Hilbert谱分析和平稳度

提出了本征模式函数IMF成员相应的幅度及频率时间函数的计算方法。由函数的Hilbert谱可获得相关的边缘谱,边缘谱确定了几乎连续的能量分布,从而提供了通过每个频率值测量总能量的方法。根据能量-频率-时间分布,就可以定量确定平稳性,平稳性是物理过程的一个复杂属性,其由平稳度DS和统计平稳度DSS进行度量,同时给出了DS和DSS的计算公式。     

基于半实物仿真的HLA／RTI关键技术研究

分析了基于HLA/RTI的半实物仿真中实践管理、数据收集能力、RTI通用性以及网络传输安全等问题,研究了新的时间管理策略,提出了合理设置lookahead的算法,设计了数据收集的层次框架,并制定了研发RTI的通用原则和安全有效的网络传输方案,为现代半实物系统仿真提供了理论借鉴。     

电子时间引信解除保险距离试验研究

通过测量弹丸炮口速度和引信解除保险时间的方法得出电子时间引信远解距离。在介绍某型电子时间引信实现远距离解除保险的方法和机构工作过程的同时,对远解距离进行理论分析,并对试验引信改装的实现方法作了详细说明。在此基础上,进行了电子时间引信解除保险距离测试试验并对试验结果作了分析。     

一种通用网络通信系统的设计与实现

在TCP/IP协议的基础上,采用合理的软件结构、算法以及对同一主机的多网卡支持,设计了一种可应用于大型分布式处理(如分布式仿真)的多机通信系统,目标是屏蔽诸如IP地址、端口号、套接字等网络通信概念,实现一种通用的进行网络通信实时可靠传输的机制,避免类似程序的重复开发,使网络通信的实现更加容易。应用结果表明,系统使用容易、通用性强,实现了对通信服务的实时传输和可靠传输的支持。     

Dynamic lot‐sizing model with production time windows

We consider a dynamic lot‐sizing model with production time windows where each of n demands has earliest and latest production due dates and it must be satisfied during the given time window. For the case of nonspeculative cost structure, an O(nlogn) time procedure is developed and it is shown to run in O(n) when demands come in the order of latest production due dates. When the cost structure is somewhat general fixed plus linear that allows speculative motive, an optimal procedure with O(T⁴) is proposed where T is the length of a planning horizon. Finally, for the most general concave production cost structure, an optimal procedure with O(T⁵) is designed. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

On the effectiveness of top‐down strategy for forecasting autoregressive demands

We investigate the relative effectiveness of top‐down versus bottom‐up strategies for forecasting the demand of an item that belongs to a product family. The demand for each item in the family is assumed to follow a first‐order univariate autoregressive process. Under the top‐down strategy, the aggregate demand is forecasted by using the historical data of the family demand. The demand forecast for the items is then derived by proportional allocation of the aggregate forecast. Under the bottom‐up strategy, the demand forecast for each item is directly obtained by using the historical demand data of the particular item. In both strategies, the forecasting technique used is exponential smoothing. We analytically evaluate the condition under which one forecasting strategy is preferred over the other when the lag‐1 autocorrelation of the demand time series for all the items is identical. We show that when the lag‐1 autocorrelation is smaller than or equal to 1/3, the maximum difference in the performance of the two forecasting strategies is only 1%. However, if the lag‐1 autocorrelation of the demand for at least one of the items is greater than 1/3, then the bottom‐up strategy consistently outperforms the top‐down strategy, irrespective of the items' proportion in the family and the coefficient of correlation between the item demands. A simulation study reveals that the analytical findings hold even when the lag‐1 autocorrelation of the demand processes is not identical. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

Exact expected values of variance estimators for simulation

We formulate exact expressions for the expected values of selected estimators of the variance parameter (that is, the sum of covariances at all lags) of a steady‐state simulation output process. Given in terms of the autocovariance function of the process, these expressions are derived for variance estimators based on the simulation analysis methods of nonoverlapping batch means, overlapping batch means, and standardized time series. Comparing estimator performance in a first‐order autoregressive process and the M/M/1 queue‐waiting‐time process, we find that certain standardized time series estimators outperform their competitors as the sample size becomes large. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

周期生存的血红细胞模型的周期解

本文研究了如下周期生存的带有反馈控制的有时滞血红细胞模型dx(dtt)=-b(t)x(t)+β(t)e-x(t-τ(t))+c(t)u(t-δ(t)),dud(tt)=-η(t)u(t)+α(t)x(t-σ(t))的周期解的存在性,给出了正周期解存在的充分条件。     

潜艇自航式诱饵组合使用方法

潜艇自航式诱饵组合使用方法的优劣主要评判依据是使用的方法最终使得潜艇对抗鱼雷成功的概率,对抗时间和诱骗距离是影响对抗成功概率的两个重要因素,它们又主要围绕发射时机、初始航向以及潜艇机动等几个问题展开。通过分析各个诱饵的作战使命,在一定态势下,根据诱饵的性能、鱼雷报警距离及舷角等各方面因素,建立大小口径声诱饵协同作战的弹道模型,并由此得到了诱饵发射时机、初始航向等参数。     

脉冲噪声环境下无线通信系统性能研究

针对基于高斯噪声的无线通信系统无法适应脉冲噪声的情况,以α稳定分布作为脉冲噪声模型,根据模型统计特性,经过理论分析给出了脉冲噪声条件下2ASK的误码特性计算方法,并通过仿真实验验证了该方法的正确性.仿真表明,在混合信噪比较低(MSNR10dB)的情况下脉冲噪声的影响并不明显,接近于高斯噪声,而在较高混合信噪比(MSNR11dB)情况下脉冲噪声使系统的误码率急剧增加,对通信质量造成严重破坏.