消费主义消费观对当代军人的影响

随着我国市场经济活动的深入和经济全球化浪潮的发展,流行于欧美的消费主义消费观开始进入我国,并且悄然浸入军营,对当代军人的消费观念和行为产生了消极影响。对此现象进行认真剖析,明其利害,积极培养军人正确的消费观,是我们必须关注的一个问题。     

Expansion planning for waste‐to‐energy systems using waste forecast prediction sets

We consider an expansion planning problem for Waste‐to‐Energy (WtE) systems facing uncertainty in future waste supplies. The WtE expansion plans are regarded as strategic, long term decisions, while the waste distribution and treatment are medium to short term operational decisions which can adapt to the actual waste collected. We propose a prediction set uncertainty model which integrates a set of waste generation forecasts and is constructed based on user‐specified levels of forecasting errors. Next, we use the prediction sets for WtE expansion scenario analysis. More specifically, for a given WtE expansion plan, the guaranteed net present value (NPV) is evaluated by computing an extreme value forecast trajectory of future waste generation from the prediction set that minimizes the maximum NPV of the WtE project. This problem is essentially a multiple stage min‐max dynamic optimization problem. By exploiting the structure of the WtE problem, we show this is equivalent to a simpler min‐max optimization problem, which can be further transformed into a single mixed‐integer linear program. Furthermore, we extend the model to optimize the guaranteed NPV by searching over the set of all feasible expansion scenarios, and show that this can be solved by an exact cutting plane approach. We also propose a heuristic based on a constant proportion distribution rule for the WtE expansion optimization model, which reduces the problem into a moderate size mixed‐integer program. Finally, our computational studies demonstrate that our proposed expansion model solutions are very stable and competitive in performance compared to scenario tree approaches. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 47–70, 2016     

Terminal allocation problem in a transshipment hub considering bunker consumption

This article investigates the method of allocating arriving vessels to the terminals in transshipment hubs. The terminal allocation decision faced by a shipping alliance has the influence on the scheduled arrival time of vessels and further affects the bunker consumption cost for the vessels. A model is formulated to minimize the bunker consumption cost as well as the transportation cost of inter‐terminal transshipment flows/movements. The capacity limitation of the port resources such as quay cranes (QCs) and berths is taken into account. Besides the terminal allocation, the QC assignment decision is also incorporated in the proposed model. A local branching based method and a particle swarm optimization based method are developed to solve the model in large‐scale problem instances. Numerical experiments are also conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed model, which can save around 14% of the cost when compared with the “First Come First Served” decision rule. Moreover, the proposed solution methods not only solve the proposed model within a reasonable computation time, but also obtain near‐optimal results with about 0.1～0.7% relative gap. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 529–548, 2016     

基于模糊评判的某行星转向机故障预测研究

为了实现对自行火炮传动系统的预测维修,以行星转向机为例,运用动态模糊综合评判的办法,提取引起行星转向机典型故障的关键影响因素,探讨了动态模糊判断矩阵和动态权重的确定方法,在此基础上确定了其动态预测模型,并用实例验证了模型的正确性。     

任务驱动下航材需求量的GA-GM-BP预测

机务保障影响着航空装备战斗力的生成,机务保障资源是任务成功率的物质支撑.基于航材需求信息的灰色性,通过采用DEMATEL方法提取影响航空备件需求量的关键影响因素,采用遗传算法优化的灰色神经网络对需求量进行了仿真预测,其预测精度较BP神经网络和灰色神经网络都高.该方法对于其他航空机务保障资源的需求预测有借鉴意义.     

基于小波神经网络的货运量预测

选取我国1979—2011年国民生产总值、能源生产总值、进出口贸易额、社会消费品零售总额和固定资产投资总额5项指标作为货运总量的主要影响因素,以货运总量为输出,建立了基于Morlet小波函数的小波神经网络预测模型。该模型能够揭示货运量与相关变量之间的非线性映射关系,经实例分析得到了较满意的结果,并通过与实际货运量和BP神经网络预测结果的对比,证明了小波神经网络在货运量预测方面应用的可行性。     

体育教育专业学生体育消费现状调查分析——以石河子大学体育学院为例

研究学生群体的消费水平对衡量一个高校学生的消费观念具有很重要的现实意义。高校作为群众体育工作的一个重要的组成部分,对学生体育消费现状的把握更有利于推进群众体育工作的发展。本文综合运用文献资料法、问卷调查法以及比较分析法,对石河子大学体育学院体育教育专业的学生体育消费的现状进行调查与分析,总结出该校体育教育专业学生群体中的体育消费现状,寻求相应的措施以改善现状,并提出建议。     

燃汽轮机作为坦克动力的现状与分析

阐述了美国、俄罗斯应用燃汽轮机作为坦克动力的现状。假设将俄罗斯ГТД-1250燃汽轮机及其传动装置装入国产某型坦克动力舱,通过对发动机牵引力和燃油消耗量的计算,并与原型坦克进行对比分析,结果表明：燃汽轮机作为坦克动力在性能上能够满足使用要求。     

基于灰色神经网络的装甲器材需求量预测

分析了装甲器材需求量影响因素,将灰色预测与神经网络预测方法相结合,建立了装甲器材需求量预测的灰色神经网络计算模型。该模型具有灰色系统的少数据建模及神经网络的精度可控性等优点,能较好地解决目前装甲器材需求预测精度不高的问题,可为装甲器材管理部门制定订购、调拨计划提供决策依据。     

基于发动机工作过程计算的空气滤清器模型

针对二级滤清式自动抽尘空气滤清器进行研究,提出了其基于发动机工作过程计算的功率损失计算模型.该模型以发动机工作过程计算为基础,考虑了空气滤清器进气阻力与发动机工作过程之间的影响.通过实例计算,说明该模型能够用来模拟空气滤清器所造成的功率损失,随发动机工况的变化关系,从而为进一步模拟动力装置效率打下相应的基础.