基于前景理论的CGF Agent决策建模研究

前景理论(Prospect Theory,PT)描述了个体在不确定条件下的决策规律,较好地刻画了决策者的风险偏好。分析表明,PT在作战决策建模中具有一定的适用性和可行性。提出了一种基于PT的计算机生成兵力(Computer Generated Forces,CGF)Agent决策建模方法,给出了CGF Agent的建模框架,对CGF Agent决策过程中方案选择的具体步骤和算法进行了详细阐述。实验表明,所提出的方法在一定程度上提高了CGF Agent决策行为的真实性,证明了所提出方法的有效性。     

计算机通信网中的窗口体制分析

给出了计算机通信网中的窗体制描述 ,针对数据链路层和网络层运用的窗体制 ,分别进行了分析。讨论了不同层次上窗体制运用中的参数 ,列出了一种窗体制具体形式的程序流程图     

信息战建模的分析与探讨

通过对信息战建模的分析与总结,指出了一个完善的信息战建模方法应具备的基本功能;给出了这种建模方法的结构流图,并分析了结构流图的构成.该方法建立的信息战模型,能有效地识别信息战的效果,对信息战的理论发展和具体实施都有较重要的指导作用.     

烟幕干扰技术综述

现代战争中,面对我国重要经济目标数量多、防护力量和资源有限的现状,选择各种高效费比的防护措施才能适应我国国情。烟幕正是一种成本低、效果明显、操作简单的干扰手段。阐述了烟幕的产生、干扰原理,重点介绍了各波段的烟幕干扰材料、常用的烟幕器材及烟幕的具体应用,对重要经济目标防护工作的实际操作具有一定借鉴意义。     

基于航迹跟踪的EKF应用研究

在复杂的电磁环境,对运动目标的跟踪检测成为目标定位跟踪领域的热点研究课题。介绍了雷达数据处理和EKF算法,并提出了在三维空间中EKF(扩展Kalman滤波)算法的应用,实时地跟踪三维空间中的运动目标,并进行了计算机模拟,验证了该算法具有的较好的鲁棒性和跟踪精度,能够满足现代战争的需要。     

浅谈科技期刊对编辑的素质要求

随着计算机和网络工具的普及,对于科技期刊编辑的要求也随之提高。编辑应具备信息选择能力和计算机操作能力,编辑应掌握新环境下的一些基本信息检索知识和计算机操作知识。     

计算机公共课程“体验”式教学初探

为进一步提高计算机公共课课程教学质量,本文从体验的内涵与高校教育的关系出发,从课堂教学和实验教学等方面探讨了体验式教学模式,力图为教学改革和创新提供新思路。     

Subspace dynamic‐simplex linear interpolation search for mixed‐integer black‐box optimization problems

Design and management of complex systems with both integer and continuous decision variables can be guided using mixed‐integer optimization models and analysis. We propose a new mixed‐integer black‐box optimization (MIBO) method, subspace dynamic‐simplex linear interpolation search (SD‐SLIS), for decision making problems in which system performance can only be evaluated with a computer black‐box model. Through a sequence of gradient‐type local searches in subspaces of solution space, SD‐SLIS is particularly efficient for such MIBO problems with scaling issues. We discuss the convergence conditions and properties of SD‐SLIS algorithms for a class of MIBO problems. Under mild conditions, SD‐SLIS is proved to converge to a stationary solution asymptotically. We apply SD‐SLIS to six example problems including two MIBO problems associated with petroleum field development projects. The algorithm performance of SD‐SLIS is compared with that of a state‐of‐the‐art direct‐search method, NOMAD, and that of a full space simplex interpolation search, Full‐SLIS. The numerical results suggest that SD‐SLIS solves the example problems efficiently and outperforms the compared methods for most of the example cases. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 305–322, 2017     

基于规则的CGF实体行为建模技术

CGF行为建模的目的是使行为模型能更好地体现出人类行为特征,提高作战仿真系统的可信性和科学性。在介绍CGF、CGF行为建模概念的基础上,对当前几种主要的CGF行为建模方法进行了比较,并分析了CGF行为模型的一般结构。构建了基于规则的CGF行为模型,重点对基于规则CGF行为模型的决策推理方法进行了研究。采用产生式规则方法对决策知识进行了描述,定义了决策推理过程中的3个要素:态势、动作、决策推理,并对其决策推理过程进行了研究。     

Minimum violations and predictive meta‐rankings for college football

This article presents two meta‐ranking models that minimize or nearly minimize violations of past game results while predicting future game winners as well as or better than leading current systems—a combination never before offered for college football. Key to both is the development and integration of a highly predictive ensemble probability model generated from the analysis of 36 existing college football ranking systems. This ensemble model is used to determine a target ranking that is used in two versions of a hierarchical multiobjective mixed binary integer linear program (MOMBILP). When compared to 75 other systems out‐of‐sample, one MOMBILP was the leading predictive system while getting within 0.64% of the retrodictive optimum; the other MOMBILP minimized violations while achieving a prediction total that was 2.55% lower than the best mark. For bowls, prediction sums were not statistically significantly different from the leading value, while achieving optimum or near‐optimum violation counts. This performance points to these models as potential means of reconciling the contrasting perspectives of predictiveness versus the matching of past performance when it comes to ranking fairness in college football. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 17–33, 2014