Counterinsurgency force ratio: strategic utility or nominal necessity

As a consequence of intervention in Iraq and Afghanistan, force ratio for counterinsurgency (COIN) has come under increased scrutiny. Reduced to its essence, the issue is simply, ‘How many troops does it take to get the job done?’ This answer has been sought by the US military, academia, and think tanks. There have been numerous responses, culminating in several ‘plug-and-play’ equations for minimum force ratios in COIN operations. Due to the impossibility of determining precisely how many insurgent forces there are, it has become common to base force ratios on the population of the country. In the realm of policy, the question above is posed as, ‘How many of our troops does it take to get the job done?’     

基于多信号模型的计量策略设计与验证

装备可计量性的理论方法研究对提高装备的计量保障水平具有重要意义。针对国内缺乏装备可计量性模型的现状,提出了可计量性分析设计的多信号模型方法。系统总结了可计量性多信号模型的基本理论,详细介绍了在单超差假设及不考虑组元可靠性、计量时间和费用影响下的超差检查用检定和超差定位用检定操作优选算法以及计量策略制定方法。建立了信号产生系统多信号模型,给出了超差-检定相关性矩阵,分析了信号产生系统的计量检定树,结论与信号产生系统实际检定方法相符,实例证明,此方法合理有效。     

双站测向与测时差组合定位精度分析

针对无源雷达测向与测时差组合定位问题,提出一种利用前者量测结果为后者构建假量测点和协方差的新方法,并采用凸组合法对测向与假量测结果进行融合,得出综合定位精度的分布。仿真结果表明,该方法能够有效地利用两种完全不同的量测数据,提高目标的定位精度,同时给出的GDOP理论值可以真实反映组合量测的性能,具有一定的应用价值。     

STCN的对岸打击时间协同冲突消解研究

为验证航空兵对岸打击中时间协同计划的可行性以及快速地调整时间协同计划,建立了任务间的简单时间约束网络(STCN),并转化成权值矩阵的形式.根据权值矩阵特点,提出了一种检测STCN一致性的权值矩阵法,大大降低了算法复杂度.为加快时间协同计划的调整速度,基于检测结果,提出了一种代价最小的冲突消解方法,避免了消解过程中的重复检测问题,提高了效率,使计划调整更加快捷高效.     

作战任务总量的迭代收敛性

为降低作战任务的复杂度,提高任务执行效率,研究了作战任务总量及其迭代收敛问题.首先,采用图形和设计结构矩阵,阐明反导作战子任务的复杂联系.再引入任务转移矩阵建立任务总量模型,总结迭代收敛条件.最后,综合考虑资源和时间约束,规划子任务优先级并优化作战资源配置.结合实例分析了任务总量迭代收敛规律的可行性和有效性,为反导作战任务规划提供了理论指导.     

现场处置突发事件警察应急能力建设研究——以蚌埠少女被刺事件为缘起

安徽蚌埠少女被刺事件引起社会广泛关注,从中折射出部分警察现场处置突发事件应急能力的不足.以该事件为缘起,在探讨突发事件和警察应急能力内涵的基础上,重点分析现场处置突发事件警察应急能力的构成要素和影响因素,并提出加强应急能力建设的相关对策.     

甲B类液体全压力储罐消防设计问题研究

对沸点低于45℃的甲B类液体全压力储罐消防设计、审查过程中存在的问题进行了较为全面的分析,并针对这些问题提出了解决的方法,为进一步完善相关工程设计规范和有效地执行这些规范提供了实例,以期给同类工程提供有益借鉴.     

Performance evaluation of a production/inventory system with periodic review and endogenous lead times

This paper considers a discrete time, single item production/inventory system with random period demands. Inventory levels are reviewed periodically and managed using a base‐stock policy. Replenishment orders are placed with the production system which is capacitated in the sense that there is a single server that sequentially processes the items one at a time with stochastic unit processing times. In this setting the variability in demand determines the arrival pattern of production orders at the queue, influencing supply lead times. In addition, the inventory behavior is impacted by the correlation between demand and lead times: a large demand size corresponds to a long lead time, depleting the inventory longer. The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, we present an exact procedure based on matrix‐analytic techniques for computing the replenishment lead time distribution given an arbitrary discrete demand distribution. Second, we numerically characterize the distribution of inventory levels, and various other performance measures such as fill rate, base‐stock levels and optimal safety stocks, taking the correlation between demand and lead times into account. Third, we develop an algorithm to fit the first two moments of the demand and service time distribution to a discrete phase‐type distribution with a minimal number of phases. This provides a practical tool to analyze the effect of demand variability, as measured by its coefficient of variation, on system performance. We also show that our model is more appropriate than some existing models of capacitated systems in discrete time. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

矩阵变换特征与码序列联合学习的卷积码识别方法

现有基于深度学习的卷积码识别方法仍存在参数规模较大、识别性能较弱等不足。针对该问题,提出了一种基于矩阵变换特征与码序列联合学习的卷积码识别方法。将接收到的码字序列排列成矩阵形式,利用软信息剔除可靠性较低的码字,通过一种新的矩阵变换算法得到特征矩阵。在识别时,将原始码字矩阵和特征矩阵输入到具有多模态数据联合学习能力的网络模型,在神经网络中完成特征的提取融合与卷积码的识别。仿真结果表明,所提方法性能明显优于现有基于深度学习的识别方法,特别是对于高码率卷积码;当码率较低时,同样优于传统识别方法。当信噪比达到5 dB时,25种不同参数卷积码的识别率均可达到100%。     

块Toeplitz矩阵低复杂度求逆的卫星导航空时抗干扰算法

采样协方差矩阵求逆是空时抗干扰算法的基本运算单元,但由于其运算量随时域抽头个数急剧增长,直接限制了空时抗干扰技术在卫星导航接收机中的应用。针对该问题,提出了基于块Toeplitz矩阵快速求逆的空时抗干扰方法。通过采用新的协方差矩阵近似计算方法,使得该矩阵同时为块Toeplitz矩阵与Hermite矩阵,并运用块Toeplitz矩阵的快速求逆算法,将时域抽头个数为K的计算复杂度从O[K3]降至O[K2]。理论分析和仿真结果表明,在阵元数为4、时域抽头为15的典型情况下,相比现有矩阵求逆方法,该算法的抗干扰性能损耗小于1d B,但计算量可降低约2/3。