基于层次分析法的桂西北古村寨火灾风险评估研究

应用层次分析法,根据桂西北古村寨的实际情况,建立了桂西北古村寨的火灾风险评估体系。采用专家打分法获取数据,并应用统计学中的众值原理,对获得的数据进行了统计,得到了指标的权重,建立了适用于实际情况的消防安全检查表。并应用实例证明了这种评估方法行之有效。     

新媒介：当代大学生思想政治教育的有效途径

随着信息技术的迅猛发展,新媒介对大学生的影响日益深刻。新媒介具有对大学生进行思想政治教育的先天优势,但新媒介环境下的思想政治教育危机也不容忽视。我们应当扬长避短,积极探索利用新媒介开展思想政治教育的新路径,不断提高思想政治教育的针对性和有效性。     

消防部队灭火救援行动中的灾情信息需求与分析

灾情信息是灭火及应急救援行动的关键因素,在救援行动中发挥重要作用。介绍了灾情信息的基本概念、具体内容和表现形式,详细分析了消防部队在灭火和应急救援行动中灾情信息的应用现状和发展方向,并对灾情信息的应用提出了部分改进建议,为灭火和应急救援的信息化建设提供技术支持。     

石化企业火灾事故原因调查方法和技术研究

根据石油化工企业生产特点,阐述了石油化工企业火灾现场特点、火灾事故调查的重点内容、调查采取的方法和技术以及事故调查当中的注意事项,为开展好石油化工企业火灾调查工作提供参考。     

灭火初战应把握的关键环节

灭火作战初战是整个灭火战斗的前期战,它的成功与否直接影响到整个灭火战斗的成败。重点论述了如何把握初战的火情侦查、火场救人、控制火势等三个关键环节,以期对基层广大指战员有所指导。     

Quantifying the performance effects of idle time utilization in multiserver systems

In many practical multiserver queueing systems, servers not only serve randomly arriving customers but also work on the secondary jobs with infinite backlog during their idle time. In this paper, we propose a c‐server model with a two‐threshold policy, denoted by (e d), to evaluate the performance of this class of systems. With such a policy, when the number of idle servers has reached d (<c), then e (<d) idle agents will process secondary jobs. These e servers keep working on the secondary jobs until they find waiting customers exist in the system at a secondary job completion instant. Using the matrix analytic method, we obtain the stationary performance measures for evaluating different (e, d) policies. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

Constrained minimax optimization of continuous search efforts for the detection of a stationary target

Analytical resolution of search theory problems, as formalized by B.O. Koopman, may be applied with some model extension to various resource management issues. However, a fundamental prerequisite is the knowledge of the prior target density. Though this assumption has the definite advantage of simplicity, its drawback is clearly that target reactivity is not taken into account. As a preliminary step towards reactive target study stands the problem of resource planning under a min–max game context. This paper is related to Nakai's work about the game planning of resources for the detection of a stationary target. However, this initial problem is extended by adding new and more general constraints, allowing a more realistic modeling of the target and searcher behaviors. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Probabilistic solution and bounds for serial inventory systems with discounted and average costs

We consider the infinite horizon serial inventory system with both average cost and discounted cost criteria. The optimal echelon base‐stock levels are obtained in terms of only probability distributions of leadtime demands. This analysis yields a novel approach for developing bounds and heuristics for optimal inventory control polices. In addition to deriving the known bounds in literature, we develop several new upper bounds for both average cost and discounted cost models. Numerical studies show that the bounds and heuristic are very close to optimal.© 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

用毁伤概率指标优化二点源诱饵系统布阵

两点源诱偏系统是应用有源干扰的方式,利用反辐射导弹(ARM)本身的缺陷来对反辐射导弹的导引头进行干扰,从而达到保护主战雷达目的的一种有源干扰系统。主要从反辐射导弹的基本原理和有源诱偏的概念入手,对两点源诱偏系统进行理论推导、数学建模、布站设想,后引入毁伤概率指标对各种布站方式进行分类、仿真,对每一种仿真结果进行分析、评估,再把各种分析结果加以比较,从中找出最佳的布站方式。最后利用以上的分析结果,得出几点有用的结论。     

烟幕干扰技术综述

现代战争中,面对我国重要经济目标数量多、防护力量和资源有限的现状,选择各种高效费比的防护措施才能适应我国国情。烟幕正是一种成本低、效果明显、操作简单的干扰手段。阐述了烟幕的产生、干扰原理,重点介绍了各波段的烟幕干扰材料、常用的烟幕器材及烟幕的具体应用,对重要经济目标防护工作的实际操作具有一定借鉴意义。