measurement and control of high temperature play very important roles in national defense, military, scientific experiments, industrial and agricultural production. Photoelectric pyrometer is one of the important radiation thermometers for non-contact temperature measurement. It has an important application in the field of high temperature measurement, and its performance directly affects the accuracy of temperature measurement. By improving the design of the detection optical system of the photoelectric pyrometer, the imaging performance of the photoelectric pyrometer can be improved effectively, and the temperature measurement accuracy can be improved. In this paper, the temperature measurement principle of photoelectric pyrometer, the working principle of the detection optical system and the composition of the system are introduced. The optical components that affect the imaging of the optical system of the photoelectric pyrometer are analyzed. The optical pyrometer detection optical system is simulated by ZEMAX software, based on the analysis results, the Modulation Transfer Function (MTF) and the spot Diagram are used as the main evaluation criteria to optimize the design of the objective lens of the photoelectric pyrometer detection optical system. The imaging performance of the photoelectric pyrometer detection optical system and the accuracy of temperature measurement of the photoelectric pyrometer are improved by optimization design of the detection optical system.     

基于统一理论框架的故障诊断模型及学习进化方法

本文以概率图理论为基础,系统研究了基于这一理论框架的故障诊断模型,对模型的构建方法以及在不同场景下的模型演化方案进行了探讨,使得在统一理论框架下可实现多模式系统故障诊断、耦合故障诊断、动态故障诊断、故障预测等复杂情形的诊断。为了弥补单独利用基于模型的方法和基于数据的方法的缺陷,研究了诊断模型的学习进化策略,实现了诊断效果的改进和优化。另外,对模型后续的能力扩展和可能的研究方向进行了展望,为后续理论研究提供了参考。     

脉冲功率电源故障诊断方法研究

脉冲功率电源是电磁发射系统中最容易发生故障的薄弱环节,脉冲功率电源故障会使整个系统性能下降。针对脉冲功率电源故障,提出基于多层小波分析提取故障信息的模式搜索支持向量机故障诊断方法。通过建立脉冲功率电源的软故障模型,进行仿真分析获得电流故障数据样本,对故障样本进行离散小波分解,获得指定层细节信息的小波系数作为故障特征量;对故障特征量进行主成分分析,将小波系数进行降维,以便有效地进行故障诊断。通过实验,将所提方法故障诊断结果与其他三种故障诊断结果进行比较,验证了所提方法的有效性。     

Application of Markov renewal theory and semi-Markov decision processes in maintenance modeling and optimization of multi-unit systems

In this paper, a condition-based maintenance model for a multi-unit production system is proposed and analyzed using Markov renewal theory. The units of the system are subject to gradual deterioration, and the gradual deterioration process of each unit is described by a three-state continuous time homogeneous Markov chain with two working states and a failure state. The production rate of the system is influenced by the deterioration process and the demand is constant. The states of the units are observable through regular inspections and the decision to perform maintenance depends on the number of units in each state. The objective is to obtain the steady-state characteristics and the formula for the long-run average cost for the controlled system. The optimal policy is obtained using a dynamic programming algorithm. The result is validated using a semi-Markov decision process formulation and the policy iteration algorithm. Moreover, an analytical expression is obtained for the calculation of the mean time to initiate maintenance using the first passage time theory.     

利用最小二乘支持向量机求解潜艇内外磁场映射模型

为提高潜艇磁隐身能力,应对潜艇固定磁场进行实时监测,提出利用最小二乘支持向量机的潜艇内外磁场映射方法。结合内外映射法和最小二乘支持向量机原理,通过交叉验证优化模型参数,建立由内到外的潜艇磁场映射模型。以潜艇外部垂向固定磁场变化量为分析对象,仿真和实验结果均与标准值吻合良好。与径向基神经网络算法相比,该方法的泛化能力和推算精度有明显提高,且更符合工程实际,对闭环消磁技术的研究具有指导意义。