L+1容错恢复策略在复杂军事网络中的应用仿真

以标准3×3网格为基础网络,介绍了L+1容错恢复策略的概念和恢复原理,以海上舰艇编队作战系统网络为研究对象,使用Matlab-Simulink仿真工具,通过对阻塞概率、平均路径长度、路径重新分配概率和有效利用率4个指标的仿真,对比了该网络在无策略、备份多路和L+1容错恢复3种策略下网络的恢复程度,验证了L+1容错恢复策略的有效性和可行性。     

基于贝叶斯网络的空中目标意图识别方法

针对空中目标意图识别问题,对防空作战中的战场事件进行了分类定义,根据事件之间的关联关系,提出了基于贝叶斯网络的空中目标意图识别方法,在此基础上,给出了网络模型的构建和推理方法,最后以一个示例说明了方法的有效性。     

基于复杂网络的作战体系网络模型分析

运用复杂网络方法,构建了作战体系网络模型,分析了作战体系网络的基本特征,揭示了作战网络主要参数与作战体系真实特性之间的关系,得到了基于信息系统体系作战战法运用的一些启示。     

基于最大比合并的循环平稳频谱协作检测

多天线空间分集和多用户协作检测是提高认知无线电频谱检测性能的2种关键技术,由此提出了基于循环平稳特征的多天线多用户频谱协作检测方法.首先接收器在频域按照最大比合并的方法合并各天线接收信号,对合并信号进行初步频谱判决.然后在多用户中按照K/N融合准则进一步做频谱协作检测.仿真分析表明,综合利用信号循环平稳特征和协作检测技术可有效改善认知无线电系统检测性能.     

Bayesian analysis of queues with impatient customers: Applications to call centers

Queuing models have been extensively used in the literature for obtaining performance measures and developing staffing policies. However, most of this work has been from a pure probabilistic point of view and has not addressed issues of statistical inference. In this article, we consider Bayesian queuing models with impatient customers with particular emphasis on call center operations and discuss further extensions. We develop the details of Bayesian inference for queues with abandonment such as the M/M/s + M model (Erlang‐A). In doing so, we discuss the estimation of operating characteristics and its implications on staffing. We illustrate the implementation of the Bayesian models using actual arrival, service, and abandonment data from call centers. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

回弹法评定火灾后混凝土强度的试验研究

火灾高温作用后,混凝土的强度将发生变化。通过试验,对影响混凝土强度的因素进行了分析,并建立了利用回弹法评定火灾后混凝土抗压强度的专用测强曲线及计算公式,为编制火灾后混凝土结构检测评估技术规程提供试验依据和数据。     

基于Agent建模与仿真的军事对抗系统

军事对抗系统是复杂适应系统.基于Agent建模与仿真较好地克服了传统的建模技术存在的不足,为将军事对抗系统作为复杂适应系统研究提供了新的思路,开辟了军事对抗系统建模仿真的新领域.结合红蓝分队对抗实例,介绍了基于Agent建模与仿真技术建立分队对抗系统的全过程,并对其中的属性集、行为集、规则集、信用分派机制、底层交互、高层交互构建进行了深入的研究.该研究为建立基于Agent建模与仿真的Multi-Agent军事对抗系统提供了思路和参考.     

Bayesian enhanced decision making for deteriorating repairable systems with preventive maintenance

Since a system and its components usually deteriorate with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to restore or keep the function of a system in a good state. Furthermore, PM is capable of improving the health condition of the system and thus prolongs its effective age. There has been a vast amount of research to find optimal PM policies for deteriorating repairable systems. However, such decisions involve numerous uncertainties and the analyses are typically difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. In this article, a Bayesian decision model is developed to determine the optimal number of PM actions for systems which are maintained according to a periodic PM policy. A non‐homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deteriorating behavior of the repairable system. It is assumed that the status of the system after a PM is somewhere between as good as new for a perfect repair and as good as old for a minimal repair, and for failures between two preventive maintenances, the system undergoes minimal repairs. Finally, a numerical example is given and the results of the proposed approach are discussed after performing sensitivity analysis. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Network reliability assessment in a random environment

In this paper we consider networks that consist of components operating under a randomly changing common environment. Our work is motivated by power system networks that are subject to fluctuating weather conditions over time that affect the performance of the network. We develop a general setup for any network that is subject to such environment and present results for network reliability assessment under two repair scenarios. We also present Bayesian analysis of network failure data and illustrate how reliability predictions can be obtained for the network. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 574–591, 2003     

烟草生产储存火灾危险性及防火对策研究

通过分析烟草生产、储存中的火灾危险性和当前烟草生产、储存时采用的防火措施,对卷烟联合生产工房内储存物料的安全间距、厂房和仓库外搭建雨篷、消防车道和烟草仓库消防设施设计等问题进行了探讨。