Multinational counterinsurgency: the Western intervention in the Boxer Rebellion 1900–1901

This article proposes a case study of the multinational counterinsurgency operations that occurred in China during the Boxer Rebellion in 1900–1, to provide a better understanding of the political and military dynamics specific to this type of mission. The study focuses primarily on the nature of the cooperation on the ground, the various national approaches to counterinsurgency, and the asymmetry of strategic approach between the Westerners and the Chinese. A discussion is also proposed, highlighting that combined counterinsurgency is not per se an obstacle to the unity of command, but that politically international coalitions create unique challenges to counterinsurgency operations.     

BUTTER,GUNS AND ICE‐CREAM THEORY AND EVIDENCE FROM SUB‐SAHARAN AFRICA

This paper is intended to complement the existing literature on civil wars. First, it presents a simple theoretical model of conflict that defines a two‐sector economy. In a contested sector, two agents struggle to appropriate the maximum possible fraction of a contestable output. In an uncontested sector, they hold secure property rights over the production of some goods. Agents split their resource endowment between ‘butter’, ‘guns’ and ‘ice‐cream’. Following the theoretical insights the empirical analysis focuses on the relationship between civil wars and different sectors of the economy. In particular, a panel probit specification shows that the incidence of a civil war decreases in the size of manufacturing sector.     

Emotions,Risk Perceptions and Precautionary Actions of Citizens During a Military Operation Using a New Defence Technology: The Israeli Case of the Iron Dome

Abstract

The current field study used unique data collected in Israel in July 2014, during a military operation that the Israel Defence Forces (I.D.F.) conducted in the Gaza Strip, in reaction to the thousands of missiles launched from there into Israel. During this operation, the new Iron Dome anti-missile defence system was used to protect Israelis exposed to missile attacks. The study examined factors that correlate with decisions to comply with I.D.F. defence instructions regarding behaviour during missile attacks. In addition, the study examined the relationship between attitudes towards the Iron Dome technology and emotions, risk perceptions, and the decision to comply with I.D.F. defence instructions. The results indicate that stronger positive opinions towards Iron Dome were correlated with lower levels of fear and anger, and beliefs that participant’s chances of being injured by a missile were lower than they had been during previous military operation. In addition, better compliance with I.D.F. defence instructions correlated with being more fearful, angrier at Hamas, living closer to Gaza Strip, and having more positive opinions about Iron Dome. The findings also indicate gender differences with respect to factors correlated with risk perceptions, opinions regarding Iron Dome, and precautionary actions during attacks.     

马氏综合权重距离判别法在中小型滑坡灾害评估中的应用

我国西南地区滑坡灾害具有点多面广、规模小、危害大的特点,群测群防是目前中小型滑坡灾害最为有效的预防手段。针对这种现状,为进一步完善群测群防体系,在马氏距离判别法和加权马氏距离判别法的基础上对权重值进行了修正改进,提出了一种新的判别分析方法——马氏综合权重距离判别法。该方法不仅保留了加权马氏距离判别中区分每一个指标重要性差异的优势,并且结合德尔菲法对权重值进一步修正,弥补了原来加权马氏距离法在判别过程中距离函数出现负值的不足。从本质上来说,这种方法是把由样本驱动的权重值和实际工程经验的权重值相结合,使权重值的取值更加符合实际。以该方法为基础,在一定的历史资料背景下,从滑坡致灾因素和孕灾因素考虑,选取适当的判别因子,建立判别模型,对未知潜在滑坡灾害进行判别归类,并且与马氏距离判别法和Fisher判别法比较。研究发现,马氏综合权重距离判别法具有更高的可靠度和判别精度,适于在群测群防体系中进一步推广使用。     

基于奇异谱分析的盲源分离单通道语音增强算法研究

针对盲源分离算法无法直接对单路含噪语音信号进行分离的问题,提出一种基于奇异谱分析的盲源分离单通道语音增强算法.通过对单路含噪语音信号进行奇异谱分析,将其低频分量作为第二路观测信号,利用改进的最大信噪比盲源分离算法进行处理,从而实现语音信号和噪声的分离.实验结果表明,该算法能够有效抑制噪声,提高信噪比,起到良好的语音增强效果.     

基于视景模拟的无人机导弹发射仿真

无人机单侧导弹发射后,无人机重量特性、重心位置、气动特性发生变化并同时产生附加的干扰力矩,无人机需要在控制系统作用下尽快恢复稳态飞行。通过在Matlab/Simulink中建立无人机六自由度非线性力学模型、控制系统模型、发动机模型、重力模型、标准大气模型、flight gear软件接口等,模拟仿真无人机单侧导弹发射过程,同时将仿真结果进行可视化视景输出,确保无人机系统平台在导弹发射过程中无人机能够很快恢复稳定姿态并按照预定轨迹飞行。视景模拟仿真结果表明：该无人机平台能够顺利完成导弹的安全发射。     

基于ADAMS和ANSYS的箭伞系统刚柔耦合仿真分析

为了更加准确模拟空中发射过程和提高其安全性,搭建了空中发射技术的联合仿真系统。首先在Solidworks中建立了运载火箭、载机、阻力伞以及伞绳的实体模型;然后将其导入有限元分析软件ANSYS中,对其进行有限元分析,得到模态中性模型;最后将柔性体代替刚性杆,利用ADAMS进行动力学仿真,实现了基于ADAMS与ANSYS的空投火箭联合仿真。仿真结果表明柔性体对空中发射运动精度和安全性的影响不容忽视。     

《兵团教育学院学报》2009-2013年载文计量分析

《兵团教育学院学报》作为主要反映本校教学、科研及兵团中小学教育教学成果为内容的综合性学术理论刊物,在推动学校的学科建设、学术研究、培养人才及促进兵团各级各类教育发展等方面发挥着重大作用。本文对学报2009-2013刊登的学术论文进行了计量分析,厘清学报的发展脉络,同时也发现了学报中存在的一些问题如:特色栏目不突出,高质量稿源匮乏,学报宣传力度不大等并提出相应解决措施。     

舰船拖带安全评估的故障树方法

提出了一种从故障树分析的角度进行舰船拖带安全评估的方法。采用专家评估和模糊集理论相结合的原理得到故障树中基本事件发生的模糊概率,然后进行故障树定性和定量分析。该方法能合理和有效地预测作业系统的安全性及其薄弱环节。以断缆事件分析为例,对该安全评估方法做了概要阐述。     

开尔文模型粘弹性Timoshenko梁的动力分析与应用

基于Kelvin模型张量形式本构关系导出粘弹性Timoshenko梁自由振动微分方程组,给出两端简支粘弹性梁的固有频率解析解。对粘弹性梁的振动特性进行了分析和比较。以此计算材料开尔文模型粘弹性阻尼系数,结果表明,该方法准确可靠。