Designing a screening experiment for highly reliable products

Within a reasonable life‐testing time, how to improve the reliability of highly reliable products is one of the great challenges to today's manufacturers. By using a resolution III experiment together with degradation test, Tseng, Hamada, and Chiao (1995) presented an interesting case study of improving the reliability of fluorescent lamps. However, in conducting such an experiment, they did not address the problem of how to choose the optimal settings of variables, such as sample size, inspection frequency, and termination time for each run, which are influential to the correct identification of significant factors and the experimental cost. Assuming that the product's degradation paths satisfy Wiener processes, this paper proposes a systematic approach to the aforementioned problem. First, an intuitively appealing identification rule is proposed. Next, under the constraints of a minimum probability of correct decision and a maximum probability of incorrect decision of the proposed identification rule, the optimum test plan (including the determinations of inspection frequency, sample size, and termination time for each run) can be obtained by minimizing the total experimental cost. An example is provided to illustrate the proposed method. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 514–526, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10024     

On the availability of R out of N repairable systems

An R out of N repairable system consisting of N components and operates if at least R components are functioning. Repairable means that failed components are repaired, and upon repair completion they are as good as new. We derive formulas for the expected up‐time, expected down‐time, and the availability of the system, using Markov renewal processes. We assume that either the repair times of the components are generally distributed and the components' lifetimes are exponential or vice versa. The analysis is done for systems with either cold or warm stand‐by. Numerical examples are given for several life time and repair time distributions. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 483–498, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10025     

仿真系统可信度分析

系统仿真可信度研究是合理利用系统仿真结果的前提。分析了系统仿真可信度的研究现状,提出了利用层次分析法进行可信度评估的思路,阐述了仿真试验结果与飞行试验结果进行静态一致性检验和动态一致性检验的方法。讨论了静态一致性检验的置信度,给出了置信度与弃真概率和采伪概率的关系,为提高和考核系统仿真精度奠定了基础。     

挤密桩地基非饱和黄土变形强度特性的三轴试验研究

用非饱和土三轴仪和GDS应力路径三轴仪对兰州张家台变电站工地挤密桩复合地基桩间非饱和黄土和原状黄土进行系统的试验研究,通过同时控制吸力和净室压力的三轴排水剪切试验,分析探讨了挤密桩间黄土和原状饱和黄土的应力-应变性状及强度规律,得到了各自的变形和强度参数,并将这些参数进行了比较和分析,利用规范推荐的方法量化了灰土挤密桩对桩间非饱和黄土在地基承载力方面的改善作用。     

铝热焊接工艺参数优化研究

为获得最佳铝热焊接工艺参数,对拉伸试件进行了正交试验和二次通用旋转组合试验,研究预热温度、加压时间和预留焊缝3因素对接头强度的影响,进而寻求一组使焊接接头强韧性最高的焊接工艺参数组合。利用电子显微镜等对试件拉伸断口进行了分析,通过对比2种开始加压时间下试件的显微组织和性能,研究了这2种方法对接头强韧性的影响。结果表明:采用设计的铝热焊接试验装置和优化出的随焊加压致密化工艺参数,可使焊接接头获得大变形组织,从而获得高的强度和韧性。该项研究可为提高铝热焊接质量提供基础数据。     

基于步进加速寿命试验的制导弹药储存寿命评估

介绍步进应力加速寿命试验原理,通过对制导弹药自动导引头贮存状态和失效机理的分析,确定了加速寿命试验应力和应力水平．假设产品寿命服从威布尔分布,应用极大似然估计和Bayes的方法处理数据,建立制导弹药可靠储存寿命预测模型,并计算得到自动导引头在正常应力水平下的可靠储存寿命．     

VXI Plug & Play : 一种组建测试系统的理想规范

介绍了对推动ＶＸＩ技术发展具有重要意义的ＶＸＩＰｌｕｇ＆Ｐｌａｙ系统联盟成立的背景以及ＶＸＩＰｌｕｇ＆Ｐｌａｙ规范的主要内容,制定规范所遵循的原则和要求,对ＶＸＩＰｌｕｇ＆Ｐｌａｙ发展前景做了展望,说明了虚拟仪器软件结构的框架,并初步探讨了组建一个自动测试系统的方法和步骤以及如何利用ＶＸＩＰｌｕｇ＆Ｐｌａｙ设计仪器驱动程序。     

基于阵列式探测器的舰载高能激光武器动态精度试验方法研究

对高机动目标的跟踪、瞄准精度是舰载高能激光武器系统的重要性能指标之一,也是未来装备状态鉴定和列装定型工作的主要考核项目。以舰载高能激光武器为研究对象,系统分析了其动态精度试验的技术特点,在此基础上,针对其跟踪瞄准精度要求高的实际问题,提出了基于阵列式探测器的试验和数据处理方法,能够有效完成对舰载高能激光武器动态精度的试验与评估。     

恒加试验的最优线性不变估计

给出了恒加试验的最优线性无偏估计与最优线性不变估计。与有关文献给出的二步估计相比,这两个估计有较大改进,并且在计算上简单可行。     

舰炮一维修正弹校正诸元误差和预测误差试射

由于工作原理不同,舰炮使用传统无控弹试射方法不适用于一维弹道修正弹。分析了舰炮使用一维弹道修正弹射击误差构成和试射的必要性,提出了一维弹道修正弹校正射击诸元误差和预测误差试射新方法。首先通过分析对海射击以实际观测弹着水柱与提前点偏差作为发射诸元误差的精度,以及以预测弹着落点与实际观测弹着水柱偏差作为预测误差的精度,提出了求取诸元误差和预测误差的方法,论证了试射发数;然后从距离上和方向上校正诸元误差和预测误差。假设各误差值,通过仿真计算表明,按新方法试射能够显著提高射击精度。