均匀分布法对集群目标射击效率计算积分表达式

为简化炸点均匀分布条件下对集群目标射击效率计算的表达式,采用"化四个象限积分为一个象限积分"的方法,导出射击幅员在正面和纵深上覆盖集群目标比值数学期望的积分表达式,在此基础上讨论对单个目标毁伤概率计算公式和对集群目标毁伤百分比计算的近似公式,导出射击幅员在正面和纵深上覆盖集群目标比值二阶矩的积分表达式,给出了对集群目标射击效率的算例。结论改进了对集群目标射击效率计算的方法。     

装备器材保障资源调度决策模型及算法

装备器材保障资源调度问题是一个非常复杂的问题,根据其优化目标要求,从保障时间最短、保障耗费最低、安全性最高3个方面建立了该问题的多目标优化模型,并通过目标优先度决策将其转化为单目标模型;接着,采用两阶段法进行求解,将其分为最优路径决策、器材分配决策两个阶段进行决策优化,在明确资源点到需求点之间的最优路径后再进行器材资源的分配;并分别采用基于小生境的自适应遗传算法和基于生成树的遗传算法进行求解。通过实例分析,求解结果能够满足装备器材保障的要求,表明所构建的决策模型和算法是有效的。     

几何分布定数截尾步加试验的最优设计

在逐步type-II结尾场合下,研究产品简单步进应力加速寿命试验的优化设计。假定产品服从几何分布,讨论了几何分布产品加速方程如何建立,利用次序统计量的大样本性质,得到相应的Fisher信息矩阵,以对数特征寿命极大似然估计的渐进方差最小为准则结合Fisher信息矩阵,给出了步进应力加速寿命试验的最优分配比例,通过模拟验证最优设计的有效性。     

Damage accumulation and probability of kill for gun and target engagements

Determination of the gunfire probability of kill against a target requires two parameters to be taken into consideration: the likelihood of hitting the target (susceptibility) and the conditional probability of kill given a hit (vulnerability). Two commonly used methods for calculating the latter probability are (1) treating each hit upon the target independently, and (2) setting an exact number of hits to obtain a target kill. Each of these methods contains an implicit assumption about the probability distribution of the number of hits‐to‐kill. Method (1) assumes that the most likely kill scenario occurs with exactly one hit, whereas (2) implies that achieving a precise number of hits always results in a kill. These methods can produce significant differences in the predicted gun effectiveness, even if the mean number of hits‐to‐kill for each distribution is the same. We therefore introduce a new modeling approach with a more general distribution for the number of hits‐to‐kill. The approach is configurable to various classes of damage mechanism and is able to match both methods (1) and (2) with a suitable choice of parameter. We use this new approach to explore the influence of various damage accumulation models on the predicted effectiveness of weapon‐target engagements.     

基于神经网络TSP算法的防空作战火力分配

基于神经网络TSP算法建立了防空作战火力分配模型,并通过在计算机上仿真运行了实例,优化了火力分配方案.这是对解决防空作战火力分配问题的一种有益的尝试与探索,同时也对防空作战指挥决策和理论研究以及指挥自动化系统建设提供了参考.     

防空智能火力分配的实现方法

防空指挥当中火力分配的原则有很多,从目标威胁度和射击有利度等方面对火力分配原则加以分析.同时介绍了在Windows环境下,利用Visual C 开发工具对智能火力分配原则进行代码编程的实现方法,重点阐述了基于面向对象的编程思想,运用多线程和对象链表的编程手法解决了火力分配过程中各目标对象和火力单位对象的属性参数实时处理问题.     

Strain concentration caused by the closed end contributes to cartridge case failure at the bottom

Ruptures at the bottom of cartridges are a common cause of failure of ammunitions, which directly threatens the safety of weapons and shooters. Based on plastic tube theory, this study analyses the radial and axial deformation of a cartridge, considering the radial constraint of the closed end at the bottom of the cartridge. Owing to the influence of the closed end, the bottom of a cartridge does not establish complete contact with the chamber. Owing to strain concentration in the non-contact area, this area is more amenable to the occurrence of cartridge rupture. This theory predicts the location of the fracture more accurately than the traditional theory. The maximum axial deformation of a cartridge comprises bending and friction deformation. The maximum strain at the bottom of the cartridge increased by 135% owing to the introduction of bending strain caused by the closed end. The strain distribution of a cartridge was measured using digital image correlation technology, and the measured result was consistent with the predicted results of the bending deformation theory and rupture case. The effects of wall thickness, radial clearance, friction coefficient, and axial clearance on the axial deformation of the cylinder were studied. Increasing the wall thickness and reducing radial clearance were found to reduce bending deformation; furthermore, lubrication and reduction in axial clearance reduce frictional deformation, which in turn reduce cartridge rupture.     

基于最大后验风险的多层Bayes方法

为了对指数型产品进行可靠性鉴定,首先给出了失效率的多层先验分布,然后从最大后验风险的角度,运用Bayes方法,制定出可靠性鉴定试验方案.按照此鉴定试验方案,缩短了试验时间,从而降低了鉴定试验所需的费用.     

зрлaнгa分布及其在保障性数据分析中的应用

首先对（?）分布的特点进行了分析,其次运用极大似然法对其分布参数t_0进行了估计,然后通过2个实例验证了这种分布的可行性和实用性,最后得出几点结论。SS     

一种基于遗传算法的防空兵火力分配方法

在建立了防空兵火力分配的遗传算法模型基础上,阐述了遗传算法在防空兵火力分配中的应用情况,并通过在计算机上仿真运行实例,得出了火力分配方案。分析了此方法与威胁估计模型火力分配方法的优缺点,是一种有益的尝试与探索,对防空兵指挥决策和理论研究有一定的参考价值。