论边防情报分析中的经验思维

经验思维是以经验为依据进行问题决断的思维形式,其具有快速、直接等特点,成为边防情报人员最常用的思维方法,具有无可取代的地位。经验思维也存在着粗略性、狭隘性等局限,制约着边防情报的分析质量。通过对经验思维作用原理、特点的阐述,探讨其在边防情报分析中的优缺点,并尝试针对其缺点,提出了相关建议。     

信息化条件下的军备控制

军备控制的目的是维护国家的安全和减少国家安全威胁.随着现代科学技术的发展和世界经济一体化进程的加快,国家安全威胁的因素与国家军事能力同步增长.尤其是现代信息技术的快速渗透和发展,不仅带来了安全隐患的增加,也加速了武器装备的更新换代,对国际军备控制产生了广泛的影响.     

导弹俯仰通道制导控制一体化设计

根据弹目相对运动关系及导弹系统模型,建立了导弹俯仰通道制导控制一体化模型。利用反馈线性化方法将该模型转化成为可控线性系统,基于自适应反演控制方法设计了控制器对转换后的系统进行控制。仿真结果表明,制导控制一体化设计能够有效减小导弹脱靶量,缩短导弹系统响应时间。     

坦克火炮控制系统动态仿真

坦克火炮控制系统的仿真和分析是系统设计和改进的重要内容.MATLAB\SIMULINK是先进的控制系统仿真工具.本文以我军某型坦克为背景,对高低向火炮控制系统进行了动态分析,在仿真分析结果的基础上对控制器的改进提出了意见.     

控制棒及其传动装置模拟的误差分析

从建立数学模型入手 ,对控制棒及其传动装置模拟环节所产生的误差情况进行了定量的理论分析 ,并对误差产生的原因、处理的方法提出了意见     

The politics of international chemical weapon justice: The case of Syria, 2011–2017

There has been near-universal condemnation of the use of chemical weapons in the Syrian conflict. The international community has nevertheless struggled to make progress on holding the perpetrators to account. This article reviews developments at the international level in terms of Syrian chemical weapon justice between 2011 and 2017. It argues that there have been substantive disagreements between states on the rationale and means of justice in the Syrian case. It also argues that international initiatives have been tightly intertwined with developments in chemical disarmament and conflict resolution processes as well as the broader war. The article describes progress and challenges to chemical weapon justice in a number of distinct formal international mechanisms during the period studied. The analysis concludes by contextualizing international responses—including the U.S. tomahawk strikes against a Syrian airbase—to the Khan Shaykhun chemical attacks of April 2017.     

隧道出入口照明智能控制研究

针对隧道出入口段照明能耗大、行车舒适性差的缺点,依据隧道外亮度传感器采集的数据,通过单片机分组控制出入口段照明灯具,满足车辆出入隧道时驾驶员的明适应和暗适应需要。该法不但提高了驾驶舒适性,而且减少了能耗,降低了运营费用。     

The impact of operational decisions on the design of salesforce incentives

When facing high levels of overstock inventories, firms often push their salesforce to work harder than usual to attract more demand, and one way to achieve that is to offer attractive incentives. However, most research on the optimal design of salesforce incentives ignores this dependency and assumes that operational decisions of production/inventory management are separable from design of salesforce incentives. We investigate this dependency in the problem of joint salesforce incentive design and inventory/production control. We develop a dynamic Principal‐Agent model with both Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in which the principal is strategic and risk‐neutral but the agent is myopic and risk‐averse. We find the optimal joint incentive design and inventory control strategy, and demonstrate the impact of operational decisions on the design of a compensation package. The optimal strategy is characterized by a menu of inventory‐dependent salesforce compensation contracts. We show that the optimal compensation package depends highly on the operational decisions; when inventory levels are high, (a) the firm offers a more attractive contract and (b) the contract is effective in inducing the salesforce to work harder than usual. In contrast, when inventory levels are low, the firm can offer a less attractive compensation package, but still expect the salesforce to work hard enough. In addition, we show that although the inventory/production management and the design of salesforce compensation package are highly correlated, information acquisition through contract design allows the firm to implement traditional inventory control policies: a market‐based state‐dependent policy (with a constant base‐stock level when the inventory is low) that makes use of the extracted market condition from the agent is optimal. This work appears to be the first article on operations that addresses the important interplay between inventory/production control and salesforce compensation decisions in a dynamic setting. Our findings shed light on the effective integration of these two significant aspects for the successful operation of a firm. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 320–340, 2014     

现代坦克火控系统体系结构发展的轨迹

对现代坦克火控系统体系结构发展的轨迹进行了较为详尽的论述,分析了几种主要类型的火控系统体系结构.对于在战车火控系统的发展历程中起重要作用的指挥仪式火控系统,从上反射式系统和下反射式系统两方面进行了比较分析.最后指出了用控制主线的观点来分析和预测火控系统发展所具有的优点.     

舰炮武器系统的基线修正分析

本文建立了基线修正误差分析的数学模型,并对舰炮火控系统中应用的传统的近似基线修正方法进行了深入的分析。通过分析,作者指出：在现代中、小口径舰炮火控系统中,不能再沿用传统的近似基线修正方法,必须进行精确的基线修正。