一种基于协调理论的军事决策过程建模方法

在分析协调理论应用的基础上,针对军事决策过程的建模,基于UML2.0的用例图,提出了基于协调理论的军事决策过程建模方法。应用该建模方法,有利于分析军事决策过程中的核心任务活动及其相关依赖,为指挥员实施平行决策,并发地制订和确定作战方案(Course of Action)提供依据,从而提高军事决策过程的适应性。     

成数超额混合再保险中最优自留额的确定

Centeno在Sparre Anderson模型中研究了调节系数关于再保险自留额的函数的性质,得到了保险人的调节系数是关于其自留额的单峰函数的结论。本文给出带扩散扰动项的复合Poisson过程的索赔时调节系数与再保险自留额的函数,得出保险公司的最优再保险自留额。     

Contractual agreements for coordination and vendor‐managed delivery under explicit transportation considerations

We consider the coordination problem between a vendor and a buyer operating under generalized replenishment costs that include fixed costs as well as stepwise freight costs. We study the stochastic demand, single‐period setting where the buyer must decide on the order quantity to satisfy random demand for a single item with a short product life cycle. The full order for the cycle is placed before the cycle begins and no additional orders are accepted by the vendor. Due to the nonrecurring nature of the problem, the vendor's replenishment quantity is determined by the buyer's order quantity. Consequently, by using an appropriate pricing schedule to influence the buyer's ordering behavior, there is an opportunity for the vendor to achieve substantial savings from transportation expenses, which are represented in the generalized replenishment cost function. For the problem of interest, we prove that the vendor's expected profit is not increasing in buyer's order quantity. Therefore, unlike the earlier work in the area, it is not necessarily profitable for the vendor to encourage larger order quantities. Using this nontraditional result, we demonstrate that the concept of economies of scale may or may not work by identifying the cases where the vendor can increase his/her profits either by increasing or decreasing the buyer's order quantity. We prove useful properties of the expected profit functions in the centralized and decentralized models of the problem, and we utilize these properties to develop alternative incentive schemes for win–win solutions. Our analysis allows us to quantify the value of coordination and, hence, to identify additional opportunities for the vendor to improve his/her profits by potentially turning a nonprofitable transaction into a profitable one through the use of an appropriate tariff schedule or a vendor‐managed delivery contract. We demonstrate that financial gain associated with these opportunities is truly tangible under a vendor‐managed delivery arrangement that potentially improves the centralized solution. Although we take the viewpoint of supply chain coordination and our goal is to provide insights about the effect of transportation considerations on the channel coordination objective and contractual agreements, the paper also contributes to the literature by analyzing and developing efficient approaches for solving the centralized problem with stepwise freight costs in the single‐period setting. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

用于射频/红外复合制导半实物仿真的波束组合器

射频/红外双模复合制导技术的不断发展引发了对射频/红外双模复合制导半实物仿真系统的需求,而波束组合器是半实物仿真系统的关键部件。讨论了波束组合器技术以及波束组合器对单脉冲雷达测角精度影响的测试方法。     

维护条件下产品寿命分布规律分析

为了掌握维护条件下产品寿命分布规律,进一步解释其失效特性,从维护条件下产品性能状态变化角度出发,结合累积失效理论,利用复合Poisson过程建立了可靠性模型,得到了该条件下产品在线寿命分布模型。在此基础上,建立了维护条件下产品总体寿命分布模型,并利用偏度-峰度系数和贴近度分析,对维护条件下产品在线寿命分布和总体寿命分布规律进行了数值计算,解释了工程产品在线往往具有集中失效,而总体又具有随机失效的特性。以水泵转子为研究对象,通过数值分析,较好地描述了其定期维护条件下的可靠度和寿命分布,进一步验证了模型的可行性。     

基于Multi-agent协商的多干扰机资源管理

多干扰机协同是组网雷达对抗的一种重要方法。针对多干扰机协同中面临的数据传输率、时效性等因素所引起的干扰资源管理问题,建立了基于中心控制协商和公约协商的干扰资源管理模型,并给出了相应的协同算法与仿真。仿真结果表明：两种方法在组网雷达对抗中均能取得良好的干扰效果及较低的漏威胁目标信号脉冲比例。其中,基于公约的Multi?agent协商在组网干扰资源管理方面具有更好的可行性,其效果优于基于中心控制协商的方法。     

Inventory transshipment game with limited supply: Trap or treat

Inventory transshipment is generally shown to be beneficial to retailers by matching their excess demand with surplus inventory. We investigate an inventory transshipment game with two newsvendor-type retailers under limited total supply and check whether the retailers are better off than the case without transshipment. We derive the ordering strategies for the retailers and show that unlike the unlimited supply case, a pure Nash equilibrium only exists under certain conditions. Furthermore, contrary to the conventional wisdom, we show that inventory transshipment may not always benefit both retailers. Although one of the retailers is guaranteed to be better off, the other could be worse off. The decision criteria are then provided for the retailers to determine if they will benefit from the exercise of inventory transshipment. Numerical study indicates that the carefully chosen transshipment prices play an important role in keeping inventory transshipment beneficial to both retailers. Subsequently, a coordinating mechanism is designed for the retailers to negotiate transshipment prices that maximize the total profit of the two retailers while keeping each of them in a beneficial position.     

Command Coordination and Tactical Effectiveness in Counter-insurgency Operations: Lessons from the South Korean Campaign

This article analyzes the causes of combat effectiveness of the South Korean security forces through the course of its various counter-insurgency (COIN) operations from 1948 to 1953. We argue that improvements in two interrelated aspects ultimately resulted in higher operational and tactical level performance: unified operational command structure and the subsequent improvements in tactical efficiency under the guidance of the US advisory mission. Through an in-depth case study on how a nascent army improved its capacity in combating homegrown insurgencies, we demonstrate how the actual conduct of operations itself remains just as significant in the assessment of overall COIN outcomes.     

基于行为复合机制的结构化图形动画技术的研究与实践

在各类计算机动画中 ,角色动画可满足实时性及交互性的需要 ,其核心技术在于角色的建模技术。该文主要介绍了作者所研制的角色动画制作系统———“网动王 98” (简称Net_Anim系统 )中所采用的角色建模机制及其相关技术 ,内容包括 :角色的对象模型及其运行机制 ;角色复合行为的实现算法及相关的关键问题 ;应用示例 :Net_Anim系统的特色和有待进一步研究和解决的相关问题。     

二价钴、镍氯化物的四齿N4大环席夫碱配合物的合成及表征

以Cocl_2·6H_2O和NiCl_2·6H_2O为模板剂,邻苯二胺和邻苯二醛为原料,在无水乙醇中模板合成了两种新型的大环席夫碱配合物。通过元素分析、摩尔电导和磁化率的测定,红外光谱、紫外可见光谱等项表征,确定了配合物的组成和结构,进而观察和研究了它们的电致变色现象,并对其电致变色机理进行了初步探讨。