NUCLEAR STABILITY AT LOW NUMBERS

Chinese writings on the workings of nuclear stability, deterrence, and coercion are thin and politicized. Nevertheless, it is possible to glean, from direct and inferential evidence, rather pessimistic conclusions regarding Chinese views of nuclear stability at low numbers. While China has been living with low numbers in its own arsenal for decades, today it views missile defense and advanced conventional weapons as the primary threat to nuclear stability. More generally, China views nuclear stability as wedded to political amity. Because none of these would be directly addressed through further US and Russian arsenal reductions, China is unlikely to view such reductions as particularly stabilizing. While there is little in Chinese writing to suggest lower US and Russian numbers would encourage a “race to parity,” there are grounds to worry about China becoming more assertive as it gains confidence in Beijing's own increasingly secure second-strike forces.     

VISIONS OF FISSION

For many years, non-nuclear weapons states have sought binding commitments from nuclear armed states that they would not be the victim of either the threat or use of nuclear weapons—so-called negative security assurances (NSAs). The nuclear weapon states have traditionally resisted granting such unconditional NSAs. Recent U.S. efforts to use nuclear deterrence against the acquisition and use by other states of chemical, biological and radiological weapons, however, have further exacerbated this divide. This article analyzes the historical development of NSAs and contrasts U.S. commitments not to use nuclear weapons with the empirical realities of current U.S. nuclear weapons employment doctrines. The authors conclude that NSAs are most likely to be issued as unilateral declarations and that such pledges are the worst possible manner in which to handle the issue of security assurance.     

Arms trade,arms control,and security: Collective action issues

This article puts forth collection action as a unifying theme for the conference essays on arms trade, control, and production. For each of these topics, collective action failures are related to group size and group composition considerations. Other issues are also examined including the manner in which individual contributions determine the overall level of the associated collective good ‐ the so‐called aggregation technology of public supply. Based on alternative aggregation technologies, the game‐theoretic underpinnings of these arms issues are explored.     

SPARRING ON THE SUBCONTINENT

South Asian Security and International Nuclear Order: Creating a Robust Indo-Pakistani Nuclear Arms Control Regime, by Mario Esteban Carranza. Ashgate, 2009. 208 pages, $99.95.     

快速解命中的一种改进算法

基于对火控系统命中函数的考察,提出了一种将简单迭代法、改进迭代法和快速迭代法相结合的改进算法。仿真结果表明,该方法能明显提高解算精度,减小计算量,缩短迭代时间。     

观炮间隔修正的数学模型

建立了观炮间隔修正的数学模型,使用本模型可以消除目前舰炮指挥仪公式系中未考虑舰艇摇摆对观炮间隔修正产生的射击误差。     

加热对圆柱绕流影响的热线测量

首次给出了风洞中加热圆柱涡脱落受加热功率控制的热线测量结果。实验表明:当Re>Re_c时,加热使涡脱落频率f下降,甚至完全抑制涡脱落;加热使涡脱落处于临界状态时,其涡脱落频率f_c与来流风速U成正比;加热可影响圆柱绕流的涡脱落模式,使热线功率谱的单峰变为双峰。     

应用于有源消声的变换域LMS算法

针对自适应有源消声最常用的滤波—XLMS算法(FLMS)运算量小、收敛缓慢、宽带消声效果差等不足之处,利用误差通道滤波特性,提出了变换域滤波—XLMS算法。新算法的突出优点是收敛速度较快、宽带消声效果较好。     

面向舰船动力装置的主动振动控制技术

详细地阐述了舰船动力装置采用主动振动控制技术的必要性和可行性,并对该技术的最新发展进行了综述。     

无人机测控系统Turbo-MAP译码方法

无人机测控数据链系统与地面控制站进行的是遥测数据、侦察图像及遥控指令的传输,因此,高质量的通信是确保无人机数据链发挥效能的关键技术之一。针对无人机信道的特点和要求,研究了无人机信道的Turbo-MAP译码模型,提出一种无人机测控系统Turbo-MAP译码方法,并针对各种参数条件进行了Matlab仿真。实验结果证明,该方法能够保证在发送数据的时候尽量使用长度较长的数据包且增加交织深度,并显著提升译码BER性能。