装备经济性分析中的结构制造复杂度参数建模

参数估算法是当前装备经济性分析的主要方法,TruePlanning软件为国际主流的装备经济性分析软件。基于TruePlanning软件,以制造复杂度(Manufacturing Complexity)为研究对象,通过对TrueH模块进行深度剖析,分析并确立了结构制造复杂度(Manufacturing Complexity for Structure)的建模思路和模型形式。通过一个实例分析,选取5个必要的输入参数,构建结构制造复杂度的初步模型,并进一步考虑附加参数的输入,对模型进行修正。结果显示了结构制造复杂度对各技术参数的不同响应形式和敏感程度,为开发国产费用估算模型提供了可行的思路。     

基于小世界网络模型的“梅特卡夫定律”反思

为了真正认清“网络中心战”的理论价值,对按照作为其理论支撑的“梅特卡夫定律”所规定的网络连接方式进行反思,定性分析了其带来的复杂性,并且应用小世界模型（WS）建立了复杂网络价值增益模型并进行了综合分析,发现实际网络不能够按照“梅特卡夫定律”的要求组网,指出“网络中心战”的理论缺陷,对我军信息化建设有一定的启示。     

基于VMD和SVM的舰船辐射噪声特征提取及分类识别

针对复杂海洋背景下舰船声频辐射噪声特征提取困难的问题,提出一种基于变分模态分解、中心频率、复杂度特征和支持向量机的舰船辐射噪声特征提取及分类识别方法。对四类舰船辐射噪声信号使用变分模态方法分解,得到一定数量的固有模态函数。通过比较提取能量最大的固有模态函数中心频率和排列熵作为特征参数,并利用支持向量机方法对四类舰船信号样本进行分类识别。实验结果表明,该方法可以实现对舰船辐射噪声的特征提取,与已有方法对比,该方法具有较高的识别率。     

Scheduling parallel dedicated machines with the speeding‐up resource

We consider a problem of scheduling jobs on m parallel machines. The machines are dedicated, i.e., for each job the processing machine is known in advance. We mainly concentrate on the model in which at any time there is one unit of an additional resource. Any job may be assigned the resource and this reduces its processing time. A job that is given the resource uses it at each time of its processing. No two jobs are allowed to use the resource simultaneously. The objective is to minimize the makespan. We prove that the two‐machine problem is NP‐hard in the ordinary sense, describe a pseudopolynomial dynamic programming algorithm and convert it into an FPTAS. For the problem with an arbitrary number of machines we present an algorithm with a worst‐case ratio close to 3/2, and close to 3, if a job can be given several units of the resource. For the problem with a fixed number of machines we give a PTAS. Virtually all algorithms rely on a certain variant of the linear knapsack problem (maximization, minimization, multiple‐choice, bicriteria). © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于改进信息熵的抢修操作过程复杂性测度模型

抢修操作过程复杂性既是抢修人员准确衡量抢修操作难易程度及不确定性的重要指标,又是辅助指挥员进行抢修任务分配及抢修资源调度的重要参考,还是进行抢修时间估计的重要依据。然而,目前没有合适的抢修操作过程复杂性测度方法。考虑到普通信息熵极大值公理与抢修操作过程复杂性的特征不相符,利用改进的信息熵建立抢修操作过程的复杂性测度模型,并利用回归分析法通过实例验证,模型测度结果可以客观地反映抢修操作过程的复杂性。     

Some elementary ideas concerning the complexity of system structure

A system of iid Bernoulli components is the starting point in the statistical theory of reliability. This simplification allows for the development of a rich, though elementary, theory for the structure of the system. Two representations play a prominent role in the study of structural reliability. One is the minimal path set representation and the other is the signature representation. By combining the two representations with the Gibbs measure for the state of components, one obtains terms that can be interpreted as the complexity of the system structure. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

多边修正算法中的换顶原理及复杂性分析

对于无向赋权图,利用换顶过程中矩阵翻转与数据块调换时上三角部分数据的变化规律,对权值矩阵的数据进行处理,以完成无向完全图中H圈（H路类似）的修正过程。事实上,多边修正的原理最终是通过变换顶点达到的,而其主要用到的换顶规则是矩阵数据的块调换与翻转,该思想还可以推广到有向图的情形。最后利用换顶原理对多边修正算法进行了复杂性分析,讨论修正边数对复杂性的影响。     

基于复杂度特征的干扰识别算法

复杂度可以用来刻画信号的波形变化特征。文中使用了L-Z复杂度和分形维数这两种复杂度作为干扰识别的特征参数并结合支持向量机对干扰进行分类。仿真结果表明L-Z复杂度和分形维数计算复杂度低,且具有较好的类别差异度,同时文中提出的算法具有较高的识别准确率。     

Rose-tinted lenses: how American functionalist strategy inhibits our appreciation of complex conflicts

Strategists and military professionals have previously questioned many of the methodological (theoretical underpinnings, the principles, and rules applied by the discipline) decisions associated with American military strategy, but the direction this essay takes is above and beyond the common methodological rivalries in how we pursue strategic desired future states. To get beyond methodological disputes entirely, we must consider thinking about our thinking as an organization on American strategy. Thus, this article hovers between philosophies, organizational theory, as well as our usually unquestioned belief in something called “strategy”. Questioning things about our basic understanding of the world tends to trigger strong organizational defense mechanisms, for good reason. Critical reflection at deep levels puts our worldview, and our role within it at stake. Nonetheless, as strategic disappointment emerges over multiple complex conflict developments, even the most cherished and guarded choices on how the world ought to work are ripe for critical inquiry. This essay examines the limited single strategic paradigm of the US defense industry and how the latest American National Security Strategy and Army Future Operating Concept (Win in a Complex World through 2030) presents a flawed strategic position. This essay presents valid alternative strategies that operate within different paradigmatic constructs.     

Operations planning revisited: theoretical and practical implications of methodology

Parts of NATO’s contemporary planning framework called the comprehensive operations planning directive (COPD), and parts of the operation-level planning process should be revised since they suffer from methodological inconsistency. This claim is defended by discussing contradicting methodological properties and heuristics applied when framing and managing a military problem in accordance with the COPD. The methodological inconsistency within the COPD; in other words, simultaneously applying contradictory methodological properties, implies one theoretical and three practical implications. The theoretical implication is summarised in a meta-theoretical framework and explained by discussing five methodological properties: non-linearity, emergence, independently changeable generalisations, invariance and boundaries. The three practical implications of methodology imply that methodology is guiding: the problem-frame, conceptual development and action. To improve military planners’ understanding and management of these four identified implications, NATO is recommended to develop a “handbook of methodology.” The purpose of such a handbook should be to emphasise the utility of methodology when planning military operations.