考虑可信度时导弹最大射程的Bayes评估

首先讨论了一种验前数据和现场试验数据相容性检验的新方法, 考虑验前信息可信度, 研究了导弹最大射程的 Ｂａｙｅｓ 评定和 Ｂａｙｅｓ 估计。最后给出了数据分析的例子。     

微波雷达目标信号模拟器及其应用

本文为在野战条件下检测雷达测距系统的性能提供一种新型微波目标信号模拟器,闸述其工作原理及功能。除在检测雷达测距系统性能上已得到实际应用外,还论述了可以进一步开发的应用项目,因为不受场地和气候条件的限制,从而获得较好的效能、效率和效益。     

921A钢动态屈服应力的实验研究

本文采用较为先进的实验技术——高应变率下材料的分段式Hopkinson拉杆实验(分段式—维杆拉伸实验)研究了“921A”钢在高应变速率情况下的动态屈服性能,获得了很有理论和实用价值的应变率ε—功屈服应力σ_d变化曲线。同时本文简要介绍了分段式Hopkinson拉杆实验技术的基本原理和实验方法。     

超高斯随机振动环境的疲劳强化机理

针对可靠性强化试验的全轴随机振动环境的超高斯幅值分布特性开展其疲劳强化机理研究。首先通过理论分析表明RS机振动激励下试件应力仍保持超高斯分布,然后证明了同等量级下的超高斯分布比高斯分布随机应力具有更高的疲劳强化效能,从而揭示RS机全轴随机振动环境超高斯幅值分布特性的疲劳强化机理。     

Avoiding self-inflicted wounds to the credibility of the US nuclear deterrent

Nuclear deterrence requires not only the reliability of a state’s strategic weapons and the willingness of its leaders to employ them but also an adversary’s appreciation of these conditions. Weapons perceived as failing to hold their targets at risk may lack deterrent value, just as retaliatory threats that are not believable may fail to deter, even if a state’s operational capabilities are robust. Both the technical and political credibility of the US nuclear deterrent may have suffered self-inflicted harm since the end of the Cold War, often as casualties of intemperate policy debates. In particular, doubts have been sowed about the reliability of aging US warheads under a science-based stockpile-stewardship regime meant to substitute for nuclear-explosive testing. Likewise, the credibility of US deterrent threats may have waned as American leaders have spoken ever more stridently about the horrors of nuclear war and nuclear terrorism, underscoring their extreme aversion to the risk of nuclear attack. Diminished credibility in both spheres threatens to compromise US national-security objectives ranging from nuclear nonproliferation to the outcomes of nuclear crises.     

Stage life testing

In progressive censoring, items are removed at certain times during the life test. Commonly, it is assumed that the removed items are used for further testing. In order to take into account information about these additional testing in inferential procedures, we propose a two‐step model of stage life testing with one fixed stage‐change time which incorporates information about both the removed items (further tested under different conditions) and those remaining in the current life test. We show that some marginal distributions in our model correspond either to progressive censoring with a fixed censoring time or to a simple‐step stress model. Furthermore, assuming a cumulative exposure model, we establish exact inferential results for the distribution parameters when the lifetimes are exponentially distributed. An extension to Weibull distributed lifetimes is also discussed.     

结合峰值检测的高噪声图像快速聚类分割方法

针对高噪声污染图像,提出一种结合峰值检测算法的快速聚类分割方法(FC-ImSeg)。根据平行线投影分割算法将二维直方图映射到一维空间,利用峰值检测算法检测图像像素点的聚类结果,调整映射模型的平行线宽度,使直方图符合双峰分布特性,最后利用加权模糊c均值聚类算法实现图像的分割。实验结果证明了该方法是快速有效的。     

引信湿热强化试验技术研究

针对传统引信湿热试验的缺点,以某型引信的电子头组件为研究对象,开展了引信的湿热强化试验技术研究。首先分析了湿热强化应力对缺陷的激发效果,即温度和湿度越高,对缺陷的激发效果越好。在此基础上,设计了湿热强化试验方案,并通过试验,暴露了电子头组件的薄弱环节,为提高其环境适应性奠定了基础,同时体现了湿热强化试验在激发引信潜在缺陷、缩短试验周期和降低试验费用方面的优势。还根据试验的反馈信息,对试验方案进行了优化。     

步进加速退化试验及其在电子产品可靠性评估中的应用

为快速评估具有高可靠、长寿命特点的电子产品的可靠性,提出了使用步进加速退化试验技术的方法。文中首先给出了步进加速退化的试验方法及基本假设,然后给出了步进退化数据向恒加退化数据的折算方法,在此基础上提出了基于伪失效寿命的步进加速退化可靠性评估算法,最后利用试验数据对该方法进行了验证。该方法与恒加退化试验相比,在保持样本量不变的基础上,可以极大地缩短试验时间,因此,具有更高的效费比。     

薄壳变速箱壳体动态响应仿真分析与试验验证

在ADAMS（Automatic Dynamic Analysis of Mechanical Systems）中搭建薄壳箱体的刚柔耦合虚拟仿真模型,进行动态响应仿真分析。在相同试验条件下,搭建薄壳箱体动态响应试验台架,并进行动态振动试验。利用Q-400非接触式测试系统测量台架试验结果。对比仿真分析和试验测量结果,验证了仿真分析模型的准确性和计算结果的可靠性。