正确认识信息化战争的制胜机理

习主席强调,研究作战问题核心是要把现代战争的特点规律和制胜机理搞清楚。深刻认识信息化战争的五个时代特征,准确把握特点规律,真正搞清信息化战争的五个制胜机理,在将信息化建设成果转化为现实战斗力的过程中做到五个坚持,对于做好军事斗争准备,打赢信息化战争具有重要意义。     

Terrorism as Method in Nepali Maoist Insurgency, 1996–2016

During the period 1996–2006, the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) waged overt people’s war to seize state power and institute a new order that realized the party’s understanding of ‘New Democracy’ as posited by Mao Tse-tung. Contextual shifts led to a crucial strategic turning point in September 2005, when the Maoists agreed to a united front with estranged legal parties to oust the monarchy and establish a republic. Though touted as acceptance of political reintegration, the move was tactical rather than strategic. The party had no intention of supporting a parliamentary version of democracy and thus, 2006–2016, engaged in a covert effort to seize power. Central to this effort was the paramilitary Young Communist League (YCL), the members of which responded to inflammatory party verbiage and exhortations with attacks upon rival political actors. These attacks, academically and legally, were terrorism and offered a salient illustration of intra-state unrestricted warfare. Ultimately, organizational, national, and regional circumstances caused the main Maoist movement to move decisively away from its covert approach. By that time, however, radical splinters had embraced the use of terrorism against rival political actors, creating a situation whereby local politics is yet a dangerous endeavor in certain areas and at certain times.     

The fertile ground of Hell’s carnival: Charles T. R. Bohannan and the US Army’s Counter Intelligence Corps’ investigations of war criminals,collaborators, and the Huk,in the Philippines 1945–1947

Insurgencies thrive in regions where government legitimacy is absent. In the post-war Philippines, Captain Charles T. R. Bohannan of the Army’s Counter Intelligence Corps became actively aware of this dynamic. Bohannan is best known for his later work with Edward Lansdale and Ramon Magsaysay in defeating the Huk Rebellion (1950–1954). Here the author examines Bohannan’s early investigative work against Japanese war criminals, wartime Filipino collaborators, and the rising threat of communist subversion most associated with the Huk. All of these experiences fed into what would be the successful campaign against the Huk, chronicled in his seminal work, Counter Guerrilla Operations: The Philippines Experience, and offers lessons on the investigative (as opposed to tactical or psychological) nature of effective counter-insurgency work, as it relates to both legitimacy in governance and the rise of insurgencies.     

The war after next is here – what does the elephant look like?

A comprehensive paradigm of future wars can be defined, and is called in this article “Extended conflicts.” These can be characterized by strategic attrition, to which all national resources and all possible international legitimacy are mobilized, in order to achieve a resolution by transformation of the opponent. The use of military force in this kind of conflict is limited. The understanding that we are facing an era of extended conflicts will improve the way it is utilized.     

基于离散事件仿真要素的军事仿真因果追溯方法

基于离散事件系统建模与仿真的军事仿真系统在军事筹划阶段扮演着至关重要的作用。因果追溯与分析是军事仿真中重要的技术,它可以在大量的数据与复杂的交互关系中找出时序上的关联关系,帮助研究人员确定作战行动中的一些关键实体或事件,用于探究战争的发展脉络与蕴含其中的因果关系。首先对作战仿真领域的因果追溯分析做了简要介绍,然后提出了一种基于离散事件仿真要素的因果追溯分析方法,这种方法可以分析军事仿真中的因果关系,并且有很高的通用性和良好的实用性。     

网络中心战中的协作及其量化模型研究

协作是网络中心战的原则之一.协作的概念及其量化模型是目前网络中心战研究中的一个热点.在详细解释了信息时代中协作的概念基础上,分析研究了协作的维以及网络中心战中的信息域和认知域的协作,指出协作既有利也有弊.进而,将协作的影响简化为协作对完成作战任务的时间上的影响.利用信息熵量化了协作带来的\"正影响\",利用Logistic方程量化了协作带来的\"负影响\",综合这两种影响给出了简化的协作量化模型.最后指出了该模型适用于量化诸如防空作战中的协作等时间关键的协作.     

C4ISR 领域本体研究初探

如何实现C4ISR系统的跨越式发展,是当前的研究重点。本体论作为最新的知识工程化技术,信息系统建设是其研究、应用的重要领域。通过分析C4ISR系统特点及未来军事发展趋势,结合C4ISR系统建设的实际情况,阐述了军事领域开展本体研究的广阔前景,并探求建立C4ISR领域本体库,对本体库的作用及发展过程提出了初步设想,在C4ISR系统建设和本体应用两方面做出了有益的探索。